Sunday , 15 November 2026

Luton Town FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,815 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Farai Hallam (England)
  • Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
6 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D
11 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
19 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Luton Town FC A 0–0 D
11 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
01 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
21 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry 3 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Luton Town FC and Middlesbrough FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Middlesbrough FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Middlesbrough FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 24' The referee has no hesitation. Samuel Iling-Junior is booked for Middlesbrough FC — card on 24.
  • 29' Luton Town FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Matt Bloomfield might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' Christ Makosso is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
  • 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 49' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 54' Luton Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 55' The crowd applauds Elijah Adebayo as he leaves the pitch. Jacob Brown steps in for Luton Town FC.
  • 60' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
  • 64' Jacob Brown picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Liam Walsh. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Jacob Brown is replaced by Lasse Nordas on 69 minute.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Alfie Doughty is replaced by Millenic Alli.
  • 75' The referee shows Middlesbrough FC player a card on 75.
  • 75' Middlesbrough FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marcus Forss is hanging Tommy Conway on the field on 75 minute.
  • 80' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 85' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 89' That is a card for Middlesbrough FC. Hayden Hackney will be fuming at that decision.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Middlesbrough FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC35% Draw31% Middlesbrough FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
65%
Luton Town FC or Middlesbrough FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC23% Draw53% Middlesbrough FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
11.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 20% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.