Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Tōkyō vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
FC Tōkyō
1 – 1
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 54' Wataru Harada
Yasuki Kimoto 60' Y
Y 65' Tae-hyeon Kim

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tōkyō vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
3
9
FC Tōkyō 16 games · Avg 2.4 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-05 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tōkyō 2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-06-26 Sagan Tosu FC 5–0 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
28 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos A 3–1 W
21 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds A 2–0 W
14 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 4–1 W
31 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–3 L
24 Aug Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–3 L
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct FC Tōkyō A 1–1 D
28 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
22 Sep Tokyo Verdy A 0–2 L
13 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 2–3 L
31 Aug Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L
25 Aug Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Ajinomoto Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Tokyo and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' Masato Morishige has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Diego Oliveira made 437 appearances and scored 87 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tokyo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' It’s high time Peter Cklamovski made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' FC Tokyo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' It looks surprising FC Tokyo does not make any changes. Tae-hyeon Kim has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 54' It’s gonna be a card for Wataru Harada.
  • 59' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuto Nagatomo, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 60' It’s gonna be a card for Yasuki Kimoto.
  • 61' The whistle greets Yuki Horigome as he departs to be replaced by Ryohei Watanabe.
  • 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tae-hyeon Kim on 65.
  • 68' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Kota Tawaratsumida by Keita Endo on 68 minute.
  • 73' Sagan Tosu FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Vykintas Slivka on 73.
  • 78' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 82' Goal! Takahiro Ko scores his 6 goal in 403 matches.
  • 84' Daichi Suzuki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Akito Fukuta on 84 minute.
  • 87' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Soma Anzai by Leon Nozawa on 87 minute.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Yuta Imazu. He replaces Hikaru Nakahara on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Naoyuki Iwata

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kaisei Ishii 2
Fuchi Honda 2
Ryoya Morishita 2
Yuki Kakita 2
Takahiro Ko 1
Yohei Toyoda 1
Masato Morishige 1
Cayman Togashi 1

Head to Head

2024-10-05 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tōkyō 2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-06-26 Sagan Tosu FC 5–0 FC Tōkyō

FC Tōkyō Form

2024-10-05 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-09-28 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–3 FC Tōkyō W 2024-09-21 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–2 FC Tōkyō W 2024-09-14 FC Tōkyō 4–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tōkyō L 2024-08-24 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–0 FC Tōkyō L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-10-05 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-09-28 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-22 Tokyo Verdy 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-08-25 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49 FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tōkyō47% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

FC Tōkyō or Draw
73%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
53%
FC Tōkyō or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Tōkyō31% Draw47% Sagan Tosu FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō

Handicap FC Tōkyō covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.