Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 31 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 46 |
| +2 | GD | -5 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama FC is underway.
- 5' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 12' Fagiano Okayama FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 12.
- 17' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 27' Fagiano Okayama FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Daichi Tagami scoring 1 goals.
- 32' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Fagiano Okayama FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 37' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yota Sato is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
- 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hiroto Iwabuchi made 56 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 46' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 46 minute. Hiroto Iwabuchi leaves to be changed by Ryunosuke Sato.
- 51' Takuya Uchida has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 61' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 61 minute. Ryo Tabei leaves to be changed by Ryo Takeuchi.
- 65' Tsukasa Morishima gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Ryuji Izumi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 72' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 72 minute. Ataru Esaka leaves to be changed by Takaya Kimura.
- 77' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 82' Ryunosuke Sato catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
- 82' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Gleyson comes on to replace Hijiri Kato.
- 85' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuki Nogami is hanging Takuya Uchida on the field on 85 minute.
- 90' Ryunosuke Sato has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↓ Yuki Nogami 85'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 46'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 65'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yuya Asano 65'
- 70
- 3
- 55
- 20
- 35
Bench
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 85'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 65'
- 16
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 65'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 46'
- 33
- 6
- 26
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Takaya Kimura 72'
- 28
- 24
- 15
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Gleyson 82'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Noah Browne 72'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 61'
- 4
- 19
Bench
- 88
- 22
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 61'
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↑ 46'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 72'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 72'
- 13
- 5
-
9
Gleyson ↑ 82'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hidemasa Koda | 1 |
| Daichi Tagami | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Tokyo Verdy
L
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Kashima Antlers
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.98
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
52%
Nagoya Grampus or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.