Saturday , 14 November 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Fri 4 Oct 2024 · 10:00 UTC Best Denki Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
28 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Júbilo Iwata A 0–0 D
14 Sep FC Machida Zelvia H 0–3 L
01 Sep Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
24 Aug Gamba Osaka A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
28 Sep Júbilo Iwata H 2–0 W
22 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 2–0 W
18 Sep Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
14 Sep FC Tōkyō A 1–4 L
24 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka Nagoya Grampus
#10 Position #3
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
49 Scored 46
59 Conceded 44
-10 GD +2
1.17 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Werik 2 G
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G
Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Best Denki Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Avispa Fukuoka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Avispa Fukuoka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Sho Inagaki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 452 games and scored 412 goals.
  • 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Avispa Fukuoka must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Best Denki Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Shigetoshi Hasebe will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 55' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Shahab Zahedi Tabar departs to be replaced by Wellington.
  • 60' The whistle greets Kasper Junker as he departs to be replaced by Kensuke Nagai.
  • 65' Avispa Fukuoka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Itsuki Oda. He replaces Masato Yuzawa on 70 minute.
  • 71' The whistle greets Tsukasa Morishima as he departs to be replaced by Ryuji Izumi.
  • 76' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 76 minutes.
  • 81' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 83' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Yota Maejima departs to be replaced by Yuto Iwasaki.
  • 88' A stunning finish from Itsuki Oda — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' Ryuji Izumi is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.29 Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.35 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka42% Draw22% Nagoya Grampus36%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
58%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka32% Draw35% Nagoya Grampus33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3.1%
4 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap Avispa Fukuoka covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 11% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 16% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 17% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
10% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.