Livingston FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
Livingston FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tony Macaroni Arena.
- Livingston FC 33 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Kilmarnock FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 12 May | Dundee United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 May | Dundee FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 May | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | St. Mirren FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Dundee United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Livingston FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 12 May | Dundee FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 May | St. Mirren FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 02 May | Dundee United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Dundee FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Livingston FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #11 |
| 16 | Points | 28 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 1 / 13 / 19 | W / D / L | 6 / 10 / 17 |
| 35 | Scored | 37 |
| 66 | Conceded | 65 |
| -31 | GD | -28 |
| 0.48 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 3% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Livingston FC are 12th (16 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Livingston FC and Kilmarnock FC has kicked off!
- Full Time. Kilmarnock FC beats Livingston FC
Lineups
Livingston FC Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sean Kelly | 3 |
| Kyle Vassell | 3 |
| Scott Pittman | 2 |
| Joe Wright | 2 |
| Stephen Kelly | 2 |
| Chris Burke | 2 |
| Greg Stewart | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
Head to Head
Livingston FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.37
Livingston FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.14
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Livingston FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
74%
Livingston FC or Kilmarnock FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 3
4.4%
0 – 0
4.4%
1 – 0
3.5%
1 – 4
Actual
Asian Handicap — Livingston FC
| Handicap | Livingston FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 13% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 21% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 16% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

