Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Kawasaki Frontale

1 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 7 May 2023 · 06:00 UTC Todoroki Athletics Stadium 17,674 HT 45' · FT 45'

Yasuto Wakizaka 52' 1–0

Takuma Ominami 74' Y

Y 90' Masaya Tashiro

Overview

Match Preview

Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Todoroki Athletics Stadium.

Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shu Kawamata (Japan)
Assistant 1 Mitsuharu Taketa
Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Tanaka

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kawasaki Frontale 16 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-21 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Kawasaki Frontale 2021-11-07 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Kawasaki Frontale 2021-04-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Kawasaki Frontale

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 May	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–0	W
03 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–0	W
29 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	A	3–1	W
23 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–1	D
15 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–2	L
09 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	0–2	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 May	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–1	L
03 May	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	1–3	L
23 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	3–2	W
15 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
09 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
01 Apr	FC Tokyo	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Kawasaki Frontale and Sagan Tosu FC has kicked off!
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kawasaki Frontale must find a spark to ignite this game.
15' Kawasaki Frontale currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
20' named a 4-1-2-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
40' Naoto Kamifukumoto has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 95 appearances.
45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kawasaki Frontale side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
46' Kawasaki Frontale make a change. Tatsuki Seko trudges off to be replaced by Ryota Ohshima on 46 minutes.
51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
52' GOAL! Yasuto Wakizaka scores on 52.
57' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
62' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Yuki Horigome on 62 minute.
67' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
68' Time for substitution for Kawasaki Frontale. Marcinho is replaced by Daiya Tono.
69' Daiya Tono gets the nod from Kawasaki Frontale. He replaces Marcinho and will look to change the dynamic.
74' It’s a booking for Kawasaki Frontale player. Takuma Ominami gets a Yellow card.
77' Kawasaki Frontale ring the changes. Akihiro Ienaga has done his job and it is now time for Yu Kobayashi to step up.
78' Kawasaki Frontale ring the changes. Yasuto Wakizaka has done his job and it is now time for Kento Tachibanada to step up.
83' Kawasaki Frontale are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
86' The Kawasaki Frontale bench stirs into life. Taisei Miyashiro is withdrawn and Shin Yamada gets his opportunity.
88' Jun Nishikawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fuchi Honda on 88 minute.
90' It’s a booking for Sagan Tosu FC player. Masaya Tashiro gets a Yellow card.
1-0 the final result. Sagan Tosu FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Kawasaki Frontale Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

6
Joao Schmidt
7
Shintaro Kurumaya
41
Akihiro Ienaga ↓ Yu Kobayashi 77'
14
Yasuto Wakizaka ↓ Kento Tachibanada 77'
3
Takuma Ominami
13
Miki Yamane
23
Marcinho ↓ Daiya Tono 68'
33
Taisei Miyashiro ↓ Shin Yamada 86'
99
Naoto Kamifukumoto
16
Tatsuki Seko ↓ Ryota Oshima 46'
29
Kota Takai

Bench

11
Yu Kobayashi ↑ 77'
31
Kazuya Yamamura
17
Daiya Tono ↑ 68'
8
Kento Tachibanada ↑ 77'
20
Shin Yamada ↑ 86'
1
Sung-ryong Jung
10
Ryota Oshima ↑ 46'

Coach Toru Oniki

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Kohei Tezuka 62'
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 46'
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Yuki Horigome 62'
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Jun Nishikawa 88'
30
Masaya Tashiro
24
Yoichi Naganuma ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 78'
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 62'
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 88'
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 78'
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 46'
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 62'
35
Kei Uchiyama
34
Shiva Nagasawa

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ayumu Yokoyama	2
Akihiro Ienaga	2
Marcinho	2
Kei Chinen	2
Leandro Damiao	2
Daiya Tono	1
Yuto Iwasaki	1
Tomoya Koyamatsu	1

Head to Head

Kawasaki Frontale Form

2023-05-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-05-03 Kyoto Sanga FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale W 2023-04-29 Avispa Fukuoka 1–3 Kawasaki Frontale W 2023-04-23 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2023-04-15 Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-04-09 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Kawasaki Frontale L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-05-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2023-04-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tokyo W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.3 Kawasaki Frontale xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.93 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kawasaki Frontale48% Draw28% Sagan Tosu FC24%

Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.23

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Kawasaki Frontale or Draw

77%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

52%

Kawasaki Frontale or Sagan Tosu FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Kawasaki Frontale30% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

13%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

8.8%

2 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

5.8%

0 – 2

4.5%

2 – 2

3.9%

3 – 0

3.7%

3 – 1

3.6%

1 – 3

1.8%

Asian Handicap — Kawasaki Frontale

Handicap	Kawasaki Frontale covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	23%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	16%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.