Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Aug | Jubilo Iwata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–3 | D |
| 16 Jul | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Jul | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Jul | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jul | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Sagan Tosu FC have kicked off against Nagoya Grampus. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
- 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 50' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 55' Shinya Nakano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 56' The crowd applauds Keiya Sento as he leaves the pitch. Kensuke Nagai steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
- 61' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 71' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a Yellow card on 71.
- 72' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Fuchi Honda trudges off to be replaced by Yuki Kakita on 72 minutes.
- 76' Yoichiro Kakitani is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mateus at the 76 minute mark.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Kentaro Moriya. He replaces Naoyuki Fujita on 81 minute.
- 86' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 89' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yuto Iwasaki has done his job and it is now time for Jun Nishikawa to step up.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Kohei Tezuka is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — Yellow card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↓ Kentaro Moriya 81'
- 20
-
11
Taisei Miyashiro ↓ Kohei Tezuka 89'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Jun Nishikawa 89'
- 40
-
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Yuki Kakita 72'
- 13
- 5
-
24
Yoichi Naganuma ↓ Yuki Horigome 81'
- 42
Bench
-
47
Kentaro Moriya ↑ 81'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 89'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 89'
-
19
Yuki Kakita ↑ 72'
- 30
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 81'
- 31
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 15
-
16
Leo Silva ↓ Kazuya Miyahara 76'
- 3
- 13
- 4
- 11
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yoichiro Kakitani 76'
-
14
Keiya Sento ↓ Kensuke Nagai 56'
- 17
-
19
Takuya Shigehiro ↓ Ryota Nagaki 56'
Bench
- 2
-
45
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 56'
-
20
Ryota Nagaki ↑ 56'
-
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↑ 76'
- 21
-
6
Kazuya Miyahara ↑ 76'
- 46
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
| Tomoya Koyamatsu | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Hikaru Nakahara | 2 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
59%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 0
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 22% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 18% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

