FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

FC Cincinnati

4 – 1

Full Time

Montreal Impact FC

Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Miles Robinson 22' Y

Ian Murphy 40' Y

Y 47' Joel Waterman

Y 86' Gabriele Corbo

Y 90' Fernando Alvarez

Gerardo Valenzuela 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Montreal Impact FC 34 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 15 games · Avg 4.1 goals Montreal Impact FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-31 FC Cincinnati 4–1 Montreal Impact FC 2024-04-13 Montreal Impact FC 2–1 FC Cincinnati 2023-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2023-05-17 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Montreal Impact FC 2022-05-28 Montreal Impact FC 4–3 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	Montreal Impact FC	H	4–1	W
24 Aug	Internacional CF Miami	A	0–2	L
20 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	1–3	L
17 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–1	L
13 Jul	Charlotte FC	H	1–3	L
06 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	H	6–1	W

Montreal Impact FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	FC Cincinnati	A	1–4	L
24 Aug	New England Revolution	H	0–5	L
20 Jul	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
17 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	2–2	D
13 Jul	Atlanta United FC	H	1–0	W
06 Jul	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Montreal Impact FC
#8	Position	#15
46	Points	26
34	Played	34
12 / 10 / 12	W / D / L	6 / 8 / 20
67	Scored	37
75	Conceded	69
-8	GD	-32
1.35	PPG	0.76
35%	Win %	18%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

18% Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Montreal Impact FC are 15th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Montreal Impact FC

0-15

4/4

16-30

4/4

31-45

3/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/9

76+

5/13

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Montreal Impact FC

Prince-Osei Owusu

15 G

6 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati are looking to make home advantage count against Montreal Impact FC.
5' Alvas Powell has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
10' Tom Pearce is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Montreal Impact FC tonight.
15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
20' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Montreal Impact FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
22' Controversy at the stadium! Miles Robinson argues furiously but the card stands.
27' Montreal Impact FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Prince-Osei Owusu scoring 2 goals.
32' Obinna Nwobodo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
36' Against the run of play, Kevin Kelsy has scored! This game has turned on its head.
40' A moment of madness from Ian Murphy on 40 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
45' Joel Waterman has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
46' It is a substitution in Montreal Impact FC team. Jules-Anthony Vilsaint is replaced by Kwadwo Opoku on 46 minute.
47' Joel Waterman catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 47.
52' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Montreal Impact FC backline.
53' What a moment for Luca Orellano! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
57' Luca Orellano does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
59' Montreal Impact FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lassi Lappalainen is hanging Tom Pearce on the field on 59 minute.
64' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
66' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sergio Santos is hanging Nicholas Gioacchini on the field on 66 minute.
71' Sergio Santos adds to his 0 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
74' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Alvas Powell has done his job and it is now time for Bret Halsey to step up.
78' Another substitution for Montreal Impact FC to replace Joel Waterman by Gabriele Corbo on 78 minute.
81' GOAL! Kwadwo Opoku scores on 81. Assisted by Fernando Alvarez
85' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Kevin Kelsy is withdrawn and London Aghedo gets his opportunity.
86' A moment of madness from Gabriele Corbo on 86 minutes earns him a card. Montreal Impact FC will be frustrated.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Fernando Alvarez is booked for Montreal Impact FC — card on 90.
Full Time. FC Cincinnati beats Montreal Impact FC

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 74'
6
Chidozie Awaziem
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Bret Halsey 74'
12
Miles Robinson
20
Pavel Bucha
5
Obinna Nwobodo
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Malik Pinto 85'
9
Nicholas Gioacchini ↓ Sergio Santos 66'
32
Ian Murphy
18
Roman Celentano
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ London Aghedo 85'

Bench

11
Corey Baird
36
Evan Louro
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 66'
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 74'
14
Kipp Keller
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 85'
37
Stiven Jimenez
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 74'
34
London Aghedo ↑ 85'

Coach Pat Noonan

Montreal Impact FC Lineups

Starting XI

46
Tom Pearce ↓ Lassi Lappalainen 59'
6
Samuel Piette ↓ Bryce Duke 59'
24
George Campbell
16
Joel Waterman ↓ Gabriele Corbo 78'
40
Jonathan Sirois
23
Caden Clark
19
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
9
Matias Coccaro
28
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint ↓ Kwadwo Opoku 46'
4
Fernando Alvarez
27
Dawid Bugaj ↓ Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 78'

Bench

Coach Laurent Courtois

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luciano Acosta	3
Brandon Vazquez	3
Djordje Mihailovic	3
Luca Orellano	3
Evander	3
Prince-Osei Owusu	3
Allan Cruz	2
Romell Quioto	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-08-31 FC Cincinnati 4–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2024-08-24 Internacional CF Miami 2–0 FC Cincinnati L 2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati L 2024-07-17 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2024-07-13 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Charlotte FC L 2024-07-06 FC Cincinnati 6–1 Internacional CF Miami W

Montreal Impact FC Form

2024-08-31 FC Cincinnati 4–1 Montreal Impact FC L 2024-08-24 Montreal Impact FC 0–5 New England Revolution L 2024-07-20 Montreal Impact FC 0–1 Toronto FC L 2024-07-17 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Montreal Impact FC D 2024-07-13 Montreal Impact FC 1–0 Atlanta United FC W 2024-07-06 Montreal Impact FC 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.86 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.48 Montreal Impact FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati61% Draw19% Montreal Impact FC20%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 4.34

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

81%

Draw or Montreal Impact FC

39%

FC Cincinnati or Montreal Impact FC

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati49% Draw34% Montreal Impact FC17%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.8%

3 – 1

7.3%

1 – 1

6.3%

2 – 2

5.6%

2 – 0

5.5%

3 – 2

5.3%

4 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

5.1%

1 – 2

4.1%

4 – 2

3.8%

4 – 0

3.6%

1 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Montreal Impact FC covers
-2.5	27%	—	73%
-2	27%	18%	55%
-1.5	45%	—	55%
-1	45%	19%	35%
-0.5	65%	—	35%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	10%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.