Fagiano Okayama FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #3 |
| 26 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 46 |
| 46 | Conceded | 44 |
| -5 | GD | +2 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at City Light Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Fagiano Okayama FC and Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' A quiet spell here at City Light Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' It looks surprising Fagiano Okayama FC does not make any changes. Masahito Ono has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 21' It’s gonna be a card for Yuta Kamiya.
- 26' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 32' Soichiro Mori picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 37' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 42' Fagiano Okayama FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 47' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
- 52' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 57' A tactical swap from Fagiano Okayama FC — Lucao on, Kazunari Ichimi off on 57 minutes.
- 60' Soichiro Mori makes way for Yuki Nogami at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 61' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yota Sato makes it 0-1.
- 62' Takaya Kimura makes way for Hijiri Kato at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 72' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 73' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Yuta Kamiya departs to be replaced by Werik.
- 76' Kensuke Nagai makes way for Yuya Asano at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 79' Controversy at the stadium! Katsuhiro Nakayama argues furiously but the card stands.
- 84' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 89' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 90' Katsuhiro Nakayama makes way for Masahito Ono at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 0-1 the final result. Fagiano Okayama FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 57'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 73'
- 28
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Werik 73'
- 39
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hijiri Kato 62'
- 14
- 4
Bench
- 77
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 62'
- 7
- 15
-
98
Werik ↑ 73'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↑ 62'
- 26
-
99
Lucao ↑ 57'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 73'
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Asano 76'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Gen Kato 90'
- 15
- 16
- 13
- 7
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Yudai Kimura 76'
- 3
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↓ Yuki Nogami 60'
Bench
- 8
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 60'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 76'
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 76'
- 32
- 20
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 90'
-
26
Gen Kato ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hidemasa Koda | 1 |
| Daichi Tagami | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-08-30
Kyoto Sanga FC
5–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-08-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
2025-08-17
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–1
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2025-08-10
Gamba Osaka
0–3
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-07-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Vissel Kobe
L
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.82
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Fagiano Okayama FC or Nagoya Grampus 75% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
61%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Nagoya Grampus
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
4.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 18% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

