Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2025-26 RELEGATION ROUND

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Premier League · 2025-26

Kilmarnock FC

3 – 0

Full Time

Dundee United FC

Sat 2 May 2026 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park 5,524 HT 45' · FT 45'

Robbie Deas 20' 1–0

Findlay Curtis 51' 2–0

Joe Hugill 64' 3–0

Y 28' Neil Farrugia

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Dundee United FC 12 games · 17 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kevin Clancy
Assistant 1 Dougie Potter
Assistant 2 Chris Gentles (Scotland)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	13	31
2	Rangers FC	12	27
3	Falkirk FC	13	21
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	12	20
5	Dundee FC	12	17
6	Dundee United FC	12	17
7	St. Johnstone FC	13	17
8	St. Mirren FC	13	14
9	Motherwell FC	13	13
10	Hibernian FC	12	11
11	Aberdeen FC	12	11
12	Kilmarnock FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Dundee United FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-02 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Dundee United FC 2026-02-21 Dundee United FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC 2025-11-29 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 Dundee United FC 2025-09-27 Dundee United FC 0–2 Kilmarnock FC 2025-02-01 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Dundee United FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 May	Dundee United FC	H	3–0	W
25 Apr	Aberdeen FC	A	0–1	L
11 Apr	Dundee FC	H	2–2	D
04 Apr	Hibernian FC	A	0–3	L
21 Mar	Livingston FC	H	2–0	W
14 Mar	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	1–0	W

Dundee United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 May	Kilmarnock FC	A	0–3	L
26 Apr	Dundee FC	H	3–0	W
11 Apr	Livingston FC	H	3–2	W
04 Apr	Rangers FC	A	2–4	L
22 Mar	Celtic FC	H	2–0	W
15 Mar	Dundee FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Dundee United FC
#12	Position	#6
9	Points	17
13	Played	12
2 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	4 / 5 / 3
13	Scored	17
29	Conceded	17
-16	GD	+0
0.69	PPG	1.42
15%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
Dundee United FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). Dundee United FC are 6th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

1/4

31-45

3/8

46-60

4/3

61-75

2/3

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Dundee United FC

0-15

4/4

16-30

2/4

31-45

7/1

46-60

–/4

61-75

1/4

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

Greg Kiltie	3 G
Joe Hugill	2 G	2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G

Dundee United FC

Jesse Randall	3 G	3 A
Zac Sapsford	3 G
Lyall Cameron	2 G	3 A
Will Ferry	1 G	1 A
Lachlan Rose	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Kilmarnock FC gets underway.
5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jim Goodwin might look to freshen things up shortly.
10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
15' Dave Richards needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
20' A goal from the Scotland international Robbie Deas! He fires home on 20 to make it 1-0!
25' Poland international Max Stryjek has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
28' The referee has no hesitation. Neil Farrugia is booked for Dundee United FC — card on 28.
33' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kilmarnock FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
38' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
48' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
51' Findlay Curtis adds to his 0 season tally! Kilmarnock FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
56' The 29-year-old Greg Kiltie has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aaron Tshibola suffering a number of foals already.
64' Against the run of play, Joe Hugill has scored! This game has turned on its head.
69' Krisztian Keresztes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
74' Dundee United FC have won 191 goals from 192 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
79' Kilmarnock FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
84' Dundee United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Will Ferry scoring 1 goals.
89' Neil Farrugia has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 26 appearances.
3-0 the final result. Dundee United FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Neil McCann

Dundee United FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Goodwin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kyle Lafferty	3
Dylan Levitt	3
Marley Watkins	2
David Watson	2
Nicke Kabamba	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Kyle Vassell	2
Sam Dalby	1

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2026-05-02 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Dundee United FC W 2026-04-25 Aberdeen FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2026-04-11 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Dundee FC D 2026-04-04 Hibernian FC 3–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2026-03-21 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Livingston FC W 2026-03-14 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC W

Dundee United FC Form

2026-05-02 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Dundee United FC L 2026-04-26 Dundee United FC 3–0 Dundee FC W 2026-04-11 Dundee United FC 3–2 Livingston FC W 2026-04-04 Rangers FC 4–2 Dundee United FC L 2026-03-22 Dundee United FC 2–0 Celtic FC W 2026-03-15 Dundee FC 2–2 Dundee United FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.74 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.4 Dundee United FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC48% Draw25% Dundee United FC27%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.14

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

73%

Draw or Dundee United FC

52%

Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC33% Draw43% Dundee United FC24%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

2 – 1

8.8%

1 – 2

7.1%

1 – 0

6.8%

2 – 0

6.5%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 0

0 – 1

5.3%

3 – 1

5.1%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

Actual

3 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Dundee United FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	20%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	16%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✗

Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.