Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Burnley FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Millwall FC
Sat 3 May 2025 · 11:30 UTC Turf Moor 21,485 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Mihailo Ivanovic
Josh Brownhill 13' 1–1
Jaidon Anthony 66' 2–1
Josh Brownhill 90+4' 3–1
Josh Brownhill 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

3
1
1
Burnley FC 5 games · Avg 3.0 goals Millwall FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-03 Burnley FC 3–1 Millwall FC 2024-11-03 Millwall FC 1–0 Burnley FC 2023-02-21 Millwall FC 1–1 Burnley FC 2022-08-30 Burnley FC 2–0 Millwall FC

Recent Form

Burnley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Millwall FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 5–0 W
21 Apr Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
18 Apr Watford FC A 2–1 W
11 Apr Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
08 Apr Derby County FC A 0–0 D
Millwall FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Burnley FC A 1–3 L
26 Apr Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
21 Apr Norwich City FC H 3–1 W
18 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–4 L
12 Apr Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
08 Apr Sheffield United FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Turf Moor!
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 11' What a strike from Mihailo Ivanovic! The score is 0-1.
  • 13' What an equalizer from Josh Brownhill!
  • 18' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 23' Aidomo Emakhu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 28' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Millwall FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Burnley FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 48' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 53' Millwall FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 53.
  • 58' With 0 assists to his name this season, Luke Cundle is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
  • 63' Millwall FC ring the changes. Casper De Norre has done his job and it is now time for Luke Cundle to step up.
  • 66' Assisted by CJ Egan-Riley with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jaidon Anthony makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 71' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Millwall FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 76' Connor Roberts has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 77' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Tristan Crama is withdrawn and Ryan Leonard gets his opportunity.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Ashley Barnes is replaced by Lyle Foster on 79 minute.
  • 84' George Saville makes way for Macaulay Langstaff at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
  • 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Josh Brownhill.
  • Another three points for Burnley FC.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Scott Parker

Millwall FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alex Neil

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Josh Brownhill 2
Ashley Barnes 2
Mihailo Ivanovic 1
Jaidon Anthony 1
Jay Rodriguez 1
Vitinho 1
Tom Bradshaw 1
Jake Cooper 1

Head to Head

2025-05-03 Burnley FC 3–1 Millwall FC 2024-11-03 Millwall FC 1–0 Burnley FC 2023-02-21 Millwall FC 1–1 Burnley FC 2022-08-30 Burnley FC 2–0 Millwall FC

Burnley FC Form

2025-05-03 Burnley FC 3–1 Millwall FC W 2025-04-26 Queens Park Rangers FC 0–5 Burnley FC W 2025-04-21 Burnley FC 2–1 Sheffield United FC W 2025-04-18 Watford FC 1–2 Burnley FC W 2025-04-11 Burnley FC 2–1 Norwich City FC W 2025-04-08 Derby County FC 0–0 Burnley FC D

Millwall FC Form

2025-05-03 Burnley FC 3–1 Millwall FC L 2025-04-26 Millwall FC 1–0 Swansea City AFC W 2025-04-21 Millwall FC 3–1 Norwich City FC W 2025-04-18 Blackburn Rovers FC 4–1 Millwall FC L 2025-04-12 Millwall FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC W 2025-04-08 Sheffield United FC 0–1 Millwall FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.76 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC55% Draw25% Millwall FC20%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Millwall FC
45%
Burnley FC or Millwall FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC38% Draw45% Millwall FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.