1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, 2016

Refresh

1. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

1. FSV Mainz 05

0 – 2

Full Time

VfL Wolfsburg

Fri 9 Sep 2016 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts
VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

1. FSV Mainz 05 10.00

Draw 5.50

VfL Wolfsburg 1.30

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Last 5 meetings

2016-09-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2016-04-16 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-11-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2015-02-03 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2014-08-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Sep	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–2	L
27 Aug	FC Hansa Rostock	A	0–1	L
20 Aug	Iran	A	4–1	W
14 May	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	A	4–1	W
07 May	MSV Duisburg	H	1–1	D
30 Apr	1. FC Nurnberg	A	3–1	W

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	2–0	W
26 Aug	Wroxham FC	H	6–0	W
19 Aug	Egypt	A	5–0	W
14 May	1. FC Nurnberg	H	3–1	W
07 May	1. FC Koln	A	2–1	W
30 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg get this one started.
0-2 the final result. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonas Wind	7
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Max Kruse	3
Stefan Bell	2
Wout Weghorst	2
Robin Quaison	2
Renato Steffen	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2016-09-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2016-08-27 FC Hansa Rostock 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2016-08-20 Iran 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2016-05-14 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2016-05-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 MSV Duisburg D 2016-04-30 1. FC Nurnberg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2016-09-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2016-08-26 VfL Wolfsburg 6–0 Wroxham FC W 2016-08-19 Egypt 0–5 VfL Wolfsburg W 2016-05-14 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Nurnberg W 2016-05-07 1. FC Koln 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2016-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 VfB Stuttgart D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

0.86 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 VfL Wolfsburg xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0522% Draw27% VfL Wolfsburg51%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.53

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

49%

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

78%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg

73%

Half-Time Result

1. FSV Mainz 0515% Draw47% VfL Wolfsburg38%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

12.4%

1 – 1

12.3%

0 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

10%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 3

5.9%

1 – 0

5.9%

1 – 3

5.2%

2 – 1

4.7%

2 – 2

2 – 0

2.9%

0 – 4

2.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	5%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	12%	82%
-0.5	18%	—	82%
+0.5	45%	—	55%
+1	45%	24%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	17%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

43% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.