Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sagan Tosu FC

0 – 0

Full Time

Avispa Fukuoka

Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 4' Masaya Tashiro

Y 33' Kazuya Konno

Keisuke Sakaiya 79' Y

Y 84' Daiki Miya

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 8 games · Avg 1.0 goals Avispa Fukuoka

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-28 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka 2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-08-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2023-05-14 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
22 Sep	Tokyo Verdy	A	0–2	L
13 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	2–3	L
31 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–2	L
25 Aug	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L
16 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	3–5	L

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	A	0–0	D
21 Sep	Jubilo Iwata	A	0–0	D
14 Sep	FC Machida Zelvia	H	0–3	L
01 Sep	Vissel Kobe	H	0–2	L
24 Aug	Gamba Osaka	A	2–2	D
17 Aug	Albirex Niigata	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium as Sagan Tosu FC face off against Avispa Fukuoka in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
4' A meaty challenge results in booking for Masaya Tashiro on 4.
9' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
14' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kento Nishiya is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
19' Cayman Togashi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
29' Avispa Fukuoka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
33' Kazuya Konno picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
43' Avispa Fukuoka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
53' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
58' Hikaru Nakahara makes way for Hiroshi Kiyotake at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
60' Avispa Fukuoka make a change. Wellington trudges off to be replaced by Shahab Zahedi Tabar on 60 minutes.
65' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
70' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Avispa Fukuoka's compact .
71' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Cayman Togashi exits the field as Marcelo Ryan enters on 71.
76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
79' That looks like a foul for a card for Keisuke Sakaiya.
81' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Vykintas Slivka departs to be replaced by Tsubasa Terayama.
82' A tactical swap from Avispa Fukuoka — Daiki Matsuoka on, Masato Shigemi off on 82 minutes.
84' The referee has no hesitation. Daiki Miya is booked for Avispa Fukuoka — card on 84.
89' The travelling Avispa Fukuoka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
The final score is 0-0.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Seiji Kimura
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Marcelo Ryan 71'
6
Akito Fukuta
77
Vykintas Slivka ↓ Tsubasa Terayama 81'
71
Il-kyu Park
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↓ Hiroshi Kiyotake 58'
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
24
Tojiro Kubo ↓ Keisuke Sakaiya 71'
18
Shota Hino ↓ Jaja Silva 81'
33
Kento Nishiya

Bench

55
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 58'
99
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 71'
4
Yuta Imazu
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 81'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
37
Tsubasa Terayama ↑ 81'
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 71'

Coach Naoyuki Iwata

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 60'
19
Masashi Kamekawa ↑ 82'
31
Masaaki Murakami
27
Ryoga Sato ↑ 71'
4
Seiya Inoue
9
Shahab Zahedi Tabar ↑ 60'
88
Daiki Matsuoka ↑ 82'

Coach Shigetoshi Hasebe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuya Yamagishi	2
Juanma	1
Daiki Watari	1
Shun Nakamura	1
Fuchi Honda	1
Jordy Croux	1
Wellington	1
Ryoga Sato	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-09-28 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-22 Tokyo Verdy 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-08-25 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-16 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 5–3 Sagan Tosu FC L

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2024-09-28 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-21 Jubilo Iwata 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-14 Avispa Fukuoka 0–3 FC Machida Zelvia L 2024-09-01 Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Vissel Kobe L 2024-08-24 Gamba Osaka 2–2 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-08-17 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Albirex Niigata L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.82 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.89 Avispa Fukuoka xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw35% Avispa Fukuoka33%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes35% 0% No65%

Avg goals/match: 1.71

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	79%	21%
± 1.5	51%	49%
± 2.5	25%	75%
± 3.5	10%	90%
± 4.5	4%	96%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

67%

Draw or Avispa Fukuoka

68%

Sagan Tosu FC or Avispa Fukuoka

65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC19% Draw59% Avispa Fukuoka22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

14.5%

1 – 1

14.2%

1 – 0

13.4%

0 – 2

6.7%

1 – 2

5.8%

2 – 0

5.7%

2 – 1

5.4%

2 – 2

2.6%

0 – 3

1.9%

1 – 3

1.8%

3 – 0

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	20%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	21%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	9%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

44% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.