Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Oct | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | Júbilo Iwata | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Nagoya Grampus gets underway.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 8' Brilliant from the ! Vykintas Slivka makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 8.
- 10' GOAL! Hikaru Nakahara scores on 10.
- 15' Nagoya Grampus have won 410 goals from 450 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' Australia international Mitch Langerak has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 26' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yusuke Maruhashi.
- 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Katsunori Ueebisu made 105 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 41' Keisuke Sakaiya has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Takuya Uchida departs to be replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
- 51' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 61' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Fumiya Kitajima on, Yusuke Maruhashi off on 61 minutes.
- 62' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Shuhei Tokumoto is replaced by Ryosuke Yamanaka on 62 minute.
- 67' Hikaru Nakahara doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 69' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Kensuke Nagai trudges off to be replaced by Kasper Junker on 69 minutes.
- 70' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Keisuke Sakaiya is hanging Tsubasa Terayama on the field on 70 minute.
- 75' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 80' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
- 84' The crowd applauds Akito Fukuta as he leaves the pitch. Naoyuki Fujita steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 85' Haruki Yoshida is replacing Keiya Shiihashi for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 90' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Sagan Tosu FC take all three points.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 46'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Kasper Junker 69'
- 1
- 14
- 15
- 7
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Patric 46'
- 24
- 55
- 20
Bench
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 62'
-
10
Patric ↑ 46'
- 16
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 84'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 69'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 46'
-
5
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 85'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 84'
- 77
- 28
- 4
- 16
- 71
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↓ Jaja Silva 84'
- 37
- 25
Bench
- 11
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 84'
-
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 84'
- 31
-
2
Kosuke Yamazaki ↑ 84'
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 70'
-
36
Fumiya Kitajima ↑ 61'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Hikaru Nakahara | 2 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Naoki Maeda | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
59%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
71%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.