Burnley FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)
7 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Millwall FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Sheffield United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Burnley FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Apr | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Burnley FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #16 |
| 10 | Points | 18 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 1 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 5 / 3 / 7 |
| 22 | Scored | 23 |
| 31 | Conceded | 27 |
| -9 | GD | -4 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 7% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Burnley FC are 22nd (10 pts). Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Largie Ramazani | 4 G | 1 A |
| Zeki Amdouni | 3 G | 1 A |
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Burnley FC launch into their encounter with Millwall FC.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 11' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mihailo Ivanovic makes it 0-1.
- 13' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Josh Brownhill makes it 1-1.
- 18' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 23' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
- 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 38' George Honeyman, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Femi Azeez made 394 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 48' Millwall FC have won 425 goals from 397 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 53' Burnley FC currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 63' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Casper De Norre is replaced by Luke Cundle.
- 66' GOAL! Jaidon Anthony scores on 66. Assisted by CJ Egan-Riley
- 71' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Millwall FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 76' Jake Cooper is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
- 77' Ryan Leonard gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Tristan Crama and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Ashley Barnes is replaced by Lyle Foster.
- 84' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Macaulay Langstaff comes on to replace George Saville.
- 89' The 29-year-old Macaulay Langstaff has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Josh Brownhill.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Burnley FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 22
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↓ Lyle Foster 79'
- 14
- 24
- 11
- 1
-
28
Hannibal Mejbri ↓ Josh Laurent 84'
- 5
- 23
- 6
Bench
- 15
- 4
- 32
-
17
Lyle Foster ↑ 79'
-
7
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 79'
- 21
- 30
- 2
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 84'
Coach
Scott Parker
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
39
George Honeyman ↓ Ryan Wintle 77'
- 23
-
24
Casper De Norre ↓ Luke Cundle 63'
- 6
-
52
Tristan Crama ↓ Ryan Leonard 77'
- 11
- 21
- 26
- 58
- 41
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 84'
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↑ 77'
- 45
-
14
Ryan Wintle ↑ 77'
-
25
Luke Cundle ↑ 63'
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 77'
- 16
- 54
- 53
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 2 |
| Ashley Barnes | 2 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
| Jay Rodriguez | 1 |
| Vitinho | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.14
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Millwall FC
47%
Burnley FC or Millwall FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 15% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 20% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

