Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 31 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 46 |
| +2 | GD | -5 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama FC is underway.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' The 28-year-old Hiroto Iwabuchi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 12' The referee has no hesitation. Hiroto Iwabuchi is booked for Fagiano Okayama FC — card on 12.
- 17' Yugo Tatsuta, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 22' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 27' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 32' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
- 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Hiroto Iwabuchi is replaced by Ryunosuke Sato.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 56' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 61' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Ryo Tabei is withdrawn and Ryo Takeuchi gets his opportunity.
- 65' Tsukasa Morishima is replacing Ryuji Izumi for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 70' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 72' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Ataru Esaka is replaced by Takaya Kimura.
- 77' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Sho Inagaki scoring 1 goals.
- 82' Ryunosuke Sato picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 82' A change in the Fagiano Okayama FC ranks — Hijiri Kato exits the field as Gleyson enters on 82.
- 85' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Yuki Nogami comes on to replace Takuya Uchida.
- 90' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↓ Yuki Nogami 85'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 46'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 65'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yuya Asano 65'
- 70
- 3
- 55
- 20
- 35
Bench
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 85'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 65'
- 16
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 65'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 46'
- 33
- 6
- 26
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Takaya Kimura 72'
- 28
- 24
- 15
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Gleyson 82'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Noah Browne 72'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 61'
- 4
- 19
Bench
- 88
- 22
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 61'
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↑ 46'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 72'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 72'
- 13
- 5
-
9
Gleyson ↑ 82'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Katsuhiro Nakayama | 1 |
| Yoshitake Suzuki | 1 |
| Hidemasa Koda | 1 |
| Daichi Tagami | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Tōkyō Verdy
L
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Kashima Antlers
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.98
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
52%
Nagoya Grampus or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.