Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Fri 4 Oct 2024 · 10:00 UTC Best Denki Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
28 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Júbilo Iwata A 0–0 D
14 Sep FC Machida Zelvia H 0–3 L
01 Sep Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
24 Aug Gamba Osaka A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
28 Sep Júbilo Iwata H 2–0 W
22 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 2–0 W
18 Sep Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
14 Sep FC Tōkyō A 1–4 L
24 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka Nagoya Grampus
#10 Position #3
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
49 Scored 46
59 Conceded 44
-10 GD +2
1.17 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Werik 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G
Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Avispa Fukuoka gets underway.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Masaya Tashiro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Avispa Fukuoka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Avispa Fukuoka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Avispa Fukuoka in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
  • 30' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shahab Zahedi Tabar, as he is very good at scoring at Best Denki Stadium with 6 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 40' Chang-rae Ha is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Avispa Fukuoka so far.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 50' Nagoya Grampus have won 402 goals from 443 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Shahab Zahedi Tabar by Wellington on 55 minute.
  • 60' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Kasper Junker has done his job and it is now time for Kensuke Nagai to step up.
  • 65' Kensuke Nagai has been relatively quiet despite scoring 47 goals in his last 441 appearances.
  • 70' Itsuki Oda is replacing Masato Yuzawa for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
  • 71' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryuji Izumi is hanging Tsukasa Morishima on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Shigetoshi Hasebe will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' A quiet spell here at Best Denki Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 83' Yuto Iwasaki is replacing Yota Maejima for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
  • 88' Itsuki Oda has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Ryuji Izumi argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Avispa Fukuoka players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.29 Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.35 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka42% Draw22% Nagoya Grampus36%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
58%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka32% Draw35% Nagoya Grampus33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3.1%
4 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap Avispa Fukuoka covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 11% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 16% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 17% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
10% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.