Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F·Marinos, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Yokohama F·Marinos

Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 17' Taiki Watanabe

Kento Nishiya 20' Y

Wataru Harada 33' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F·Marinos — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Yokohama F·Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals Yokohama F·Marinos

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-09 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Yokohama F·Marinos 2024-07-03 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F·Marinos

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Nov	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–2	L
03 Nov	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–1	W
19 Oct	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–2	L
05 Oct	FC Tokyo	A	1–1	D
28 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
22 Sep	Tokyo Verdy	A	0–2	L

Yokohama F·Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–1	W
30 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–0	D
18 Oct	Albirex Niigata	H	0–0	D
05 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–1	L
28 Sep	FC Tokyo	H	1–3	L
22 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–6	L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

46% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F·Marinos this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Yokohama F·Marinos

0-15

5/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

3/3

46-60

4/–

61-75

1/5

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Yokohama F·Marinos

Kaina Tanimura	7 G	1 A
Shin Miidera	2 G
Taisei Inoue	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sagan Tosu FC and Yokohama F.Marinos is underway.
5' Yokohama F.Marinos is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
15' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
17' Taiki Watanabe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 17.
20' Kento Nishiya has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 20.
25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
26' A stunning finish from Wataru Harada — that came from absolutely nowhere!
31' With 0 assists to his name this season, Takuma Nishimura is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Yokohama F.Marinos.
33' Wataru Harada catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 33.
38' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Takuma Nishimura makes it 1-1.
52' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
55' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Daichi Suzuki is replaced by Keisuke Sakaiya.
59' Yokohama F.Marinos manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kenta Inoue is hanging Elber on the field on 59 minute.
64' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
69' Yokohama F.Marinos manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jun Amano is hanging Riku Yamane on the field on 69 minute.
74' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
78' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Cayman Togashi trudges off to be replaced by Jaja Silva on 78 minutes.
80' Brilliant from the ! Anderson Lopes makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 80.
82' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Kento Nishiya exits the field as Tsubasa Terayama enters on 82.
87' Takuma Nishimura makes way for Asahi Uenaka at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Yokohama F.Marinos.
The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 1-2 Yokohama F.Marinos. Honours even.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Seiji Kimura
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Jaja Silva 78'
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Ryohei Watanabe 55'
77
Vykintas Slivka
28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↓ Fumiya Kitajima 55'
4
Yuta Imazu
71
Il-kyu Park
8
Hikaru Nakahara
42
Wataru Harada
47
Daichi Suzuki ↓ Keisuke Sakaiya 55'
33
Kento Nishiya ↓ Tsubasa Terayama 82'

Bench

70
Jaja Silva ↑ 78'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
37
Tsubasa Terayama ↑ 82'
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 55'
36
Fumiya Kitajima ↑ 55'
25
Ryohei Watanabe ↑ 55'

Coach Naoyuki Iwata

Yokohama F·Marinos Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

5
Eduardo ↑ 59'
20
Jun Amano ↑ 69'
18
Kota Mizunuma ↑ 87'
17
Kenta Inoue ↑ 59'
14
Asahi Uenaka ↑ 87'
31
Fuma Shirasaka
45
Kodjo Aziangbe

Coach John Hutchinson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erik	3
Kota Mizunuma	2
Daizen Maeda	2
Marcos Junior	2
Yan Santos	2
Leo Ceara	2
Yoichi Naganuma	1
Riki Harakawa	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-11-09 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2024-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-10-19 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-10-05 FC Tokyo 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-09-28 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-22 Tokyo Verdy 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Yokohama F·Marinos Form

2024-11-09 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2024-10-30 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2024-10-18 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–0 Albirex Niigata D 2024-10-05 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2024-09-28 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–3 FC Tokyo L 2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F·Marinos L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.41 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.26 Yokohama F·Marinos xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F·Marinos 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC39% Draw29% Yokohama F·Marinos32%

Actual: Yokohama F·Marinos win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.67

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

67%

Draw or Yokohama F·Marinos

61%

Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F·Marinos

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw47% Yokohama F·Marinos24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 0

8.9%

1 – 0

8.8%

2 – 1

8.3%

0 – 1

7.7%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

6.7%

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

5.3%

3 – 1

3.9%

1 – 3

3.2%

3 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Yokohama F·Marinos covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	20%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	18%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Yokohama F·Marinos keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.