Burnley FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 8 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)
4 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Millwall FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Sheffield United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Burnley FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Apr | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Burnley FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | Position | #11 |
| 4 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 0 / 4 / 4 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| 9 | Scored | 15 |
| 17 | Conceded | 15 |
| -8 | GD | +0 |
| 0.50 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 0% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Burnley FC are 24th (4 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Burnley FC welcome Millwall FC for this crunch clash at Turf Moor.
- 5' Burnley FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 346 games and scored 408 goals.
- 11' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mihailo Ivanovic makes it 0-1.
- 13' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Josh Brownhill makes it 1-1.
- 18' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Millwall FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 28' Macaulay Langstaff, a England centre-forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 33' Millwall FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 38' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 43' With 0 assists to his name this season, George Evans is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
- 48' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 53' The travelling Millwall FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 58' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 63' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Casper De Norre is withdrawn and Luke Cundle gets his opportunity.
- 66' Jaidon Anthony does the damage! The net is bulging and Burnley FC surge ahead!
- 71' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 76' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Millwall FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 77' The whistle greets Tristan Crama as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Leonard.
- 79' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Ashley Barnes exits the field as Lyle Foster enters on 79.
- 84' A tactical swap from Millwall FC — Macaulay Langstaff on, George Saville off on 84 minutes.
- 89' Burnley FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Josh Brownhill on 90 minutes.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Burnley FC players.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 22
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↓ Lyle Foster 79'
- 14
- 24
- 11
- 1
-
28
Hannibal Mejbri ↓ Josh Laurent 84'
- 5
- 23
- 6
Bench
- 15
- 4
- 32
-
17
Lyle Foster ↑ 79'
-
7
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 79'
- 21
- 30
- 2
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 84'
Coach
Scott Parker
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
39
George Honeyman ↓ Ryan Wintle 77'
- 23
-
24
Casper De Norre ↓ Luke Cundle 63'
- 6
-
52
Tristan Crama ↓ Ryan Leonard 77'
- 11
- 21
- 26
- 58
- 41
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 84'
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↑ 77'
- 45
-
14
Ryan Wintle ↑ 77'
-
25
Luke Cundle ↑ 63'
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 77'
- 16
- 54
- 53
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ashley Barnes | 2 |
| Josh Brownhill | 2 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
| Jay Rodriguez | 1 |
| Vitinho | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.94
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 71% + Over 2.5 goals 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Millwall FC
53%
Burnley FC or Millwall FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

