Sunday , 16 August 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Fri 4 Oct 2024 · 10:00 UTC Best Denki Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
28 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Jubilo Iwata A 0–0 D
14 Sep FC Machida Zelvia H 0–3 L
01 Sep Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
24 Aug Gamba Osaka A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
28 Sep Jubilo Iwata H 2–0 W
22 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 2–0 W
18 Sep Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
14 Sep FC Tokyo A 1–4 L
24 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka Nagoya Grampus
#10 Position #3
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
49 Scored 46
59 Conceded 44
-10 GD +2
1.17 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Avispa Fukuoka welcome Nagoya Grampus for this crunch clash at Best Denki Stadium.
  • 5' Takeshi Kanamori has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 10 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Masato Yuzawa, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Yudai Kimura scoring 1 goals.
  • 20' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Kasper Junker has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mitch Langerak made 439 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Tsukasa Morishima is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Avispa Fukuoka tonight.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. Avispa Fukuoka in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
  • 45' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 50' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 55' Another change for Avispa Fukuoka made on 55 minute. Shahab Zahedi Tabar leaves to be changed by Wellington.
  • 60' The crowd applauds Kasper Junker as he leaves the pitch. Kensuke Nagai steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 65' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 70' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Masato Yuzawa by Itsuki Oda on 70 minute.
  • 71' Ryuji Izumi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tsukasa Morishima at the 71 minute mark.
  • 76' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 83' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Yota Maejima departs to be replaced by Yuto Iwasaki.
  • 88' Itsuki Oda adds to his 0 season tally! Avispa Fukuoka lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryuji Izumi on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Avispa Fukuoka take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.29 Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.35 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka42% Draw22% Nagoya Grampus36%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
58%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka32% Draw35% Nagoya Grampus33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3.1%
4 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap Avispa Fukuoka covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 11% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 16% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 17% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
10%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.