Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 7,773 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yoichi Naganuma 83' 1–0
Jun Nishikawa 57' Y
Akito Fukuta 63' Y
Y 90' Takuji Yonemoto

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Koei Koya
  • Assistant 1 Hiroyuki Igarashi
  • Assistant 2
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
7
4
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Feb Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
05 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
29 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–3 L
08 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
25 Feb Kyōto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Yokohama FC A 1–0 W
05 Nov Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
29 Oct FC Tōkyō H 2–1 W
08 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Naoyuki Fujita has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Akito Fukuta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' Ryoya Morishita is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
  • 30' Yuto Iwasaki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cayman Togashi, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 50' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 55' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Ryoya Morishita comes on to replace Kensuke Nagai.
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Jun Nishikawa. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 62' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
  • 63' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taichi Kikuchi is hanging Naoyuki Fujita on the field on 63 minute.
  • 63' That is a Yellow card for Sagan Tosu FC. Akito Fukuta will be fuming at that decision.
  • 64' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Naoyuki Fujita departs to be replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 69' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 72' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Yuto Iwasaki trudges off to be replaced by Ryonosuke Kabayama on 72 minutes.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Noriyoshi Sakai comes on to replace Ryuji Izumi.
  • 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 82' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 82 minute. Kasper Junker leaves to be changed by Naldinho.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Naldinho. He replaces Kasper Junker on 83 minute.
  • 83' What composure from Yoichi Naganuma! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 88' Japan international Kensuke Nagai has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 90' Masaya Tashiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cayman Togashi at the 90 minute mark.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Takuji Yonemoto is booked for Nagoya Grampus — Yellow card on 90.
  • With this win, Sagan Tosu FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2
Hikaru Nakahara 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Naoki Maeda 2
Ryuji Izumi 2

Head to Head

2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-02-25 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2023-02-18 Yokohama FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-11-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-10-29 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FC Tōkyō W 2022-10-08 Kyōto Sanga FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw29% Nagoya Grampus30%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
59%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw51% Nagoya Grampus23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.