Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Nagoya Grampus
1 – 1
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Fri 27 Oct 2023 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kasper Junker 65' 1–0
1–1 89' Cayman Togashi
R 50' Kosuke Yamazaki
Takuji Yonemoto 77' Y
Ryoya Morishita 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
7
5
Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
21 Oct Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W
30 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–3 L
23 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
16 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
02 Sep Yokohama FC H 1–1 D
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
21 Oct Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
30 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–2 W
23 Sep FC Tōkyō A 2–3 L
15 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Sagan Tosu FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Japan international Haruya Fujii has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' Yuji Ono has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' Yuto Iwasaki is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 48' The supporters are chanting for Kohei Tezuka. He replaces Naoyuki Fujita on 48 minute.
  • 50' Kosuke Yamazaki picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 55' Taichi Kikuchi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 60' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 62' Taika Nakashima is replacing Kensuke Nagai for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 64' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuji Ono is withdrawn and Cayman Togashi gets his opportunity.
  • 65' Nagoya Grampus is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kasper Junker on 65.
  • 70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 72' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Shota Hino on, Kohei Tezuka off on 72 minutes.
  • 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Takuji Yonemoto on 77.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Tsukasa Morishima on, Ryuji Izumi off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Jun Nishikawa is replacing Yuto Iwasaki for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Kasper Junker is replaced by Naoki Maeda on 86 minute.
  • 89' Cayman Togashi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 89 minutes.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ryoya Morishita on 90 minutes.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ryuji Izumi 2
Tomoya Koyamatsu 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2
Hikaru Nakahara 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2

Head to Head

2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-23 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-09-16 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Yokohama FC D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-30 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus37% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
67%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
63%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus25% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.