Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sagan Tosu FC

0 – 0

Full Time

Avispa Fukuoka

Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 4' Masaya Tashiro

Y 33' Kazuya Konno

Keisuke Sakaiya 79' Y

Y 84' Daiki Miya

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 8 games · Avg 1.0 goals Avispa Fukuoka

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-28 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka 2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-08-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2023-05-14 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
22 Sep	Tōkyō Verdy	A	0–2	L
13 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	2–3	L
31 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–2	L
25 Aug	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L
16 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	3–5	L

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	A	0–0	D
21 Sep	Júbilo Iwata	A	0–0	D
14 Sep	FC Machida Zelvia	H	0–3	L
01 Sep	Vissel Kobe	H	0–2	L
24 Aug	Gamba Osaka	A	2–2	D
17 Aug	Albirex Niigata	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

–/2

16-30

1/–

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/4

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

Shu Morooka	3 G	1 A
Kazuki Fujimoto	1 G
Werik	1 G
Yuma Tsujioka	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Ekimae Real Estate Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Sagan Tosu FC and Avispa Fukuoka.
4' It’s gonna be a card for Masaya Tashiro.
9' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yota Maejima suffering a number of foals already.
19' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
29' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
33' It’s gonna be a card for Kazuya Konno.
38' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
43' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Avispa Fukuoka backline.
48' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
53' The travelling Avispa Fukuoka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
58' Hiroshi Kiyotake is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hikaru Nakahara at the 58 minute mark.
60' The crowd applauds Wellington as he leaves the pitch. Shahab Zahedi Tabar steps in for Avispa Fukuoka.
65' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Avispa Fukuoka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
71' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Cayman Togashi is replaced by Marcelo Ryan.
76' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 76 minutes.
79' The referee has no hesitation. Keisuke Sakaiya is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — card on 79.
81' Tsubasa Terayama gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Vykintas Slivka and will look to change the dynamic.
82' The Avispa Fukuoka bench stirs into life. Masato Shigemi is withdrawn and Daiki Matsuoka gets his opportunity.
84' It’s a booking for Avispa Fukuoka player. Daiki Miya gets a card.
89' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Seiji Kimura
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Marcelo Ryan 71'
6
Akito Fukuta
77
Vykintas Slivka ↓ Tsubasa Terayama 81'
71
Il-kyu Park
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↓ Hiroshi Kiyotake 58'
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
24
Tojiro Kubo ↓ Keisuke Sakaiya 71'
18
Shota Hino ↓ Jaja Silva 81'
33
Kento Nishiya

Bench

55
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 58'
99
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 71'
4
Yuta Imazu
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 81'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
37
Tsubasa Terayama ↑ 81'
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 71'

Coach Naoyuki Iwata

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 60'
19
Masashi Kamekawa ↑ 82'
31
Masaaki Murakami
27
Ryoga Sato ↑ 71'
4
Seiya Inoue
9
Shahab Zahedi Tabar ↑ 60'
88
Daiki Matsuoka ↑ 82'

Coach Shigetoshi Hasebe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuya Yamagishi	2
Daiki Watari	1
Shun Nakamura	1
Fuchi Honda	1
Jordy Croux	1
Wellington	1
Ryoga Sato	1
Takeshi Kanamori	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-09-28 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-22 Tōkyō Verdy 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-08-25 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-16 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 5–3 Sagan Tosu FC L

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2024-09-28 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-21 Júbilo Iwata 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-14 Avispa Fukuoka 0–3 FC Machida Zelvia L 2024-09-01 Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Vissel Kobe L 2024-08-24 Gamba Osaka 2–2 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-08-17 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Albirex Niigata L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.82 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.89 Avispa Fukuoka xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw35% Avispa Fukuoka33%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes35% 0% No65%

Avg goals/match: 1.71

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	79%	21%
± 1.5	51%	49%
± 2.5	25%	75%
± 3.5	10%	90%
± 4.5	4%	96%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

67%

Draw or Avispa Fukuoka

68%

Sagan Tosu FC or Avispa Fukuoka

65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC19% Draw59% Avispa Fukuoka22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

14.5%

1 – 1

14.2%

1 – 0

13.4%

0 – 2

6.7%

1 – 2

5.8%

2 – 0

5.7%

2 – 1

5.4%

2 – 2

2.6%

0 – 3

1.9%

1 – 3

1.8%

3 – 0

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	20%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	21%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	9%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

44% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.