Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Nagoya Grampus
1 – 1
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Fri 27 Oct 2023 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kasper Junker 65' 1–0
1–1 89' Cayman Togashi
R 50' Kosuke Yamazaki
Takuji Yonemoto 77' Y
Ryoya Morishita 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
7
5
Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
21 Oct Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W
30 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–3 L
23 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
16 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
02 Sep Yokohama FC H 1–1 D
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
21 Oct Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
30 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–2 W
23 Sep FC Tokyo A 2–3 L
15 Sep Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–1 D
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC get this one started.
  • 5' The 36-year-old Il-kyu Park has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Yuki Nogami has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' Haruya Fujii has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' Ryoya Morishita has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 40' Japan international Shinnosuke Nakatani has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 45' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 48' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Kohei Tezuka on, Naoyuki Fujita off on 48 minutes.
  • 50' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 60' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 62' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taika Nakashima is hanging Kensuke Nagai on the field on 62 minute.
  • 64' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuji Ono is withdrawn and Cayman Togashi gets his opportunity.
  • 65' Magnificent from Kasper Junker! That is 42 goals in 61 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 72' Kohei Tezuka makes way for Shota Hino at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a card for Takuji Yonemoto.
  • 77' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Ryuji Izumi exits the field as Tsukasa Morishima enters on 77.
  • 82' Yuto Iwasaki makes way for Jun Nishikawa at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 86' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Kasper Junker has done his job and it is now time for Naoki Maeda to step up.
  • 89' Magnificent from Cayman Togashi! That is 12 goals in 437 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ryoya Morishita.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Naoki Maeda 2
Ryuji Izumi 2
Tomoya Koyamatsu 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2

Head to Head

2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-23 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-09-16 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Yokohama FC D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-30 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2023-09-23 FC Tokyo 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-09-15 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus37% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
67%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
63%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus25% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.