Burnley FC vs Millwall FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Millwall FC — FA Cup .
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Millwall FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Backhouse
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan | Millwall FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 07 Jan | Manchester United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Jan | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Dec | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Dec | Everton FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Dec | AFC Bournemouth | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan | Burnley FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 04 Jan | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jan | Southampton FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Dec | Bristol City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Dec | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Dec | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Burnley FC gets underway.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Millwall FC.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ashley Barnes | 2 |
| Josh Brownhill | 2 |
| Jay Rodriguez | 1 |
| Vitinho | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Burnley FC to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Millwall FC
44%
Burnley FC or Millwall FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 0
9.7%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
6%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 23% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

