Thursday , 16 July 2026

Mirassol FC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Fri 17 Jul 2026 · 23:00 UTC Campos Maia

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs Grêmio FBPASerie A at Campos Maia.

Head-to-Head

2
Mirassol FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D
23 May Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
16 May CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
10 May Chapecoense AF H 1–1 D
03 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
26 Apr Sao Paulo FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
23 May Santos FC H 3–2 W
17 May EC Bahia A 1–1 D
10 May CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
02 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D
26 Apr Coritiba FBC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Mirassol FC Grêmio FBPA
#19 Position #16
16 Points 21
17 Played 18
4 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
18 Scored 20
24 Conceded 23
-6 GD -3
0.94 PPG 1.17
24% Win % 28%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Mirassol FC are 19th (16 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 3 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Predictions

1.34 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

Mirassol FC49% Draw29% Grêmio FBPA22%

Both Teams to Score

Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.15

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
51%
Mirassol FC or Grêmio FBPA
71%

Half-Time Result

Mirassol FC32% Draw52% Grêmio FBPA16%

Correct Score

1 – 0
14.5%
0 – 0
14%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 25% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.