Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 3–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | Júbilo Iwata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Sep | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Werik | 2 G | |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Sagan Tosu FC host Avispa Fukuoka — let the battle begin!
- 4' The referee has no hesitation. Masaya Tashiro is booked for Avispa Fukuoka — card on 4.
- 9' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Akito Fukuta suffering a number of foals already.
- 14' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 24' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Avispa Fukuoka backline.
- 29' Avispa Fukuoka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kazuya Konno.
- 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 211 games and scored 223 goals.
- 43' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 48' Il-kyu Park needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 53' Over 53 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 58' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Hikaru Nakahara trudges off to be replaced by Hiroshi Kiyotake on 58 minutes.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Shahab Zahedi Tabar. He replaces Wellington on 60 minute.
- 65' Avispa Fukuoka is showing some good football. However, Avispa Fukuoka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 70' Avispa Fukuoka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 71' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 71 minute. Cayman Togashi leaves to be changed by Marcelo Ryan.
- 76' The 30-year-old Wataru Harada has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 79' The referee calls foul for Keisuke Sakaiya. He receives a card.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Tsubasa Terayama. He replaces Vykintas Slivka on 81 minute.
- 82' The crowd applauds Masato Shigemi as he leaves the pitch. Daiki Matsuoka steps in for Avispa Fukuoka.
- 84' Poor challenge from Daiki Miya. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 89' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Marcelo Ryan 71'
- 6
- 77
- 71
- 8
- 42
- 2
-
24
Tojiro Kubo ↓ Keisuke Sakaiya 71'
-
18
Shota Hino ↓ Jaja Silva 81'
- 33
Bench
-
55
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 58'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 71'
- 4
-
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 81'
- 31
-
37
Tsubasa Terayama ↑ 81'
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 71'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 17
- 1
-
16
Itsuki Oda ↓ Masashi Kamekawa 82'
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 60'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Ryoga Sato 71'
- 29
- 37
- 6
-
30
Masato Shigemi ↓ Daiki Matsuoka 82'
- 33
Bench
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 60'
-
19
Masashi Kamekawa ↑ 82'
- 31
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↑ 71'
- 4
-
9
Shahab Zahedi Tabar ↑ 60'
-
88
Daiki Matsuoka ↑ 82'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Juanma | 1 |
| Daiki Watari | 1 |
| Shun Nakamura | 1 |
| Fuchi Honda | 1 |
| Jordy Croux | 1 |
| Wellington | 1 |
| Ryoga Sato | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.82
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 75% + Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.71
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 1.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Avispa Fukuoka
65%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.5%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 3
1.9%
1 – 3
1.8%
3 – 0
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 20% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 21% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

