Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2026
Tue 12 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Rugby Park 5,839 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tom Lowery 62' 1–0
1–1 77' Tom Lowery og
Joe Hugill pen 85' 2–1
Joe Hugill 90+4' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Calum Scott (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 David Roome
  • Assistant 2 Alaistair Taylor (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Dundee FC H 3–1 W
09 May St. Mirren FC A 3–0 W
02 May Dundee United FC H 3–0 W
25 Apr Aberdeen FC A 0–1 L
11 Apr Dundee FC H 2–2 D
04 Apr Hibernian FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Kilmarnock FC A 1–3 L
09 May Livingston FC H 3–0 W
02 May St. Mirren FC H 1–0 W
26 Apr Dundee United FC A 0–3 L
11 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 2–2 D
05 Apr Celtic FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Dundee FC
#11 Position #9
28 Points 33
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 16
37 Scored 34
65 Conceded 53
-28 GD -19
0.85 PPG 1.00
18% Win % 24%

Key Stats

93% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Dundee FC are 9th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Kilmarnock FC is hosting Dundee FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Dundee FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
  • 10' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 18' The referee shows Dundee FC player a card on 18.
  • 23' Imari Samuels has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 28' Dundee FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker Scott Wright scoring 1 goals.
  • 33' George Stanger needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bruce Anderson on 35.
  • 38' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Robbie Deas gets a card.
  • 43' It looks surprising Dundee FC does not make any changes. Aaron Tshibola has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Bruce Anderson departs to be replaced by Marley Watkins.
  • 62' What a strike from Tom Lowery! The score is 1-0.
  • 67' The whistle greets Clark Robertson as he departs to be replaced by Joe Bevan.
  • 72' Kilmarnock FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 77' Tom Lowery with the second goal in the match!
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Charley Oosenbrugh. He replaces Brad Halliday on 78 minute.
  • 83' Joe Bevan was booked on 83.
  • 84' Kieran O'Hara was booked on 84.
  • 85' Goal! Joe Hugill scores his 8 goal in 409 matches.
  • 86' The Dundee FC manager makes a substitution. Joel Cotterill departs to be replaced by Tony Yogane.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Michael Schjonning-Larsen is replaced by Lewis Mayo.
  • 89' Kilmarnock FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Joe Hugill. He receives a card.
  • 90' The whistle greets Greg Kiltie as he departs to be replaced by Rory McKenzie.
  • Another three points for Kilmarnock FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Dundee FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC53% Draw23% Dundee FC24%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Dundee FC
47%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC39% Draw41% Dundee FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Dundee FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Dundee FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.