Saturday , 14 November 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Wed 7 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Rugby Park 4,328 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marley Watkins 88' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 Steven Traynor (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 John Stewart (Scotland)
7 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Livingston FC H 1–0 W
03 Feb Motherwell FC A 1–1 D
27 Jan Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Jan Rangers FC A 1–3 L
30 Dec Dundee FC H 2–2 D
27 Dec St. Mirren FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
03 Feb Rangers FC A 0–3 L
30 Jan Ross County FC H 2–2 D
27 Jan Dundee FC H 1–4 L
02 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–2 L
30 Dec Motherwell FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
Greg Kiltie 3 G
Joe Hugill 2 G 2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Rugby Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Kilmarnock FC and Livingston FC.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kilmarnock FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Greg Stewart suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Stuart Findlay made 273 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 40' Kilmarnock FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' Livingston FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Kilmarnock FC team. Thomas Davies is replaced by Matty Kennedy on 46 minute.
  • 51' Livingston FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' The Livingston FC manager makes a substitution. Steven Bradley departs to be replaced by Andrew Shinnie.
  • 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 64' A change in the Livingston FC ranks — Daniel MacKay exits the field as Mo Sangare enters on 64.
  • 69' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Derek McInnes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 71' Danny Armstrong makes way for Rory McKenzie at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
  • 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jamie Brandon, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 81' Another change for Livingston FC made on 81 minute. Tete Yengi leaves to be changed by Bruce Anderson.
  • 85' Mo Sangare has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
  • 88' The deadlock is broken! Marley Watkins gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Shamal George.
  • Kilmarnock FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Livingston FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC54% Draw26% Livingston FC20%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Livingston FC
46%
Kilmarnock FC or Livingston FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC35% Draw49% Livingston FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11%
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Livingston FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.