Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swindon Town FC vs Aldershot Town FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2023-24
Swindon Town FC
4 – 7
Full Time
Aldershot Town FC
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 15:00 UTC County Ground HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Swindon Town FC vs Aldershot Town FC — FA Cup at County Ground.

Head-to-Head

1
Swindon Town FC 1 games · Avg 11.0 goals Aldershot Town FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-11-04 Swindon Town FC 4–7 Aldershot Town FC

Recent Form

Swindon Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Aldershot Town FC H 4–7 L
05 Nov Stockport County FC A 0–4 L
06 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC A 3–0 W
09 May Wigan Athletic FC A 4–3 W
01 May Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
24 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC A 0–5 L
Aldershot Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Swindon Town FC A 7–4 W
16 Oct Bowers & Pitsea FC A 1–2 L
24 Oct Woking FC H 1–2 L
19 Oct Bromley FC A 3–4 L
20 Nov Bradford City AFC A 1–1 D
10 Nov Bradford City AFC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Swindon Town FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Aldershot Town FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Swindon Town FC
Aaron Drinan 3 G 1 A
Ollie Palmer 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Swindon Town FC Lineups

Aldershot Town FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.38 Swindon Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.31 Aldershot Town FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 86%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swindon Town FC31% Draw21% Aldershot Town FC48%
Actual: Aldershot Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes86% 0% No14%
Avg goals/match: 5.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 80%
20%
± 4.5 65%
35%

Double Chance

Swindon Town FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Aldershot Town FC
69%
Swindon Town FC or Aldershot Town FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Swindon Town FC25% Draw30% Aldershot Town FC45%
Actual: Aldershot Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–7 not predicted
4 – 7
Actual
2 – 3
5.6%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 4
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 3
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
1 – 4
4%
3 – 4
3.7%
2 – 1
3.4%
1 – 1
3.3%
2 – 5
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Swindon Town FC

Handicap Swindon Town FC covers Push Aldershot Town FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 8% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 12% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 17% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 15% 23%
+2.5 77% — 23%

Clean Sheet

Swindon Town FC keeps clean sheet
4% ✓
Aldershot Town FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.