Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F·Marinos, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F·Marinos — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Yokohama F·Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–6 | L |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Yokohama F·Marinos this season
Yokohama F·Marinos this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Yokohama F·Marinos
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
3/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Ekimae Real Estate Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Sagan Tosu FC and Yokohama F·Marinos.
- 5' Yokohama F·Marinos is showing some good football. However, Yokohama F·Marinos are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Anderson Lopes, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 17' The referee calls foul for Taiki Watanabe. He receives a card.
- 20' Kento Nishiya was booked on 20.
- 25' The travelling Yokohama F·Marinos supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 26' What a strike from Wataru Harada! The score is 1-0.
- 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Yokohama F·Marinos needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 33' A meaty challenge results in booking for Wataru Harada on 33.
- 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 43' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Katsuya Nagato has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 47' What an equalizer from Takuma Nishimura!
- 52' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 55' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Daichi Suzuki is replaced by Keisuke Sakaiya.
- 59' Another change for Yokohama F.Marinos made on 59 minute. Elber leaves to be changed by Kenta Inoue.
- 64' Yokohama F·Marinos seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 69' The whistle greets Riku Yamane as he departs to be replaced by Jun Amano.
- 74' Yan Santos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 78' Jaja Silva has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cayman Togashi on 78 minute.
- 80' What a strike from Anderson Lopes! The score is 1-2.
- 82' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Kento Nishiya is replaced by Tsubasa Terayama on 82 minute.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Asahi Uenaka. He replaces Takuma Nishimura on 87 minute.
- Another three points for Yokohama F·Marinos.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Jaja Silva 78'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Ryohei Watanabe 55'
- 77
- 28
- 4
- 71
- 8
- 42
-
47
Daichi Suzuki ↓ Keisuke Sakaiya 55'
- 33
Bench
-
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 78'
- 31
- 2
-
37
Tsubasa Terayama ↑ 82'
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 55'
-
36
Fumiya Kitajima ↑ 55'
-
25
Ryohei Watanabe ↑ 55'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
Yokohama F·Marinos Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Elber ↓ Kenta Inoue 59'
-
11
Yan Santos ↓ Kota Mizunuma 87'
- 2
-
9
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Asahi Uenaka 87'
- 4
- 21
- 13
- 6
- 10
-
28
Riku Yamane ↓ Jun Amano 69'
-
39
Taiki Watanabe ↓ Eduardo 59'
Bench
-
5
Eduardo ↑ 59'
-
20
Jun Amano ↑ 69'
-
18
Kota Mizunuma ↑ 87'
-
17
Kenta Inoue ↑ 59'
-
14
Asahi Uenaka ↑ 87'
- 31
- 45
Coach
John Hutchinson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Erik | 3 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Kota Mizunuma | 2 |
| Daizen Maeda | 2 |
| Marcos Junior | 2 |
| Yan Santos | 2 |
| Wataru Harada | 1 |
| Fernando Torres | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Yokohama F·Marinos Form
2024-11-09
Sagan Tosu FC
1–2
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2024-10-30
Yokohama F·Marinos
0–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
D
2024-10-18
Yokohama F·Marinos
0–0
Albirex Niigata
D
2024-10-05
Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
L
2024-09-28
Yokohama F·Marinos
1–3
FC Tōkyō
L
2024-09-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6–2
Yokohama F·Marinos
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Yokohama F·Marinos xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F·Marinos 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Yokohama F·Marinos win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Yokohama F·Marinos
61%
Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F·Marinos
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Yokohama F·Marinos covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Yokohama F·Marinos keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

