Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Yokohama F.Marinos

Wed 3 May 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 11,354 HT 45' · FT 45'

Fuchi Honda 3' 1–0

1–1 11' Yan Santos

1–2 21' Yan Santos

1–3 60' Elber

Y 54' Takuya Kida

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Yokohama F.Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hayato Shimizu
Assistant 1 Takumi Takagi
Assistant 2 Koji Morikawa

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals Yokohama F.Marinos

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F.Marinos 2022-03-18 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-25 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Yokohama F.Marinos 2021-06-23 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	1–3	L
23 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	3–2	W
15 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
09 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
01 Apr	FC Tokyo	H	1–0	W
18 Mar	Vissel Kobe	H	0–1	L

Yokohama F.Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Sagan Tosu FC	A	3–1	W
29 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–1	D
22 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	3–2	W
15 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–1	D
08 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	5–0	W
01 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F.Marinos this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Yokohama F.Marinos

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Ekimae Real Estate Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Sagan Tosu FC and Yokohama F·Marinos.
3' GOAL! Fuchi Honda fires home to make it 1-0!
8' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yoichi Naganuma, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
11' Yan Santos makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Yokohama F.Marinos are in front.
16' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
21' Yokohama F.Marinos is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yan Santos on 21.
22' A goal from the Brazil international Yan Santos! He fires home on 22 to make it 1-3!
27' Ryotaro Tsunoda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Yokohama F·Marinos tonight.
32' It looks like no one’s ball. Yokohama F·Marinos is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
37' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
42' The 33-year-old Kenyu Sugimoto has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
47' It’s high time Kevin Muscat made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
52' Kaina Yoshio has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
54' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Takuya Kida.
55' Yuji Ono makes way for Atsushi Kawata at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
60' What a moment for Elber! That strike on 60 puts his side firmly in control.
65' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joel Fujita is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
68' Kentaro Moriya makes way for Yuki Horigome at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
73' Yokohama F·Marinos come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
74' Yan Santos makes way for Kota Mizunuma at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Yokohama F.Marinos.
75' Another change for Yokohama F.Marinos made on 75 minute. Takuya Kida leaves to be changed by Kota Watanabe.
78' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuto Iwasaki is withdrawn and Jun Nishikawa gets his opportunity.
83' Another substitution for Yokohama F.Marinos to replace Eduardo by Ryotaro Tsunoda on 83 minute.
84' Yokohama F.Marinos ring the changes. Eduardo has done his job and it is now time for Ryotaro Tsunoda to step up.
89' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sagan Tosu FC 1-3 Yokohama F·Marinos.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Yuki Horigome 68'
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 55'
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Jun Nishikawa 78'
8
Fuchi Honda
30
Masaya Tashiro
24
Yoichi Naganuma ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 68'
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Yokohama F.Marinos Lineups

4-2-1-3

Starting XI

Bench

10
Marcos Junior
41
Kenyu Sugimoto ↑ 68'
21
Hiroki Iikura
25
Kaina Yoshio ↑ 68'
18
Kota Mizunuma ↑ 74'
6
Kota Watanabe ↑ 74'
33
Ryotaro Tsunoda ↑ 84'

Coach Kevin Muscat

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erik	3
Leo Ceara	2
Kota Mizunuma	2
Daizen Maeda	2
Marcos Junior	2
Yan Santos	2
Ryoya Morishita	1
Ayumu Yokoyama	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2023-04-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tokyo W 2023-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vissel Kobe L

Yokohama F.Marinos Form

2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2023-04-29 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2023-04-22 Vissel Kobe 2–3 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2023-04-15 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Yokohama F.Marinos D 2023-04-08 Yokohama F.Marinos 5–0 Yokohama FC W 2023-04-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Yokohama F.Marinos L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.13 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.57 Yokohama F.Marinos xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw28% Yokohama F.Marinos45%

Actual: Yokohama F.Marinos win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

55%

Draw or Yokohama F.Marinos

73%

Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F.Marinos

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC20% Draw47% Yokohama F.Marinos33%

Actual: Yokohama F.Marinos win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

0 – 1

9.6%

1 – 2

0 – 0

8.7%

0 – 2

8.1%

1 – 0

6.6%

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.1%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Yokohama F.Marinos covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	15%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	22%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.