Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | Jubilo Iwata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Sep | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | Jubilo Iwata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–4 | L |
| 24 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #3 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 49 | Scored | 46 |
| 59 | Conceded | 44 |
| -10 | GD | +2 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Avispa Fukuoka kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Shuhei Tokumoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 50% of all matches.
- 15' Avispa Fukuoka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 25' Masato Yuzawa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Avispa Fukuoka tonight.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Avispa Fukuoka must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Avispa Fukuoka in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
- 40' Avispa Fukuoka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 50' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 55' The whistle greets Shahab Zahedi Tabar as he departs to be replaced by Wellington.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Kensuke Nagai. He replaces Kasper Junker on 60 minute.
- 65' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 70' The whistle greets Masato Yuzawa as he departs to be replaced by Itsuki Oda.
- 71' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Tsukasa Morishima trudges off to be replaced by Ryuji Izumi on 71 minutes.
- 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 200 games and scored 210 goals.
- 81' Avispa Fukuoka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
- 83' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuto Iwasaki is hanging Yota Maejima on the field on 83 minute.
- 88' What composure from Itsuki Oda! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ryuji Izumi on 90 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Avispa Fukuoka take all three points.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 7
- 1
- 8
-
29
Yota Maejima ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 83'
- 37
- 6
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↓ Itsuki Oda 70'
-
30
Masato Shigemi ↓ Ryoga Sato 83'
- 9
- 33
Bench
-
17
Wellington ↑ 55'
-
16
Itsuki Oda ↑ 70'
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 83'
- 31
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↑ 83'
- 4
-
88
Daiki Matsuoka ↑ 70'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 66
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Ryuji Izumi 71'
- 15
- 27
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Kensuke Nagai 60'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Patric 60'
- 33
- 24
- 20
- 3
Bench
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 60'
-
10
Patric ↑ 60'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 71'
- 5
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↑ 60'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Jordy Croux | 2 |
| Kasper Junker | 1 |
| Ryoga Sato | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.29
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.35
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
58%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–0 not predicted1 – 0Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3.1%
4 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 11% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 17% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
10%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

