Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fagiano Okayama FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Fagiano Okayama FC
6 – 5
5 – 4 pen
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sun 1 Mar 2026 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fagiano Okayama FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Yusuke Ohashi (Japan)
8 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 6.1 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
Fagiano Okayama FC 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-01 Fagiano Okayama FC 6–5 Nagoya Grampus 2025-09-13 Fagiano Okayama FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2025-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Fagiano Okayama FC

Recent Form

Fagiano Okayama FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 6–5 W
22 Feb Gamba Osaka H 1–2 L
14 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
08 Feb Avispa Fukuoka A 6–8 L
06 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
30 Nov Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–1 L
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC A 5–6 L
21 Feb V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–3 L
15 Feb Gamba Osaka A 0–0 D
08 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
06 Dec Avispa Fukuoka H 1–0 W
30 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Fagiano Okayama FC Nagoya Grampus
#6 Position #3
26 Points 31
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 46
46 Conceded 44
-5 GD +2
1.44 PPG 1.72
44% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hidemasa Koda 1
Daichi Tagami 1
Yota Sato 1

Head to Head

2026-03-01 Fagiano Okayama FC 6–5 Nagoya Grampus 2025-09-13 Fagiano Okayama FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2025-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Fagiano Okayama FC

Fagiano Okayama FC Form

2026-03-01 Fagiano Okayama FC 6–5 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-02-22 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2026-02-14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D 2026-02-08 Avispa Fukuoka 8–6 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2025-12-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-11-30 Fagiano Okayama FC 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2026-03-01 Fagiano Okayama FC 6–5 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-02-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-02-15 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2026-02-08 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-12-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-11-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.88 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.73 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 87%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fagiano Okayama FC46% Draw20% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes87% 0% No13%
Avg goals/match: 5.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 79%
21%
± 4.5 64%
36%

Double Chance

Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
54%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Nagoya Grampus
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fagiano Okayama FC36% Draw31% Nagoya Grampus33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–5 not predicted
6 – 5
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
4%
4 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
1 – 1
3.5%
4 – 3
3.4%
2 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC

Handicap Fagiano Okayama FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 12% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 16% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 15% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 11% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.