Friday , 28 August 2026

Livingston FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2026
Sun 17 May 2026 · 13:00 UTC Tony Macaroni Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Livingston FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League at Tony Macaroni Arena.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Kilmarnock FC H 1–4 L
12 May Dundee United FC A 0–0 D
09 May Dundee FC A 0–3 L
01 May Aberdeen FC H 2–2 D
25 Apr St. Mirren FC A 2–0 W
11 Apr Dundee United FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Livingston FC A 4–1 W
12 May Dundee FC H 3–1 W
09 May St. Mirren FC A 3–0 W
02 May Dundee United FC H 3–0 W
25 Apr Aberdeen FC A 0–1 L
11 Apr Dundee FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Livingston FC Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 Livingston FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Livingston FC24% Draw26% Kilmarnock FC50%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Livingston FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
76%
Livingston FC or Kilmarnock FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Livingston FC18% Draw43% Kilmarnock FC39%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Livingston FC

Handicap Livingston FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 22% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 16% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.