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MSV Duisburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2017

1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017
Sun 13 Dec 2015 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

MSV Duisburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

MSV Duisburg 2.63
Draw 3.50
1. FSV Mainz 05 2.63

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
05 Dec Karlsruher SC A 1–0 W
29 Nov 1. CfR Pforzheim H 0–0 D
21 Nov FC Erzgebirge Aue A 4–0 W
08 Nov Wroxham FC H 1–2 L
31 Oct SV Linx 1949 H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec MSV Duisburg A 1–2 L
04 Dec 1. FC Nurnberg H 3–1 W
29 Nov SV Drochtersen/Assel A 1–1 D
21 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–3 L
08 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–3 L
31 Oct 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 3
1.32 MSV Duisburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
MSV Duisburg45% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 0527%
Actual: MSV Duisburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

MSV Duisburg or Draw
74%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
55%
MSV Duisburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
72%

Half-Time Result

MSV Duisburg29% Draw50% 1. FSV Mainz 0521%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — MSV Duisburg

Handicap MSV Duisburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet
35%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.