Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Yokohama F.Marinos

Wed 3 May 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 11,354 HT 45' · FT 45'

Fuchi Honda 3' 1–0

1–1 11' Yan Santos

1–2 21' Yan Santos

1–3 60' Elber

Y 54' Takuya Kida

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Yokohama F.Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hayato Shimizu
Assistant 1 Takumi Takagi
Assistant 2 Koji Morikawa

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals Yokohama F.Marinos

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F.Marinos 2022-03-18 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-25 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Yokohama F.Marinos 2021-06-23 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	1–3	L
23 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	3–2	W
15 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
09 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
01 Apr	FC Tokyo	H	1–0	W
18 Mar	Vissel Kobe	H	0–1	L

Yokohama F.Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Sagan Tosu FC	A	3–1	W
29 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–1	D
22 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	3–2	W
15 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–1	D
08 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	5–0	W
01 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

46% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F.Marinos this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Yokohama F.Marinos

0-15

5/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

3/3

46-60

4/–

61-75

1/5

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Yokohama F.Marinos

Kaina Tanimura	7 G	1 A
Shin Miidera	2 G
Taisei Inoue	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sagan Tosu FC to score. At the same time, Yokohama F.Marinos does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
3' The Japan Fuchi Honda breaks the deadlock on 3 minutes. 1-0!
8' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Yokohama F.Marinos's 4-2-1-3 shape.
11' GOAL! Yan Santos fires home to make it 1-1!
16' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Yokohama F.Marinos backline.
21' Yan Santos doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
22' Yan Santos makes a hat-trick on 22.
27' Yuto Iwasaki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joel Fujita made 108 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
37' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
42' Yokohama F.Marinos is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
47' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
52' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-1-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
54' Poor challenge from Takuya Kida. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
55' Atsushi Kawata is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuji Ono at the 55 minute mark.
60' Elber adds to his 3 season tally! Yokohama F.Marinos lead 1-4 — and this changes everything.
65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
68' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuki Horigome is hanging Kentaro Moriya on the field on 68 minute.
73' Brazil international Eduardo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
74' The whistle greets Yan Santos as he departs to be replaced by Kota Mizunuma.
75' A change in the Yokohama F.Marinos ranks — Takuya Kida exits the field as Kota Watanabe enters on 75.
78' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jun Nishikawa is hanging Yuto Iwasaki on the field on 78 minute.
83' Ryotaro Tsunoda gets the nod from Yokohama F.Marinos. He replaces Eduardo and will look to change the dynamic.
84' Fresh legs for Yokohama F.Marinos! Ryotaro Tsunoda comes on to replace Eduardo.
89' Shinnosuke Hatanaka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Yokohama F.Marinos to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Yuki Horigome 68'
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 55'
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Jun Nishikawa 78'
8
Fuchi Honda
30
Masaya Tashiro
24
Yoichi Naganuma ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 68'
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Yokohama F.Marinos Lineups

4-2-1-3

Starting XI

Bench

10
Marcos Junior
41
Kenyu Sugimoto ↑ 68'
21
Hiroki Iikura
25
Kaina Yoshio ↑ 68'
18
Kota Mizunuma ↑ 74'
6
Kota Watanabe ↑ 74'
33
Ryotaro Tsunoda ↑ 84'

Coach Kevin Muscat

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erik	3
Kota Mizunuma	2
Daizen Maeda	2
Marcos Junior	2
Yan Santos	2
Leo Ceara	2
Yoichi Naganuma	1
Riki Harakawa	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2023-04-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tokyo W 2023-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vissel Kobe L

Yokohama F.Marinos Form

2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2023-04-29 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2023-04-22 Vissel Kobe 2–3 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2023-04-15 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Yokohama F.Marinos D 2023-04-08 Yokohama F.Marinos 5–0 Yokohama FC W 2023-04-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Yokohama F.Marinos L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.13 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.57 Yokohama F.Marinos xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw28% Yokohama F.Marinos45%

Actual: Yokohama F.Marinos win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

55%

Draw or Yokohama F.Marinos

73%

Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F.Marinos

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC20% Draw47% Yokohama F.Marinos33%

Actual: Yokohama F.Marinos win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

0 – 1

9.6%

1 – 2

0 – 0

8.7%

0 – 2

8.1%

1 – 0

6.6%

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.1%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Yokohama F.Marinos covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	15%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	22%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.