Sunday , 16 August 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Wed 7 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Rugby Park 4,328 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marley Watkins 88' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 Steven Traynor (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 John Stewart (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Livingston FC H 1–0 W
03 Feb Motherwell FC A 1–1 D
27 Jan Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Jan Rangers FC A 1–3 L
30 Dec Dundee FC H 2–2 D
27 Dec St. Mirren FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
03 Feb Rangers FC A 0–3 L
30 Jan Ross County FC H 2–2 D
27 Jan Dundee FC H 1–4 L
02 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–2 L
30 Dec Motherwell FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Rugby Park will turn into a battlefield for Kilmarnock FC and Livingston FC.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' It looks surprising Kilmarnock FC does not make any changes. Jason Holt has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Scott Pittman is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Livingston FC.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ayo Obileye suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' The travelling Livingston FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' Livingston FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' Steven Bradley has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 46 minute. Thomas Davies leaves to be changed by Matty Kennedy.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Livingston FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' Northern Ireland international Liam Donnelly has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 57' Andrew Shinnie has so much to prove this time. He replaces Steven Bradley on 57 minute.
  • 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Derek McInnes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Livingston FC! Mo Sangare comes on to replace Daniel MacKay.
  • 69' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Livingston FC's 4-5-1 shape.
  • 71' The whistle greets Danny Armstrong as he departs to be replaced by Rory McKenzie.
  • 76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 81' Another substitution for Livingston FC to replace Tete Yengi by Bruce Anderson on 81 minute.
  • 85' The referee calls foul for Mo Sangare. He receives a card.
  • 88' Kilmarnock FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Marley Watkins on 88.
  • 90' Shamal George picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • With this win, Kilmarnock FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Livingston FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC54% Draw26% Livingston FC20%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Livingston FC
46%
Kilmarnock FC or Livingston FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC35% Draw49% Livingston FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11%
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Livingston FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.