Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Dundee FC 33 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Calum Scott (Scotland)
- Assistant 1 David Roome
- Assistant 2 Alaistair Taylor (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | Dundee FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 May | St. Mirren FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 02 May | Dundee United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Dundee FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | Hibernian FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | Kilmarnock FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 May | Livingston FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 02 May | St. Mirren FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Dundee United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kilmarnock FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | Celtic FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Dundee FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #9 |
| 28 | Points | 33 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 16 |
| 37 | Scored | 34 |
| 65 | Conceded | 53 |
| -28 | GD | -19 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 18% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
93%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Dundee FC are 9th (33 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Kilmarnock FC is hosting Dundee FC for another epic battle.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Dundee FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
- 10' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 18' The referee shows Dundee FC player a card on 18.
- 23' Imari Samuels has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 28' Dundee FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker Scott Wright scoring 1 goals.
- 33' George Stanger needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bruce Anderson on 35.
- 38' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Robbie Deas gets a card.
- 43' It looks surprising Dundee FC does not make any changes. Aaron Tshibola has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 58' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Bruce Anderson departs to be replaced by Marley Watkins.
- 62' What a strike from Tom Lowery! The score is 1-0.
- 67' The whistle greets Clark Robertson as he departs to be replaced by Joe Bevan.
- 72' Kilmarnock FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 77' Tom Lowery with the second goal in the match!
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Charley Oosenbrugh. He replaces Brad Halliday on 78 minute.
- 83' Joe Bevan was booked on 83.
- 84' Kieran O'Hara was booked on 84.
- 85' Goal! Joe Hugill scores his 8 goal in 409 matches.
- 86' The Dundee FC manager makes a substitution. Joel Cotterill departs to be replaced by Tony Yogane.
- 87' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Michael Schjonning-Larsen is replaced by Lewis Mayo.
- 89' Kilmarnock FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Joe Hugill. He receives a card.
- 90' The whistle greets Greg Kiltie as he departs to be replaced by Rory McKenzie.
- Another three points for Kilmarnock FC.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 18
-
19
Bruce Anderson ↓ Marley Watkins 58'
- 14
- –
-
11
Greg Kiltie ↓ Rory McKenzie 90'
- 23
- 6
- –
- –
- 21
Bench
-
23
Marley Watkins ↑ 58'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 90'
- 16
- 30
- 31
-
5
Lewis Mayo ↑ 87'
- 4
- 12
- –
Coach
Neil McCann
Dundee FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Clark Robertson ↓ Joe Bevan 67'
- 16
- 25
- 28
- 13
- 10
- 5
- 12
- 4
-
24
Joel Cotterill ↓ Tony Yogane 86'
- 11
Bench
- 8
- 18
- –
- –
- 15
-
17
Tony Yogane ↑ 86'
-
27
Joe Bevan ↑ 67'
- –
-
–
Charley Oosenbrugh ↑ 78'
Coach
Steven Pressley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luke McCowan | 3 |
| Joe Hugill | 3 |
| Danny Armstrong | 3 |
| Lyall Cameron | 3 |
| Robbie Deas | 2 |
| Bruce Anderson | 2 |
| Matty Kennedy | 2 |
| Andrew Nelson | 2 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Dundee FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Dundee FC
47%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Dundee FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 21% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Dundee FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

