Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Millwall FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2025-26
5 1
Full Time
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Millwall FCFA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Backhouse

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Millwall FC H 5–1 W
07 Jan Manchester United FC H 2–2 D
03 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–2 L
30 Dec Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
27 Dec Everton FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Burnley FC A 1–5 L
04 Jan Swansea City AFC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Southampton FC A 0–0 D
29 Dec Bristol City FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Burnley FC gets underway.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Millwall FC.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC56% Draw24% Millwall FC20%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Millwall FC
44%
Burnley FC or Millwall FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC41% Draw43% Millwall FC16%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 0
9.7%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
6%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 23% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.