Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 7,773 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yoichi Naganuma 83' 1–0
Jun Nishikawa 57' Y
Akito Fukuta 63' Y
Y 90' Takuji Yonemoto

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Koei Koya
  • Assistant 1 Hiroyuki Igarashi
  • Assistant 2

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
7
4
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Feb Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
05 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
29 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–3 L
08 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
25 Feb Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Yokohama FC A 1–0 W
05 Nov Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
29 Oct FC Tokyo H 2–1 W
08 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Sagan Tosu FC welcome Nagoya Grampus for this crunch clash at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
  • 5' Fuchi Honda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' Jun Nishikawa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Naldinho is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
  • 20' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' Yuki Nogami has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Takuya Uchida, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' The whistle greets Kensuke Nagai as he departs to be replaced by Ryoya Morishita.
  • 57' Jun Nishikawa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 57.
  • 62' Il-kyu Park is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
  • 63' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 63 minute. Naoyuki Fujita leaves to be changed by Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 63' Akito Fukuta catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 63.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Naoyuki Fujita is replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 69' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 72' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Ryonosuke Kabayama on, Yuto Iwasaki off on 72 minutes.
  • 75' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Noriyoshi Sakai is hanging Ryuji Izumi on the field on 75 minute.
  • 80' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 82' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Kasper Junker is withdrawn and Naldinho gets his opportunity.
  • 83' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Kasper Junker trudges off to be replaced by Naldinho on 83 minutes.
  • 83' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yoichi Naganuma makes it 1-0.
  • 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 90' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 90 minute. Cayman Togashi leaves to be changed by Masaya Tashiro.
  • 90' Takuji Yonemoto picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Naoki Maeda 2
Ryuji Izumi 2
Tomoya Koyamatsu 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2

Head to Head

2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-02-25 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2023-02-18 Yokohama FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-11-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-10-29 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FC Tokyo W 2022-10-08 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw29% Nagoya Grampus30%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
59%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw51% Nagoya Grampus23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.