Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burnley FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
3 1
Full Time
Sat 3 May 2025 · 11:30 UTC Turf Moor 21,485 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Mihailo Ivanovic
Josh Brownhill 13' 1–1
Jaidon Anthony 66' 2–1
Josh Brownhill 90+4' 3–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Millwall FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 5–0 W
21 Apr Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
18 Apr Watford FC A 2–1 W
11 Apr Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
08 Apr Derby County FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Burnley FC A 1–3 L
26 Apr Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
21 Apr Norwich City FC H 3–1 W
18 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–4 L
12 Apr Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
08 Apr Sheffield United FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Burnley FC Millwall FC
#20 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Burnley FC are 20th (0 pts). Millwall FC are 9th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Burnley FC and Millwall FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Millwall FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 11' Mihailo Ivanovic adds to his 0 season tally! Millwall FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 13' Josh Brownhill has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 13 minutes.
  • 18' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 23' Burnley FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 28' Burnley FC currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 38' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 43' Burnley FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Millwall FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
  • 53' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Scott Parker will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 58' Millwall FC have won 401 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 63' A tactical swap from Millwall FCLuke Cundle on, Casper De Norre off on 63 minutes.
  • 66' Magnificent from Jaidon Anthony! That is 23 goals in 335 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Pires, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Tristan Crama is replaced by Ryan Leonard.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Ashley Barnes as he leaves the pitch. Lyle Foster steps in for Burnley FC.
  • 84' Macaulay Langstaff has so much to prove this time. He replaces George Saville on 84 minute.
  • 89' The travelling Millwall FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' Josh Brownhill catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The points are shared — Burnley FC 3-1 Millwall FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.11 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.47 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC53% Draw32% Millwall FC15%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Millwall FC
47%
Burnley FC or Millwall FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC31% Draw60% Millwall FC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.1%
1 – 0
21.6%
2 – 0
12%
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
2.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
2%
2 – 2
1.5%
4 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 15% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 28% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 11% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
63%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.