Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Wed 7 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Rugby Park 4,328 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marley Watkins 88' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 Steven Traynor (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 John Stewart (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Livingston FC H 1–0 W
03 Feb Motherwell FC A 1–1 D
27 Jan Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Jan Rangers FC A 1–3 L
30 Dec Dundee FC H 2–2 D
27 Dec St. Mirren FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
03 Feb Rangers FC A 0–3 L
30 Jan Ross County FC H 2–2 D
27 Jan Dundee FC H 1–4 L
02 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–2 L
30 Dec Motherwell FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Livingston FC
#11 Position #12
28 Points 16
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 1 / 13 / 19
37 Scored 35
65 Conceded 66
-28 GD -31
0.85 PPG 0.48
18% Win % 3%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Livingston FC are 12th (16 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Kilmarnock FC and Livingston FC get this one started.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Andrew Shinnie, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Kilmarnock FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Livingston FC backline.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Derek McInnes might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Livingston FC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Livingston FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Matty Kennedy comes on to replace Thomas Davies.
  • 51' Danny Armstrong has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' Daniel MacKay is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
  • 57' Time for substitution for Livingston FC. Steven Bradley is replaced by Andrew Shinnie.
  • 62' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Livingston FC! Mo Sangare comes on to replace Daniel MacKay.
  • 69' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Rory McKenzie comes on to replace Danny Armstrong.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Livingston FC that had 251 games and scored 245 goals.
  • 81' The Livingston FC manager makes a substitution. Tete Yengi departs to be replaced by Bruce Anderson.
  • 85' A moment of madness from Mo Sangare on 85 minutes earns him a card. Livingston FC will be frustrated.
  • 88' Against the run of play, Marley Watkins has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Shamal George. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Livingston FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56% + Kilmarnock FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC56% Draw24% Livingston FC20%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Livingston FC
44%
Kilmarnock FC or Livingston FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC38% Draw44% Livingston FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Livingston FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 22% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.