Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2025-26 RELEGATION ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Dundee United FC 33 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Kevin Clancy
- Assistant 1 Dougie Potter
- Assistant 2 Chris Gentles (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | Dundee United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Dundee FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | Hibernian FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Livingston FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | Kilmarnock FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Apr | Dundee FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Livingston FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 04 Apr | Rangers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Celtic FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Dundee FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Dundee United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #7 |
| 28 | Points | 40 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 9 / 13 / 11 |
| 37 | Scored | 45 |
| 65 | Conceded | 54 |
| -28 | GD | -9 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 18% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Dundee United FC are 7th (40 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Rugby Park will turn into a battlefield for Kilmarnock FC and Dundee United FC.
- 5' Findlay Curtis has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 44 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Kilmarnock FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
- 15' Dundee United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Robbie Deas puts Kilmarnock FC on the lead.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Krisztian Keresztes suffering a number of foals already.
- 28' Neil Farrugia is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
- 33' Kilmarnock FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 43' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 48' Dundee United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 48.
- 51' Goal! Findlay Curtis scores his 4 goal in 402 matches.
- 56' Samuel Harding needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 64' Goal! Joe Hugill scores his 8 goal in 409 matches.
- 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Dundee United FC that had 183 games and scored 177 goals.
- 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Lowery made 96 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 79' The travelling Dundee United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 89' Dundee United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- With this win, Kilmarnock FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 19
- 14
- 36
- 11
- 6
- 1
- 44
- 52
- 21
- 20
Bench
- 23
- 7
- 16
- 30
- 31
- 5
- 3
- 4
- 12
Coach
Neil McCann
Dundee United FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 8
- 25
- 6
- 20
- 36
- 11
- 9
- 37
- 23
- 12
- 22
Bench
- 2
- 77
- 14
- 19
- 10
- 5
- 4
- 31
Coach
Jim Goodwin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dylan Levitt | 3 |
| Kyle Lafferty | 3 |
| Marley Watkins | 2 |
| David Watson | 2 |
| Nicke Kabamba | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Kyle Vassell | 2 |
| Glenn Middleton | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.94
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Dundee United FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Dundee United FC
47%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Dundee United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 21% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.