Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 31 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 46 |
| +2 | GD | -5 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama FC has kicked off!
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yota Sato, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 12' It’s gonna be a card for Hiroto Iwabuchi.
- 17' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 22' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 27' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 37' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 42' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Fagiano Okayama FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 46' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Ryunosuke Sato comes on to replace Hiroto Iwabuchi.
- 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 61 minute. Ryo Tabei leaves to be changed by Ryo Takeuchi.
- 65' Ryuji Izumi makes way for Tsukasa Morishima at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 70' Noah Browne has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 72' The crowd applauds Ataru Esaka as he leaves the pitch. Takaya Kimura steps in for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 77' Fagiano Okayama FC have won 66 goals from 69 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 82' That is a card for Fagiano Okayama FC. Ryunosuke Sato will be fuming at that decision.
- 82' A change in the Fagiano Okayama FC ranks — Hijiri Kato exits the field as Gleyson enters on 82.
- 85' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Takuya Uchida trudges off to be replaced by Yuki Nogami on 85 minutes.
- 90' Alexandre Pisano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↓ Yuki Nogami 85'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 46'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 65'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yuya Asano 65'
- 70
- 3
- 55
- 20
- 35
Bench
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 85'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 65'
- 16
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 65'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 46'
- 33
- 6
- 26
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Takaya Kimura 72'
- 28
- 24
- 15
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Gleyson 82'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Noah Browne 72'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 61'
- 4
- 19
Bench
- 88
- 22
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 61'
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↑ 46'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 72'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 72'
- 13
- 5
-
9
Gleyson ↑ 82'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Daichi Tagami | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Katsuhiro Nakayama | 1 |
| Yoshitake Suzuki | 1 |
| Hidemasa Koda | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Tōkyō Verdy
L
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Kashima Antlers
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.98
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
52%
Nagoya Grampus or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.