Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Sagan Tosu FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Kawasaki Frontale

Sun 7 Nov 2021 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Yoshihiro Nakano 83' Y

Ryunosuke Sagara 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.2 goals Kawasaki Frontale

Last 5 meetings

2021-11-07 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Kawasaki Frontale 2021-04-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-12-12 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale 2020-02-22 Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-07-07 Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Nov	Kawasaki Frontale	H	3–1	W
03 Nov	Yokohama FC	A	0–0	D
23 Oct	Gamba Osaka	A	0–1	L
16 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–1	D
03 Oct	Tokushima Vortis	A	0–3	L
25 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–3	L

Kawasaki Frontale

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–3	L
03 Nov	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–1	D
24 Oct	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–0	W
02 Oct	FC Tōkyō	H	1–0	W
29 Sep	Vissel Kobe	H	3–1	W
26 Sep	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

4/2

61-75

1/3

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale

Marcinho	6 G	1 A
Yasuto Wakizaka	2 G	3 A
Tatsuya Ito	2 G	1 A
Lazar Romanic	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale is underway.
3' GOAL! Yuto Iwasaki scores on 3.
8' Shintaro Kurumaya has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
13' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
18' Yu Kobayashi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
20' Noriyoshi Sakai doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryota Ohshima made 443 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
32' Tomoya Koyamatsu has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
37' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
42' Kawasaki Frontale have won 564 goals from 443 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
46' Time for substitution for Kawasaki Frontale. Yasuto Wakizaka is replaced by Kyohei Noborizato.
51' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kawasaki Frontale backline.
55' The Kawasaki Frontale manager makes a substitution. Marcinho departs to be replaced by Leandro Damiao.
60' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Kawasaki Frontale's compact .
63' Another change for Kawasaki Frontale made on 63 minute. Ryota Ohshima leaves to be changed by Jesiel.
68' Kyohei Noborizato needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
71' Another change for Kawasaki Frontale made on 71 minute. Jesiel leaves to be changed by Ten Miyagi.
76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
81' Kawasaki Frontale are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
82' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Tomoya Koyamatsu is withdrawn and Ryunosuke Sagara gets his opportunity.
83' A moment of madness from Yoshihiro Nakano on 83 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
88' Yong-Gi Ryang has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuta Higuchi on 88 minute.
90' Ryunosuke Sagara was booked on 90.
90' The supporters are chanting for Masaya Tashiro. He replaces Eduardo on 90 minute.
The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 3-1 Kawasaki Frontale. Honours even.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

7
Yoshihiro Nakano ↓ Shinya Nakano 88'
3
Eduardo ↓ Masaya Tashiro 90'
10
Yuta Higuchi ↓ Yong-Gi Ryang 88'
29
Yuto Iwasaki
40
Park Ilkyu
4
Toshio Shimakawa
31
Ayumu Ohata
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Ryunosuke Sagara 82'
44
Keiya Sento
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↓ Keita Yamashita 82'
24
Nanasei Iino

Bench

1
Tatsuya Morita
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 88'
27
Ryunosuke Sagara ↑ 82'
9
Keita Yamashita ↑ 82'
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 90'
18
Ryo Wada
50
Yong-Gi Ryang ↑ 88'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Kawasaki Frontale Lineups

Starting XI

7
Shintaro Kurumaya
10
Ryota Ohshima ↓ Jesiel 63'
11
Yu Kobayashi
1
Jung Sungryong
8
Yasuto Wakizaka ↓ Kyohei Noborizato 46'
13
Miki Yamane
28
Kazuya Yamamura
23
Marcinho ↓ Leandro Damiao 55'
47
Reo Hatate
19
Daiya Tono ↓ Akihiro Ienaga 55'
22
Kento Tachibanada

Bench

4
Jesiel ↑ 63'
2
Kyohei Noborizato ↑ 46'
5
Shogo Taniguchi
41
Akihiro Ienaga ↑ 55'
9
Leandro Damiao ↑ 55'
27
Kenta Tanno
24
Ten Miyagi

Coach Toru Oniki

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marcinho	2
Kei Chinen	2
Leandro Damiao	2
Ayumu Yokoyama	2
Akihiro Ienaga	2
Tojiro Kubo	1
Yu Kobayashi	1
Ryota Ohshima	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-11-07 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Kawasaki Frontale W 2021-11-03 Yokohama FC 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-10-23 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2021-10-03 Tokushima Vortis 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-09-25 Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Kawasaki Frontale Form

2021-11-07 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Kawasaki Frontale L 2021-11-03 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2021-10-24 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2021-10-02 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 FC Tōkyō W 2021-09-29 Kawasaki Frontale 3–1 Vissel Kobe W 2021-09-26 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Shonan Bellmare W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.64 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.97 Kawasaki Frontale xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC51% Draw27% Kawasaki Frontale22%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.61

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Kawasaki Frontale

49%

Sagan Tosu FC or Kawasaki Frontale

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC36% Draw47% Kawasaki Frontale17%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

1 – 0

11.2%

2 – 0

9.7%

0 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

9.2%

0 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

5.2%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

4.5%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Kawasaki Frontale covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	23%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	13%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.