Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Nagoya Grampus
1 – 1
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Fri 27 Oct 2023 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kasper Junker 65' 1–0
1–1 89' Cayman Togashi
R 50' Kosuke Yamazaki
Takuji Yonemoto 77' Y
Ryoya Morishita 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
7
5
Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
21 Oct Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W
30 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–3 L
23 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
16 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
02 Sep Yokohama FC H 1–1 D
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
21 Oct Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
30 Sep Kyōto Sanga FC H 3–2 W
23 Sep FC Tōkyō A 2–3 L
15 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Toyota Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 30' Mitch Langerak has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' Cayman Togashi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' Tojiro Kubo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 443 appearances.
  • 48' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Naoyuki Fujita is replaced by Kohei Tezuka.
  • 50' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a card on 50.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 60' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 62' Taika Nakashima is replacing Kensuke Nagai for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 64' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yuji Ono has done his job and it is now time for Cayman Togashi to step up.
  • 65' Goal! Kasper Junker scores his 42 goal in 63 matches.
  • 70' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 72' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Kohei Tezuka by Shota Hino on 72 minute.
  • 77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Takuji Yonemoto on 77 minutes.
  • 77' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tsukasa Morishima is hanging Ryuji Izumi on the field on 77 minute.
  • 82' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Yuto Iwasaki by Jun Nishikawa on 82 minute.
  • 86' Naoki Maeda gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kasper Junker and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Cayman Togashi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Ryoya Morishita argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2
Hikaru Nakahara 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Naoki Maeda 2
Ryuji Izumi 2

Head to Head

2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-23 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-09-16 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-09-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Yokohama FC D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-30 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus37% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
67%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
63%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus25% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.