Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sun 7 Nov 2021 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki FrontaleJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Nov Kawasaki Frontale H 3–1 W
03 Nov Yokohama FC A 0–0 D
23 Oct Gamba Osaka A 0–1 L
16 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 1–1 D
03 Oct Tokushima Vortis A 0–3 L
25 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Nov Sagan Tosu FC A 1–3 L
03 Nov Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
24 Oct Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
02 Oct FC Tokyo H 1–0 W
29 Sep Vissel Kobe H 3–1 W
26 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 2–1 W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/2
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Kawasaki Frontale xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC51% Draw27% Kawasaki Frontale22%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Kawasaki Frontale
49%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kawasaki Frontale
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC36% Draw47% Kawasaki Frontale17%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kawasaki Frontale covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.