Saturday , 14 November 2026

Kyōto Sanga FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 05:00 UTC Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kyōto Sanga FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 2–0 W
06 Oct Vissel Kobe H 2–3 L
28 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–2 L
22 Sep Gamba Osaka H 2–2 D
13 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos A 2–1 W
24 Aug FC Tōkyō H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC A 0–2 L
05 Oct FC Tōkyō A 1–1 D
28 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
22 Sep Tōkyō Verdy A 0–2 L
13 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 2–3 L
31 Aug Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Kyōto Sanga FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyōto Sanga FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/8
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kyōto Sanga FC
Rafael Elias 7 G 4 A
Haruki Arai 4 G
Ryuma Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Kyoto Sanga FC is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Wataru Harada is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kyoto Sanga FC.
  • 10' The referee shows Kyoto Sanga FC player a card on 10.
  • 14' The Kyoto Sanga FC bench stirs into life. Yuta Toyokawa is withdrawn and Gakuji Ota gets his opportunity.
  • 19' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 29' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 34' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 39' Kyo Sato is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kyoto Sanga FC tonight.
  • 44' Tae-hyeon Kim, a South Korea , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 47' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Shimpei Fukuoka on 47 minutes.
  • 52' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 57' Kyoto Sanga FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 58' Keisuke Sakaiya is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuki Horigome at the 58 minute mark.
  • 63' Japan international Cayman Togashi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marco Tulio makes it 1-0.
  • 66' Controversy at the stadium! Wataru Harada argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Yuta Miyamoto. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 70' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Tae-hyeon Kim by Yusuke Maruhashi on 70 minute.
  • 75' The energy levels are beginning to show. Naoyuki Iwata might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 80' The whistle greets Taiki Hirato as he departs to be replaced by Sora Hiraga.
  • 81' Seiji Kimura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Akito Fukuta on 81 minute.
  • 86' Kyoto Sanga FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 89' The Japan Shinnosuke Fukuda breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 2-0!
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Marcelo Ryan. He receives a card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Kyoto Sanga FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58 Kyōto Sanga FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kyōto Sanga FC48% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC26%
Actual: Kyōto Sanga FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Kyōto Sanga FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
52%
Kyōto Sanga FC or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kyōto Sanga FC32% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kyōto Sanga FC

Handicap Kyōto Sanga FC covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Kyōto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.