Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 31 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 46 | Scored | 41 |
| 44 | Conceded | 46 |
| +2 | GD | -5 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Toyota Stadium as Nagoya Grampus face off against Fagiano Okayama FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 12' Poor challenge from Hiroto Iwabuchi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 17' Takuya Uchida needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 22' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fagiano Okayama FC's shape.
- 27' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 42' Japan international Kota Kudo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 46' A change in the Fagiano Okayama FC ranks — Hiroto Iwabuchi exits the field as Ryunosuke Sato enters on 46.
- 51' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' Kensuke Nagai, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 61' Ryo Takeuchi is replacing Ryo Tabei for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Tsukasa Morishima. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 65 minute.
- 70' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
- 72' A tactical swap from Fagiano Okayama FC — Takaya Kimura on, Ataru Esaka off on 72 minutes.
- 77' With 0 assists to his name this season, Svend Brodersen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
- 82' That is a card for Fagiano Okayama FC. Ryunosuke Sato will be fuming at that decision.
- 82' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 82 minute. Hijiri Kato leaves to be changed by Gleyson.
- 85' The whistle greets Takuya Uchida as he departs to be replaced by Yuki Nogami.
- 90' Fagiano Okayama FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- The points are shared — Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Fagiano Okayama FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↓ Yuki Nogami 85'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 46'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 65'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yuya Asano 65'
- 70
- 3
- 55
- 20
- 35
Bench
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 85'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 65'
- 16
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 65'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 46'
- 33
- 6
- 26
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Takaya Kimura 72'
- 28
- 24
- 15
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Gleyson 82'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Noah Browne 72'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 61'
- 4
- 19
Bench
- 88
- 22
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 61'
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↑ 46'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 72'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 72'
- 13
- 5
-
9
Gleyson ↑ 82'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hidemasa Koda | 1 |
| Daichi Tagami | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Tokyo Verdy
L
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Kashima Antlers
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.98
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
52%
Nagoya Grampus or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.