Friday , 6 November 2026

Milton Keynes Dons FC vs Swindon Town FC, FA Cup 2026 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2026
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC Stadium mk

Overview

Match Preview

Milton Keynes Dons FC vs Swindon Town FC — FA Cup at Stadium mk.

Head-to-Head

2
Milton Keynes Dons FC 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals Swindon Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct Doncaster Rovers FC H 6–1 W
27 Oct Bromley FC H 4–1 W
24 Oct Stevenage FC A 1–0 W
20 Oct Blackpool FC A 0–2 L
17 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–1 W
10 Oct Reading FC H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jan Salford City FC A 2–3 L
06 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC H 4–0 W
01 Nov Rotherham United FC A 2–1 W
30 Nov Accrington Stanley FC A 1–4 L
02 Nov Colchester United FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Aldershot Town FC H 4–7 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

H2H

Predictions

2.58 Milton Keynes Dons FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Swindon Town FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Milton Keynes Dons FC to win 63%

Match Result

Milton Keynes Dons FC63% Draw20% Swindon Town FC17%

Both Teams to Score

Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.75

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Milton Keynes Dons FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Swindon Town FC
37%
Milton Keynes Dons FC or Swindon Town FC
80%

Half-Time Result

Milton Keynes Dons FC49% Draw36% Swindon Town FC15%

Correct Score

2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 1
7.9%
3 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
6.6%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
4.1%
0 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Milton Keynes Dons FC

Handicap Milton Keynes Dons FC covers Push Swindon Town FC covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 19% 54%
-1.5 46% — 54%
-1 46% 21% 34%
-0.5 66% — 34%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Milton Keynes Dons FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Swindon Town FC keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.