Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
22 Sep Tōkyō Verdy A 0–2 L
13 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 2–3 L
31 Aug Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L
25 Aug Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
16 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Júbilo Iwata A 0–0 D
14 Sep FC Machida Zelvia H 0–3 L
01 Sep Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
24 Aug Gamba Osaka A 2–2 D
17 Aug Albirex Niigata H 0–1 L

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Werik 2 G
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sagan Tosu FC host Avispa Fukuoka — let the battle begin!
  • 4' The referee has no hesitation. Masaya Tashiro is booked for Avispa Fukuoka — card on 4.
  • 9' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Akito Fukuta suffering a number of foals already.
  • 14' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 24' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Avispa Fukuoka backline.
  • 29' Avispa Fukuoka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kazuya Konno.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 211 games and scored 223 goals.
  • 43' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 48' Il-kyu Park needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 53' Over 53 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 58' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Hikaru Nakahara trudges off to be replaced by Hiroshi Kiyotake on 58 minutes.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Shahab Zahedi Tabar. He replaces Wellington on 60 minute.
  • 65' Avispa Fukuoka is showing some good football. However, Avispa Fukuoka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 70' Avispa Fukuoka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 71' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 71 minute. Cayman Togashi leaves to be changed by Marcelo Ryan.
  • 76' The 30-year-old Wataru Harada has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 79' The referee calls foul for Keisuke Sakaiya. He receives a card.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Tsubasa Terayama. He replaces Vykintas Slivka on 81 minute.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Masato Shigemi as he leaves the pitch. Daiki Matsuoka steps in for Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Daiki Miya. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 89' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.82 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw35% Avispa Fukuoka33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Avispa Fukuoka
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC19% Draw59% Avispa Fukuoka22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.5%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 3
1.9%
1 – 3
1.8%
3 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 20% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 21% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
44% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.