Thursday , 2 July 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Fri 4 Oct 2024 · 10:00 UTC Best Denki Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
28 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Jubilo Iwata A 0–0 D
14 Sep FC Machida Zelvia H 0–3 L
01 Sep Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
24 Aug Gamba Osaka A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
28 Sep Jubilo Iwata H 2–0 W
22 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 2–0 W
18 Sep Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
14 Sep FC Tōkyō A 1–4 L
24 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka Nagoya Grampus
#10 Position #3
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
49 Scored 46
59 Conceded 44
-10 GD +2
1.17 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
/
61-75
4/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Avispa Fukuoka kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Shuhei Tokumoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 50% of all matches.
  • 15' Avispa Fukuoka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' Masato Yuzawa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Avispa Fukuoka tonight.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Avispa Fukuoka must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Avispa Fukuoka in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
  • 40' Avispa Fukuoka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 50' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 55' The whistle greets Shahab Zahedi Tabar as he departs to be replaced by Wellington.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Kensuke Nagai. He replaces Kasper Junker on 60 minute.
  • 65' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 70' The whistle greets Masato Yuzawa as he departs to be replaced by Itsuki Oda.
  • 71' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Tsukasa Morishima trudges off to be replaced by Ryuji Izumi on 71 minutes.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 200 games and scored 210 goals.
  • 81' Avispa Fukuoka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
  • 83' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuto Iwasaki is hanging Yota Maejima on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' What composure from Itsuki Oda! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ryuji Izumi on 90 minutes.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Avispa Fukuoka take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.29 Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.35 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka42% Draw22% Nagoya Grampus36%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
58%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka32% Draw35% Nagoya Grampus33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3.1%
4 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap Avispa Fukuoka covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 11% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 16% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 17% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
10%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.