Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
- Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
- Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Feb | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sagan Tosu FC launch into their encounter with FC Tōkyō.
- 5' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Koki Tsukagawa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FC Tōkyō's compact 4-1-2-3.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Tōkyō's 4-1-2-3 shape.
- 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 40' FC Tōkyō is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 45' FC Tōkyō have won 404 goals from 441 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Kota Tawaratsumida comes on to replace Tsubasa Terayama.
- 51' FC Tōkyō is showing some good football. However, FC Tōkyō are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 58' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 58 minute. Yuto Iwasaki leaves to be changed by Ayumu Yokoyama.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Ayumu Yokoyama. He replaces Yuto Iwasaki on 59 minute.
- 64' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Tōkyō backline.
- 67' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Jun Nishikawa comes on to replace Yoshiki Narahara.
- 71' Pedro Perotti is replacing Diego Oliveira for the FC Tokyo side.
- 72' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Koki Tsukagawa is replaced by Takuya Aoki on 72 minute.
- 77' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 82' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a Yellow card on 82.
- 82' Junya Suzuki gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Adailton and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' The referee calls foul for Masaya Tashiro. He receives a Yellow card.
- 84' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryonosuke Kabayama is hanging Kiriya Sakamoto on the field on 84 minute.
- 89' Kosuke Yamazaki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 90' What composure from Atsushi Kawata! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 59'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 59'
- 30
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 59'
- 27
- 2
- 5
- 49
Bench
- 4
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 67'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 84'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 59'
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 59'
- 35
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 59'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
FC Tokyo Lineups
4-1-2-3Starting XI
- 5
-
9
Diego Oliveira ↓ Perotti 72'
- 39
- 37
- 4
-
15
Adailton ↓ Junya Suzuki 82'
-
35
Koki Tsukagawa ↓ Takuya Aoki 72'
- 27
- 44
- 26
- 17
Bench
-
22
Perotti ↑ 72'
- 3
-
16
Takuya Aoki ↑ 72'
- 41
-
28
Junya Suzuki ↑ 82'
-
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↑ 46'
-
29
Naoki Kumata ↑ 82'
Coach
Albert Puig
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaisei Ishii | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Yuki Kakita | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 1 |
| Hirotaka Mita | 1 |
| Yuki Horigome | 1 |
| Adailton | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
80%
Draw or FC Tokyo
49%
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Tokyo
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | FC Tokyo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.