Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Fri 27 Oct 2023 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Kasper Junker 65' 1–0

1–1 89' Cayman Togashi

R 50' Kosuke Yamazaki

Takuji Yonemoto 77' Y

Ryoya Morishita 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
21 Oct	Gamba Osaka	A	1–0	W
30 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–3	L
23 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
16 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L
02 Sep	Yokohama FC	H	1–1	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D
21 Oct	Albirex Niigata	A	1–1	D
30 Sep	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	3–2	W
23 Sep	FC Tōkyō	A	2–3	L
15 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D
02 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

5/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/5

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Yuya Yamagishi	3 G
Takuya Uchida	2 G	1 A
Yudai Kimura	2 G	1 A
Naomichi Ueda	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Nagoya Grampus gets underway.
5' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
10' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
15' Japan international Kensuke Nagai has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
25' Yoichi Naganuma, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
30' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
35' Ryoya Morishita has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
40' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
45' Il-kyu Park has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
48' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Kohei Tezuka on, Naoyuki Fujita off on 48 minutes.
50' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 50.
55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
60' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
62' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taika Nakashima is hanging Kensuke Nagai on the field on 62 minute.
64' Cayman Togashi is replacing Yuji Ono for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
65' Goal! Kasper Junker scores his 42 goal in 67 matches.
70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shinnosuke Nakatani, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
72' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shota Hino is hanging Kohei Tezuka on the field on 72 minute.
77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Takuji Yonemoto on 77 minutes.
77' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Ryuji Izumi departs to be replaced by Tsukasa Morishima.
82' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Jun Nishikawa comes on to replace Yuto Iwasaki.
86' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Kasper Junker is replaced by Naoki Maeda on 86 minute.
89' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Cayman Togashi makes it 1-1.
90' The referee calls foul for Ryoya Morishita. He receives a card.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 86'
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 77'
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 86'
3
Yuichi Maruyama
16
Yohei Takeda
27
Taika Nakashima ↑ 62'
42
Ryoga Kida

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gabriel Xavier	2
Jo	2
Hikaru Nakahara	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	2
Gabriel Xavier	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Naoki Maeda	2
Ryuji Izumi	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-23 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-09-16 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Yokohama FC D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-30 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.15 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus37% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC32%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.27

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	67%	33%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

67%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

63%

Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus25% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

12.5%

1 – 0

10.6%

0 – 1

10.3%

2 – 1

7.4%

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 0

6.6%

0 – 2

6.2%

2 – 2

4.3%

3 – 1

2.9%

1 – 3

2.7%

3 – 0

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	20%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	19%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	10%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.