Fagiano Okayama FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #3 |
| 26 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 46 |
| 46 | Conceded | 44 |
| -5 | GD | +2 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to City Light Stadium that hosts another battle between Fagiano Okayama FC and Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' Yuta Kamiya, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 21' Poor challenge from Yuta Kamiya. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 31' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Soichiro Mori on 32 minutes.
- 37' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
- 42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
- 47' It is a cagey affair so far. Fagiano Okayama FC in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
- 52' Nagoya Grampus have won 402 goals from 443 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 57' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Kazunari Ichimi is replaced by Lucao on 57 minute.
- 60' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 60 minute. Soichiro Mori leaves to be changed by Yuki Nogami.
- 61' GOAL! Yota Sato fires home to make it 0-1!
- 62' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Takaya Kimura trudges off to be replaced by Hijiri Kato on 62 minutes.
- 67' Fagiano Okayama FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
- 72' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fagiano Okayama FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 73' Werik is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuta Kamiya at the 73 minute mark.
- 76' Kensuke Nagai makes way for Yuya Asano at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Katsuhiro Nakayama on 79 minutes.
- 84' Yudai Kimura has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 89' Tsukasa Morishima has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 90' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Katsuhiro Nakayama is withdrawn and Masahito Ono gets his opportunity.
- Another three points for Nagoya Grampus.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 57'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 73'
- 28
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Werik 73'
- 39
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hijiri Kato 62'
- 14
- 4
Bench
- 77
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 62'
- 7
- 15
-
98
Werik ↑ 73'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↑ 62'
- 26
-
99
Lucao ↑ 57'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 73'
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Asano 76'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Gen Kato 90'
- 15
- 16
- 13
- 7
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Yudai Kimura 76'
- 3
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↓ Yuki Nogami 60'
Bench
- 8
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 60'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 76'
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 76'
- 32
- 20
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 90'
-
26
Gen Kato ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hidemasa Koda | 1 |
| Daichi Tagami | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Katsuhiro Nakayama | 1 |
| Yoshitake Suzuki | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-08-30
Kyōto Sanga FC
5–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-08-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
2025-08-17
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–1
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2025-08-10
Gamba Osaka
0–3
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-07-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Vissel Kobe
L
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.82
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Fagiano Okayama FC or Nagoya Grampus 75% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
61%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Nagoya Grampus
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
4.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 18% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.