Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2026
Kilmarnock FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Dundee FC
Tue 12 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Rugby Park 5,839 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tom Lowery 62' 1–0
1–1 77' Tom Lowery og
Joe Hugill pen 85' 2–1
Joe Hugill 90+4' 3–1
Y 18' Finlay Robertson
Bruce Anderson 35' Y
Robbie Deas 38' Y
Y 83' Joe Bevan
Y 84' Kieran O'Hara
Lewis Mayo 89' Y
Joe Hugill 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Calum Scott (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 David Roome
  • Assistant 2 Alaistair Taylor (Scotland)
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Celtic FC 7 18
2 Rangers FC 7 16
3 Heart of Midlothian FC 7 13
4 Dundee FC 7 10
5 St. Mirren FC 7 10
6 St. Johnstone FC 7 8
7 Aberdeen FC 7 8
8 Motherwell FC 7 8
9 Dundee United FC 7 8
10 Hibernian FC 7 7
11 Falkirk FC 7 6
12 Kilmarnock FC 7 5

Head-to-Head

5
8
2
Kilmarnock FC 15 games · Avg 3.5 goals Dundee FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-12 Kilmarnock FC 3–1 Dundee FC 2026-04-11 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Dundee FC 2025-12-30 Dundee FC 2–1 Kilmarnock FC 2025-08-23 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Dundee FC 2025-05-10 Kilmarnock FC 3–2 Dundee FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Dundee FC H 3–1 W
09 May St. Mirren FC A 3–0 W
02 May Dundee United FC H 3–0 W
25 Apr Aberdeen FC A 0–1 L
11 Apr Dundee FC H 2–2 D
04 Apr Hibernian FC A 0–3 L
Dundee FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Kilmarnock FC A 1–3 L
09 May Livingston FC H 3–0 W
02 May St. Mirren FC H 1–0 W
26 Apr Dundee United FC A 0–3 L
11 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 2–2 D
05 Apr Celtic FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Dundee FC
#12 Position #4
5 Points 10
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 3
6 Scored 9
15 Conceded 7
-9 GD +2
0.71 PPG 1.43
14% Win % 43%

Key Stats

93% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Dundee FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Dundee FC are 4th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Dundee FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G
Greg Kiltie 1 G
Joe Hugill 1 G
Dundee FC
Joe Westley 3 G
Bradley Fink 2 G
Joe Bevan 1 G 1 A
Drey Wright 1 G
Charlie Reilly 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Kilmarnock FC and Dundee FC is underway.
  • 5' It looks surprising Kilmarnock FC does not make any changes. Max Stryjek has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kilmarnock FC and Dundee FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Dundee FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 18' The referee has no hesitation. Finlay Robertson is booked for Dundee FC — card on 18.
  • 23' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 28' The travelling Dundee FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
  • 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bruce Anderson on 35 minutes.
  • 38' Robbie Deas is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
  • 43' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Dundee FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 48' Over 48 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 53' Greg Kiltie, a Scotland , has 16 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 58' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 58 minute. Bruce Anderson leaves to be changed by Marley Watkins.
  • 62' A stunning finish from Tom Lowery — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 67' Fresh legs for Dundee FC! Joe Bevan comes on to replace Clark Robertson.
  • 72' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 77' What composure from Tom Lowery! The England international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 78' The whistle greets Brad Halliday as he departs to be replaced by Charley Oosenbrugh.
  • 83' It’s a booking for Dundee FC player. Joe Bevan gets a card.
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kieran O'Hara.
  • 85' Magnificent from Joe Hugill! That is 9 goals in 415 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 86' Dundee FC make a change. Joel Cotterill trudges off to be replaced by Tony Yogane on 86 minutes.
  • 87' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Michael Schjonning-Larsen by Lewis Mayo on 87 minute.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Lewis Mayo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' Joe Hugill has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Greg Kiltie departs to be replaced by Rory McKenzie.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Kilmarnock FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Neil McCann

Dundee FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Steven Pressley

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Danny Armstrong 3
Lyall Cameron 3
Luke McCowan 3
Joe Hugill 3
Bruce Anderson 2
Matty Kennedy 2
Andrew Nelson 2
Robbie Deas 2

Head to Head

2026-05-12 Kilmarnock FC 3–1 Dundee FC 2026-04-11 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Dundee FC 2025-12-30 Dundee FC 2–1 Kilmarnock FC 2025-08-23 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Dundee FC 2025-05-10 Kilmarnock FC 3–2 Dundee FC

Kilmarnock FC Form

2026-05-12 Kilmarnock FC 3–1 Dundee FC W 2026-05-09 St. Mirren FC 0–3 Kilmarnock FC W 2026-05-02 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Dundee United FC W 2026-04-25 Aberdeen FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2026-04-11 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Dundee FC D 2026-04-04 Hibernian FC 3–0 Kilmarnock FC L

Dundee FC Form

2026-05-12 Kilmarnock FC 3–1 Dundee FC L 2026-05-09 Dundee FC 3–0 Livingston FC W 2026-05-02 Dundee FC 1–0 St. Mirren FC W 2026-04-26 Dundee United FC 3–0 Dundee FC L 2026-04-11 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Dundee FC D 2026-04-05 Dundee FC 1–2 Celtic FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.63 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 Dundee FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Dundee FC 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC43% Draw25% Dundee FC32%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Dundee FC
57%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC29% Draw43% Dundee FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.6%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Dundee FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 18% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 18% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Dundee FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.