Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 5 Mar 2022 · 15:00 UTC Riverside Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Luton Town FC H 2–1 W
26 Feb Barnsley FC A 2–3 L
22 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
19 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
12 Feb Derby County FC H 4–1 W
09 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
26 Feb Derby County FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Stoke City FC A 2–1 W
19 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–0 W
12 Feb Birmingham City FC A 0–3 L
08 Feb Barnsley FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Riverside Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Middlesbrough FC and Luton Town FC.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Middlesbrough FC and Luton Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' Middlesbrough FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Luton Town FC's shape.
  • 15' Luton Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 17' Paddy McNair makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Middlesbrough FC are in front.
  • 20' Cameron Jerome has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 20.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kal Naismith, as he is very good at scoring at Riverside Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at Riverside Stadium. Middlesbrough FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 39' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Gabriel Osho departs to be replaced by Henri Lansbury.
  • 44' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Luton Town FC backline.
  • 49' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Lockyer suffering a number of foals already.
  • 50' Danny Hylton picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 55' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' Henri Lansbury catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 61.
  • 63' Duncan Watmore has so much to prove this time. He replaces Folarin Balogun on 63 minute.
  • 65' Jordan Clark has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kal Naismith on 65 minute.
  • 70' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Allan Campbell as he leaves the pitch. Harry Cornick steps in for Luton Town FC.
  • 78' The energy levels are beginning to show. Chris Wilder might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Josh Coburn comes on to replace Aaron Connolly.
  • 87' What a strike from Duncan Watmore! The score is 2-0.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josh Coburn on 90.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Isaiah Jones as he leaves the pitch. Soul Bamba steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
  • Middlesbrough FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC47% Draw27% Luton Town FC26%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Luton Town FC
53%
Middlesbrough FC or Luton Town FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC33% Draw47% Luton Town FC20%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.