Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
3 – 1
Full Time
Sat 3 May 2025 · 11:30 UTC Turf Moor 21,485 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Mihailo Ivanovic
Josh Brownhill 13' 1–1
Jaidon Anthony 66' 2–1
Josh Brownhill 90+4' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Millwall FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 5–0 W
21 Apr Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
18 Apr Watford FC A 2–1 W
11 Apr Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
08 Apr Derby County FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Burnley FC A 1–3 L
26 Apr Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
21 Apr Norwich City FC H 3–1 W
18 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–4 L
12 Apr Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
08 Apr Sheffield United FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Burnley FC Millwall FC
#24 Position #11
4 Points 11
8 Played 8
0 / 4 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 3
9 Scored 15
17 Conceded 15
-8 GD +0
0.50 PPG 1.38
0% Win % 38%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Burnley FC are 24th (4 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G
Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Burnley FC welcome Millwall FC for this crunch clash at Turf Moor.
  • 5' Burnley FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 346 games and scored 408 goals.
  • 11' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mihailo Ivanovic makes it 0-1.
  • 13' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Josh Brownhill makes it 1-1.
  • 18' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Millwall FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 28' Macaulay Langstaff, a England centre-forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 33' Millwall FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 38' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 43' With 0 assists to his name this season, George Evans is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
  • 48' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 53' The travelling Millwall FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 58' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 63' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Casper De Norre is withdrawn and Luke Cundle gets his opportunity.
  • 66' Jaidon Anthony does the damage! The net is bulging and Burnley FC surge ahead!
  • 71' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 76' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Millwall FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 77' The whistle greets Tristan Crama as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Leonard.
  • 79' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Ashley Barnes exits the field as Lyle Foster enters on 79.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Millwall FC — Macaulay Langstaff on, George Saville off on 84 minutes.
  • 89' Burnley FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Josh Brownhill on 90 minutes.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Burnley FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.94 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 71% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC47% Draw23% Millwall FC30%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Millwall FC
53%
Burnley FC or Millwall FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC32% Draw39% Millwall FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 18% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 17% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.