Monday , 3 August 2026

Mirassol FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Fri 17 Jul 2026 · 23:00 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'
Bruno Oliveira 16' 1–0
Edson Carioca 40' 2–0
2–1 78' Carlos Vinicius

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs Grêmio FBPASerie A at Campos Maia.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
30 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D
23 May Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
16 May CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
10 May Chapecoense AF H 1–1 D
03 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
30 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
23 May Santos FC H 3–2 W
17 May EC Bahia A 1–1 D
10 May CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
02 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Mirassol FC Gremio FBPA
#14 Position #17
23 Points 22
20 Played 20
6 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 5 / 7 / 8
23 Scored 22
27 Conceded 26
-4 GD -4
1.15 PPG 1.10
30% Win % 25%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
35% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Mirassol FC are 14th (23 pts). Gremio FBPA are 17th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 4 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Mirassol FC to score. At the same time, Grêmio FBPA does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Grêmio FBPA that had 327 games and scored 384 goals.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Campos Maia. Mirassol FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Grêmio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 16' Assisted by Igor Formiga with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bruno Oliveira makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 21' With 0 assists to his name this season, Riquelme is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Grêmio FBPA.
  • 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 31' Mirassol FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Grêmio FBPA's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 36' It’s gonna be a card for Denilson Alves.
  • 38' Controversy at the stadium! Denilson Alves argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 40' What a strike from Edson Carioca! The score is 2-0.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Walter Kannemann on 41.
  • 46' Willian has so much to prove this time. He replaces Francis Amuzu on 46 minute.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' Mirassol FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 61' Grêmio FBPA come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 65' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Gustavo Martins will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' Gustavo Martins is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Grêmio FBPA so far.
  • 72' A tactical swap from Mirassol FCCarlos Eduardo on, Edson Carioca off on 72 minutes.
  • 75' The Mirassol FC bench stirs into life. Bruno Oliveira is withdrawn and Andre Luis gets his opportunity.
  • 76' Mirassol FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shaylon is hanging Joao Wellington on the field on 76 minute.
  • 78' A goal from the Brazil international Carlos Vinicius! He fires home on 78 to make it 2-1!
  • 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Leonel Perez.
  • 80' Juan Ignacio Nardoni makes way for Riquelme at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Mirassol FCChico on, Denilson Alves off on 83 minutes.
  • 86' Marcos Rocha gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Tete and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Another three points for Mirassol FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.55 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC54% Draw26% Grêmio FBPA20%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
46%
Mirassol FC or Grêmio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC35% Draw48% Grêmio FBPA17%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.