Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2025-26 RELEGATION ROUND

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Premier League · 2025-26

Kilmarnock FC

3 – 0

Full Time

Dundee United FC

Sat 2 May 2026 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park 5,524 HT 45' · FT 45'

Robbie Deas 20' 1–0

Findlay Curtis 51' 2–0

Joe Hugill 64' 3–0

Y 28' Neil Farrugia

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Dundee United FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kevin Clancy
Assistant 1 Dougie Potter
Assistant 2 Chris Gentles (Scotland)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	7	18
2	Rangers FC	7	16
3	Heart of Midlothian FC	7	13
4	Dundee FC	7	10
5	St. Mirren FC	7	10
6	St. Johnstone FC	7	8
7	Aberdeen FC	7	8
8	Motherwell FC	7	8
9	Dundee United FC	7	8
10	Hibernian FC	7	7
11	Falkirk FC	7	6
12	Kilmarnock FC	7	5

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Dundee United FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-02 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Dundee United FC 2026-02-21 Dundee United FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC 2025-11-29 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 Dundee United FC 2025-09-27 Dundee United FC 0–2 Kilmarnock FC 2025-02-01 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Dundee United FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 May	Dundee United FC	H	3–0	W
25 Apr	Aberdeen FC	A	0–1	L
11 Apr	Dundee FC	H	2–2	D
04 Apr	Hibernian FC	A	0–3	L
21 Mar	Livingston FC	H	2–0	W
14 Mar	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	1–0	W

Dundee United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 May	Kilmarnock FC	A	0–3	L
26 Apr	Dundee FC	H	3–0	W
11 Apr	Livingston FC	H	3–2	W
04 Apr	Rangers FC	A	2–4	L
22 Mar	Celtic FC	H	2–0	W
15 Mar	Dundee FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Dundee United FC
#12	Position	#9
5	Points	8
7	Played	7
1 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 3
6	Scored	9
15	Conceded	11
-9	GD	-2
0.71	PPG	1.14
14%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

33% Clean Sheets
Dundee United FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Dundee United FC are 9th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

–/3

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

–/2

76+

–/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Dundee United FC

0-15

3/3

16-30

–/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

–/3

61-75

–/3

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G
Greg Kiltie	1 G
Joe Hugill	1 G

Dundee United FC

Jesse Randall	2 G	2 A
Will Ferry	1 G	1 A
Lachlan Rose	1 G
Zac Sapsford	1 G
Emmanuel Agyei	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Kilmarnock FC gets underway.
5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
10' Robbie Deas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 1 appearances.
15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
20' Brilliant from the ! Robbie Deas makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 20.
25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kilmarnock FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
28' Dundee United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 28.
33' Dario Naamo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
38' Over 38 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
48' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
51' Findlay Curtis has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 51 minutes.
56' It is a cagey affair so far. Kilmarnock FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Dundee United FC's compact 3-4-3.
61' Ross Graham is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kilmarnock FC tonight.
64' A goal from the England international Joe Hugill! He fires home on 64 to make it 3-0!
69' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jim Goodwin will be considering his options from the bench.
74' Dundee United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Will Ferry scoring 1 goals.
79' Nicky Clescenco has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
84' Dundee United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
89' Dundee United FC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
With this win, Kilmarnock FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Neil McCann

Dundee United FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Goodwin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kyle Lafferty	3
Dylan Levitt	3
Marley Watkins	2
David Watson	2
Nicke Kabamba	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Kyle Vassell	2
Sam Dalby	1

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2026-05-02 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Dundee United FC W 2026-04-25 Aberdeen FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2026-04-11 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Dundee FC D 2026-04-04 Hibernian FC 3–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2026-03-21 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Livingston FC W 2026-03-14 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC W

Dundee United FC Form

2026-05-02 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Dundee United FC L 2026-04-26 Dundee United FC 3–0 Dundee FC W 2026-04-11 Dundee United FC 3–2 Livingston FC W 2026-04-04 Rangers FC 4–2 Dundee United FC L 2026-03-22 Dundee United FC 2–0 Celtic FC W 2026-03-15 Dundee FC 2–2 Dundee United FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.77 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.37 Dundee United FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC49% Draw24% Dundee United FC27%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.14

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

73%

Draw or Dundee United FC

51%

Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC34% Draw43% Dundee United FC23%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 2

6.9%

1 – 0

6.9%

2 – 0

6.7%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 0

5.9%

3 – 1

5.3%

0 – 1

5.1%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 0

Actual

3 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Dundee United FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	20%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	16%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✗

Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.