Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Mon 24 Apr 2023 · 19:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Luke Berry 78' Y
Amari'i Bell 90' Y

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
19 Apr Reading FC A 1–1 D
15 Apr Rotherham United FC A 2–0 W
10 Apr Blackpool FC H 3–1 W
07 Apr Millwall FC A 0–0 D
01 Apr Watford FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
19 Apr Hull City AFC H 3–1 W
14 Apr Norwich City FC H 5–1 W
10 Apr Bristol City FC A 2–2 D
07 Apr Burnley FC H 1–2 L
01 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–4 L

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Luton Town FC launch into their encounter with Middlesbrough FC.
  • 5' Middlesbrough FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matty Crooks made 191 appearances and scored 36 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Luton Town FC and Middlesbrough FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' Middlesbrough FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Ryan John Giles has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 343 appearances.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cody Drameh, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 40' Cameron Archer makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Middlesbrough FC are in front.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 49' GOAL! Tom Lockyer scores on 49.
  • 50' Tom Lockyer makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Luton Town FC are in front.
  • 55' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 57' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Allan Campbell is replaced by Jordan Clark on 57 minute.
  • 62' A quiet spell here at Kenilworth Road. Middlesbrough FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 65' Carlton Morris does the damage! The net is bulging and Luton Town FC surge ahead!
  • 67' A goal from the England international Carlton Morris! He fires home on 67 to make it 4-1!
  • 72' Isaiah Jones is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Middlesbrough FC tonight.
  • 75' Carlton Morris makes way for Joe Taylor at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 76' Pelly Ruddock makes way for Luke Berry at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luke Berry on 78.
  • 78' The whistle greets Cameron Archer as he departs to be replaced by Rodrigo Muniz.
  • 83' The whistle greets Alfie Doughty as he departs to be replaced by Joseph Johnson.
  • 88' Middlesbrough FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Amari'i Bell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • Another three points for Luton Town FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC52% Draw25% Middlesbrough FC23%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
48%
Luton Town FC or Middlesbrough FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC35% Draw45% Middlesbrough FC20%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.