Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Sun 14 Aug 2022 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Aug Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
07 Aug Jubilo Iwata H 2–0 W
31 Jul Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–3 D
16 Jul Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–2 D
10 Jul Kashiwa Reysol H 0–1 L
02 Jul Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
06 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 3–0 W
30 Jul Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–2 D
10 Jul Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–2 L
06 Jul Kashiwa Reysol A 1–0 W
02 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Sagan Tosu FC have kicked off against Nagoya Grampus. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 50' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 55' Shinya Nakano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' The crowd applauds Keiya Sento as he leaves the pitch. Kensuke Nagai steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 61' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 71' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a Yellow card on 71.
  • 72' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Fuchi Honda trudges off to be replaced by Yuki Kakita on 72 minutes.
  • 76' Yoichiro Kakitani is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mateus at the 76 minute mark.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Kentaro Moriya. He replaces Naoyuki Fujita on 81 minute.
  • 86' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 89' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yuto Iwasaki has done his job and it is now time for Jun Nishikawa to step up.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Kohei Tezuka is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — Yellow card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw32% Nagoya Grampus27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
59%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw55% Nagoya Grampus19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 0
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.