Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
- Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
- Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Feb | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
85%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 8 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 5 G | |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Sagan Tosu FC and FC Tokyo.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Tokyo's 4-1-2-3 shape.
- 15' Koki Tsukagawa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Junya Suzuki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 30' Perotti is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
- 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Albert Puig might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 40' Kiriya Sakamoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 46' Tsubasa Terayama makes way for Kota Tawaratsumida at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Tokyo.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' Kei Koizumi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 58' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 58 minute. Yuto Iwasaki leaves to be changed by Ayumu Yokoyama.
- 59' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 59 minute. Yuto Iwasaki leaves to be changed by Ayumu Yokoyama.
- 64' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 67' Yoshiki Narahara makes way for Jun Nishikawa at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 71' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Diego Oliveira is replaced by Pedro Perotti on 71 minute.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Takuya Aoki. He replaces Koki Tsukagawa on 72 minute.
- 77' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 82' Controversy at the stadium! Masaya Tashiro argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 82' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Junya Suzuki on, Adailton off on 82 minutes.
- 83' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 84' The whistle greets Kiriya Sakamoto as he departs to be replaced by Ryonosuke Kabayama.
- 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 90' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Atsushi Kawata makes no mistake. 1-0!
- Sagan Tosu FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 59'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 59'
- 30
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 59'
- 27
- 2
- 5
- 49
Bench
- 4
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 67'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 84'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 59'
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 59'
- 35
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 59'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
FC Tokyo Lineups
4-1-2-3Starting XI
- 5
-
9
Diego Oliveira ↓ Perotti 72'
- 39
- 37
- 4
-
15
Adailton ↓ Junya Suzuki 82'
-
35
Koki Tsukagawa ↓ Takuya Aoki 72'
- 27
- 44
- 26
- 17
Bench
-
22
Perotti ↑ 72'
- 3
-
16
Takuya Aoki ↑ 72'
- 41
-
28
Junya Suzuki ↑ 82'
-
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↑ 46'
-
29
Naoki Kumata ↑ 82'
Coach
Albert Puig
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaisei Ishii | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Yuki Kakita | 2 |
| Cho Donggeon | 1 |
| Yuto Iwasaki | 1 |
| Ryoma Watanabe | 1 |
| Kota Tawaratsumida | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
80%
Draw or FC Tokyo
49%
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Tokyo
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | FC Tokyo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.