Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Sagan Tosu FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Kawasaki Frontale

Sun 7 Nov 2021 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Yoshihiro Nakano 83' Y

Ryunosuke Sagara 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.2 goals Kawasaki Frontale

Last 5 meetings

2021-11-07 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Kawasaki Frontale 2021-04-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-12-12 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale 2020-02-22 Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-07-07 Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Nov	Kawasaki Frontale	H	3–1	W
03 Nov	Yokohama FC	A	0–0	D
23 Oct	Gamba Osaka	A	0–1	L
16 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–1	D
03 Oct	Tokushima Vortis	A	0–3	L
25 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–3	L

Kawasaki Frontale

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–3	L
03 Nov	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–1	D
24 Oct	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–0	W
02 Oct	FC Tokyo	H	1–0	W
29 Sep	Vissel Kobe	H	3–1	W
26 Sep	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale has kicked off!
3' The deadlock is broken! Yuto Iwasaki gets on the scoresheet on 3 minutes.
8' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
13' Kawasaki Frontale have won 556 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
18' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Kawasaki Frontale seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Noriyoshi Sakai makes it 2-0.
25' Kawasaki Frontale are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
30' Kawasaki Frontale come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
32' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tomoya Koyamatsu makes it 3-0.
37' Kawasaki Frontale seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
42' Kento Tachibanada is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kawasaki Frontale so far.
46' Kawasaki Frontale ring the changes. Yasuto Wakizaka has done his job and it is now time for Kyohei Noborizato to step up.
51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
55' Another change for Kawasaki Frontale made on 55 minute. Marcinho leaves to be changed by Leandro Damiao.
60' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
63' Another substitution for Kawasaki Frontale to replace Ryota Ohshima by Jesiel on 63 minute.
68' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
71' The crowd applauds Jesiel as he leaves the pitch. Ten Miyagi steps in for Kawasaki Frontale.
76' Kawasaki Frontale are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
81' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Kawasaki Frontale's compact .
82' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Tomoya Koyamatsu exits the field as Ryunosuke Sagara enters on 82.
83' Yoshihiro Nakano is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
88' The supporters are chanting for Yong-Gi Ryang. He replaces Yuta Higuchi on 88 minute.
90' A moment of madness from Ryunosuke Sagara on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
90' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Masaya Tashiro on, Eduardo off on 90 minutes.
Full Time. Sagan Tosu FC beats Kawasaki Frontale

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

7
Yoshihiro Nakano ↓ Shinya Nakano 88'
3
Eduardo ↓ Masaya Tashiro 90'
10
Yuta Higuchi ↓ Yong-Gi Ryang 88'
29
Yuto Iwasaki
40
Park Ilkyu
4
Toshio Shimakawa
31
Ayumu Ohata
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Ryunosuke Sagara 82'
44
Keiya Sento
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↓ Keita Yamashita 82'
24
Nanasei Iino

Bench

1
Tatsuya Morita
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 88'
27
Ryunosuke Sagara ↑ 82'
9
Keita Yamashita ↑ 82'
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 90'
18
Ryo Wada
50
Yong-Gi Ryang ↑ 88'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Kawasaki Frontale Lineups

Starting XI

7
Shintaro Kurumaya
10
Ryota Ohshima ↓ Jesiel 63'
11
Yu Kobayashi
1
Jung Sungryong
8
Yasuto Wakizaka ↓ Kyohei Noborizato 46'
13
Miki Yamane
28
Kazuya Yamamura
23
Marcinho ↓ Leandro Damiao 55'
47
Reo Hatate
19
Daiya Tono ↓ Akihiro Ienaga 55'
22
Kento Tachibanada

Bench

4
Jesiel ↑ 63'
2
Kyohei Noborizato ↑ 46'
5
Shogo Taniguchi
41
Akihiro Ienaga ↑ 55'
9
Leandro Damiao ↑ 55'
27
Kenta Tanno
24
Ten Miyagi

Coach Toru Oniki

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marcinho	2
Kei Chinen	2
Leandro Damiao	2
Ayumu Yokoyama	2
Akihiro Ienaga	2
Hiroyuki Abe	1
Joao Schmidt	1
Tojiro Kubo	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-11-07 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Kawasaki Frontale W 2021-11-03 Yokohama FC 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-10-23 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2021-10-03 Tokushima Vortis 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-09-25 Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Kawasaki Frontale Form

2021-11-07 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Kawasaki Frontale L 2021-11-03 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2021-10-24 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2021-10-02 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 FC Tokyo W 2021-09-29 Kawasaki Frontale 3–1 Vissel Kobe W 2021-09-26 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Shonan Bellmare W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.64 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.97 Kawasaki Frontale xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC51% Draw27% Kawasaki Frontale22%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.61

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Kawasaki Frontale

49%

Sagan Tosu FC or Kawasaki Frontale

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC36% Draw47% Kawasaki Frontale17%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

1 – 0

11.2%

2 – 0

9.7%

0 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

9.2%

0 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

5.2%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

4.5%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Kawasaki Frontale covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	23%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	13%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.