Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 7,773 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yoichi Naganuma 83' 1–0
Jun Nishikawa 57' Y
Akito Fukuta 63' Y
Y 90' Takuji Yonemoto

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Koei Koya
  • Assistant 1 Hiroyuki Igarashi
  • Assistant 2

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
7
4
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Feb Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
05 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
29 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–3 L
08 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
25 Feb Kyōto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Yokohama FC A 1–0 W
05 Nov Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
29 Oct FC Tōkyō H 2–1 W
08 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Sagan Tosu FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The 33-year-old Cayman Togashi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 15' Japan international Ryuji Izumi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Akito Fukuta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 55' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Kensuke Nagai departs to be replaced by Ryoya Morishita.
  • 57' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jun Nishikawa on 57 minutes.
  • 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 63' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Taichi Kikuchi on, Naoyuki Fujita off on 63 minutes.
  • 63' A moment of madness from Akito Fukuta on 63 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
  • 64' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taichi Kikuchi is hanging Naoyuki Fujita on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' Kosuke Yamazaki is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
  • 72' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Ryonosuke Kabayama comes on to replace Yuto Iwasaki.
  • 75' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Ryuji Izumi has done his job and it is now time for Noriyoshi Sakai to step up.
  • 80' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Kasper Junker is replaced by Naldinho on 82 minute.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kasper Junker is replaced by Naldinho.
  • 83' Yoichi Naganuma does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
  • 88' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' The whistle greets Cayman Togashi as he departs to be replaced by Masaya Tashiro.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Takuji Yonemoto. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Naoki Maeda 2
Ryuji Izumi 2
Tomoya Koyamatsu 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2
Hikaru Nakahara 2

Head to Head

2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-17 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-02-25 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2023-02-18 Yokohama FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-11-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2022-10-29 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FC Tōkyō W 2022-10-08 Kyōto Sanga FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw29% Nagoya Grampus30%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
59%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw51% Nagoya Grampus23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.