Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Yokohama F.Marinos

Wed 3 May 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 11,354 HT 45' · FT 45'

Fuchi Honda 3' 1–0

1–1 11' Yan Santos

1–2 21' Yan Santos

1–3 60' Elber

Y 54' Takuya Kida

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Yokohama F.Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hayato Shimizu
Assistant 1 Takumi Takagi
Assistant 2 Koji Morikawa

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals Yokohama F.Marinos

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F.Marinos 2022-03-18 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-25 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Yokohama F.Marinos 2021-06-23 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	1–3	L
23 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	3–2	W
15 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
09 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
01 Apr	FC Tokyo	H	1–0	W
18 Mar	Vissel Kobe	H	0–1	L

Yokohama F.Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Sagan Tosu FC	A	3–1	W
29 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–1	D
22 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	3–2	W
15 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–1	D
08 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	5–0	W
01 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

57% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F.Marinos this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Yokohama F.Marinos

0-15

3/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/–

61-75

1/3

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Yokohama F.Marinos

Kaina Tanimura	6 G	1 A
Miidera Shin	2 G
Taisei Inoue	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Ekimae Real Estate Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Sagan Tosu FC and Yokohama F.Marinos.
3' What a moment for Fuchi Honda! That strike on 3 puts his side firmly in control.
8' Yokohama F.Marinos seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
11' Yan Santos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 11 minutes.
16' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
21' Sensational shot from Yan Santos. Yokohama F.Marinos is back in the lead.
22' What a moment for Yan Santos! That strike on 22 puts his side firmly in control.
27' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Yokohama F.Marinos's compact 4-2-1-3.
32' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
37' Yuji Ono needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 7 Yellow cards this season.
42' Eduardo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
47' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
52' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryotaro Tsunoda suffering a number of foals already.
54' The referee shows Yokohama F.Marinos player a Yellow card on 54.
55' Atsushi Kawata gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yuji Ono and will look to change the dynamic.
60' Elber doubles the advantage! 1-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
65' It looks like no one’s ball. Yokohama F.Marinos is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
68' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Kentaro Moriya by Yuki Horigome on 68 minute.
73' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
74' Yokohama F.Marinos make a change. Yan Santos trudges off to be replaced by Kota Mizunuma on 74 minutes.
75' The Yokohama F.Marinos manager makes a substitution. Takuya Kida departs to be replaced by Kota Watanabe.
78' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Jun Nishikawa on 78 minute.
83' The Yokohama F.Marinos bench stirs into life. Eduardo is withdrawn and Ryotaro Tsunoda gets his opportunity.
84' The Yokohama F.Marinos manager makes a substitution. Eduardo departs to be replaced by Ryotaro Tsunoda.
89' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Yokohama F.Marinos are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
1-3 the final result. Sagan Tosu FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Yuki Horigome 68'
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 55'
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Jun Nishikawa 78'
8
Fuchi Honda
30
Masaya Tashiro
24
Yoichi Naganuma ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 68'
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Yokohama F.Marinos Lineups

4-2-1-3

Starting XI

Bench

10
Marcos Junior
41
Kenyu Sugimoto ↑ 68'
21
Hiroki Iikura
25
Kaina Yoshio ↑ 68'
18
Kota Mizunuma ↑ 74'
6
Kota Watanabe ↑ 74'
33
Ryotaro Tsunoda ↑ 84'

Coach Kevin Muscat

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erik	3
Marcos Junior	2
Yan Santos	2
Leo Ceara	2
Kota Mizunuma	2
Daizen Maeda	2
Elber	1
Cho Donggeon	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2023-04-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tokyo W 2023-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vissel Kobe L

Yokohama F.Marinos Form

2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2023-04-29 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2023-04-22 Vissel Kobe 2–3 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2023-04-15 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Yokohama F.Marinos D 2023-04-08 Yokohama F.Marinos 5–0 Yokohama FC W 2023-04-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Yokohama F.Marinos L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.13 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.57 Yokohama F.Marinos xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw28% Yokohama F.Marinos45%

Actual: Yokohama F.Marinos win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

55%

Draw or Yokohama F.Marinos

73%

Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F.Marinos

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC20% Draw47% Yokohama F.Marinos33%

Actual: Yokohama F.Marinos win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

0 – 1

9.6%

1 – 2

0 – 0

8.7%

0 – 2

8.1%

1 – 0

6.6%

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.1%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Yokohama F.Marinos covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	15%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	22%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.