Saturday , 15 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
1 0
Full Time
Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 8,548 HT 45' · FT 45'
Atsushi Kawata 90' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs FC TokyoJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ryo Tanimoto
  • Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
  • Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr FC Tokyo H 1–0 W
18 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
12 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Feb Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
18 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
12 Mar Yokohama FC H 3–1 W
04 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–2 L
26 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
18 Feb Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–0 W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Sagan Tosu FC gets underway.
  • 5' FC Tokyo come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 25' Perotti has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-2-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 40' It looks surprising FC Tokyo does not make any changes. Tsubasa Terayama has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and FC Tokyo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 46' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Tsubasa Terayama is replaced by Kota Tawaratsumida on 46 minute.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 58' Yuto Iwasaki makes way for Ayumu Yokoyama at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 59' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Ayumu Yokoyama comes on to replace Yuto Iwasaki.
  • 64' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and FC Tokyo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 67' Jun Nishikawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yoshiki Narahara on 67 minute.
  • 71' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Diego Oliveira is replaced by Pedro Perotti.
  • 72' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Koki Tsukagawa has done his job and it is now time for Takuya Aoki to step up.
  • 77' Ryonosuke Kabayama needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Yellow cards this season.
  • 82' Masaya Tashiro picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 82' FC Tokyo make a change. Adailton trudges off to be replaced by Junya Suzuki on 82 minutes.
  • 83' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a Yellow card on 83.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Kiriya Sakamoto is replaced by Ryonosuke Kabayama on 84 minute.
  • 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' What a strike from Atsushi Kawata! The score is 1-0.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Sagan Tosu FC and FC Tokyo (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC51% Draw29% FC Tokyo20%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
80%
Draw or FC Tokyo
49%
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Tokyo
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw53% FC Tokyo15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push FC Tokyo covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 25% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
47%
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.