Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Aug | Júbilo Iwata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–3 | D |
| 16 Jul | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Jul | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Jul | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jul | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Fuchi Honda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 50' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 55' The 37-year-old Kensuke Nagai has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Keiya Sento is withdrawn and Kensuke Nagai gets his opportunity.
- 61' Nagoya Grampus have won 412 goals from 452 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 66' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 71' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Sho Inagaki.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Yuki Kakita. He replaces Fuchi Honda on 72 minute.
- 76' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Yoichiro Kakitani on, Mateus off on 76 minutes.
- 81' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Naoyuki Fujita by Kentaro Moriya on 81 minute.
- 86' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Leo Silva made 460 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 89' Yuto Iwasaki makes way for Jun Nishikawa at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Kohei Tezuka.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↓ Kentaro Moriya 81'
- 20
-
11
Taisei Miyashiro ↓ Kohei Tezuka 89'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Jun Nishikawa 89'
- 40
-
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Yuki Kakita 72'
- 13
- 5
-
24
Yoichi Naganuma ↓ Yuki Horigome 81'
- 42
Bench
-
47
Kentaro Moriya ↑ 81'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 89'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 89'
-
19
Yuki Kakita ↑ 72'
- 30
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 81'
- 31
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 15
-
16
Leo Silva ↓ Kazuya Miyahara 76'
- 3
- 13
- 4
- 11
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yoichiro Kakitani 76'
-
14
Keiya Sento ↓ Kensuke Nagai 56'
- 17
-
19
Takuya Shigehiro ↓ Ryota Nagaki 56'
Bench
- 2
-
45
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 56'
-
20
Ryota Nagaki ↑ 56'
-
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↑ 76'
- 21
-
6
Kazuya Miyahara ↑ 76'
- 46
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Hikaru Nakahara | 2 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Naoki Maeda | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
59%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 0
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 22% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 18% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

