Sunday , 16 August 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 5 Mar 2022 · 15:00 UTC Riverside Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Luton Town FC H 2–1 W
26 Feb Barnsley FC A 2–3 L
22 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
19 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
12 Feb Derby County FC H 4–1 W
09 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
26 Feb Derby County FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Stoke City FC A 2–1 W
19 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–0 W
12 Feb Birmingham City FC A 0–3 L
08 Feb Barnsley FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Middlesbrough FC have kicked off against Luton Town FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Aaron Connolly has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Nathan Jones will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 17' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Paddy McNair makes it 1-0.
  • 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cameron Jerome on 20.
  • 25' Kal Naismith has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' Luton Town FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 39' The supporters are chanting for Henri Lansbury. He replaces Gabriel Osho on 39 minute.
  • 44' Middlesbrough FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
  • 49' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 50' Danny Hylton has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 50.
  • 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Middlesbrough FC and Luton Town FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 61' Henri Lansbury picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 63' The Middlesbrough FC bench stirs into life. Folarin Balogun is withdrawn and Duncan Watmore gets his opportunity.
  • 65' Luton Town FC make a change. Kal Naismith trudges off to be replaced by Jordan Clark on 65 minutes.
  • 70' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 73' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Allan Campbell is withdrawn and Harry Cornick gets his opportunity.
  • 78' Joe Lumley has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 83' Another substitution for Middlesbrough FC to replace Aaron Connolly by Josh Coburn on 83 minute.
  • 87' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Duncan Watmore makes it 2-0.
  • 90' Josh Coburn catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
  • 90' Middlesbrough FC ring the changes. Isaiah Jones has done his job and it is now time for Soul Bamba to step up.
  • The points are shared — Middlesbrough FC 2-1 Luton Town FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC47% Draw27% Luton Town FC26%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Luton Town FC
53%
Middlesbrough FC or Luton Town FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC33% Draw47% Luton Town FC20%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.