Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,815 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Farai Hallam (England)
  • Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
5 games this season 🟨 2.4/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D
11 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
19 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Luton Town FC A 0–0 D
11 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
01 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
21 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Middlesbrough FC get us underway at Kenilworth Road.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hayden Hackney, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Luton Town FC and Middlesbrough FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Middlesbrough FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 24' Samuel Iling-Junior has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 24.
  • 29' A quiet spell here at Kenilworth Road. Middlesbrough FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 34' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 391 games and scored 484 goals.
  • 44' Millenic Alli has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 49' Luton Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Middlesbrough FC backline.
  • 54' Middlesbrough FC come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 55' The supporters are chanting for Jacob Brown. He replaces Elijah Adebayo on 55 minute.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 64' Poor challenge from Jacob Brown. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Liam Walsh. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 69' Lasse Nordas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jacob Brown on 69 minute.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Alfie Doughty as he leaves the pitch. Millenic Alli steps in for Luton Town FC.
  • 75' Middlesbrough FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 75.
  • 75' The Middlesbrough FC manager makes a substitution. Tommy Conway departs to be replaced by Marcus Forss.
  • 80' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Thomas Kaminski has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 85' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
  • 89' That is a card for Middlesbrough FC. Hayden Hackney will be fuming at that decision.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Luton Town FC 0-0 Middlesbrough FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Middlesbrough FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC35% Draw31% Middlesbrough FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
65%
Luton Town FC or Middlesbrough FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC23% Draw53% Middlesbrough FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
11.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 20% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.