Thursday , 2 July 2026

St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2025-26 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 9 May 2026 · 14:00 UTC The SMISA Stadium 7,619 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Miguel Freckleton og
0–2 46' Findlay Curtis
0–3 68' Findlay Curtis

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League at The SMISA Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Don Robertson
  • Assistant 1 Calum Spence
  • Assistant 2 Chris Rae (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Kilmarnock FC H 0–3 L
02 May Dundee FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Livingston FC H 0–2 L
11 Apr Celtic FC A 0–1 L
04 Apr Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
21 Mar Falkirk FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May St. Mirren FC A 3–0 W
02 May Dundee United FC H 3–0 W
25 Apr Aberdeen FC A 0–1 L
11 Apr Dundee FC H 2–2 D
04 Apr Hibernian FC A 0–3 L
21 Mar Livingston FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC Kilmarnock FC
#10 Position #11
30 Points 28
33 Played 33
7 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 17
27 Scored 37
48 Conceded 65
-21 GD -28
0.91 PPG 0.85
21% Win % 18%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. St. Mirren FC is hosting Kilmarnock FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 9' St. Mirren FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Liam Donnelly on 9.
  • 14' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tom Lowery, as he is very good at scoring at The SMISA Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' The referee shows St. Mirren FC player a card on 15.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. George Stanger made 106 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' St. Mirren FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 26' St. Mirren FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 26.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Robbie Deas suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' St. Mirren FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
  • 41' Kilmarnock FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 46' What an equalizer from Findlay Curtis!
  • 51' Jacob Devaney has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 33 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 52' That looks like a foul for a card for Joe Hugill.
  • 54' It’s a booking for St. Mirren FC player. Killian Phillips gets a card.
  • 59' Conor McMenamin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 6 Yellow cards this season.
  • 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 68' Findlay Curtis puts Kilmarnock FC on the lead.
  • 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering St. Mirren FC that had 289 games and scored 281 goals.
  • 78' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 88' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Kilmarnock FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Kilmarnock FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24 St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
St. Mirren FC31% Draw28% Kilmarnock FC41%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
69%
St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
St. Mirren FC23% Draw46% Kilmarnock FC31%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap St. Mirren FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 17% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.