Saturday , 5 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 15 Apr 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 6,418 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yoichi Naganuma 55' 1–0
1–1 75' Matheus Savio

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa ReysolJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
09 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
01 Apr FC Tokyo H 1–0 W
18 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
12 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
09 Apr Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W
31 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–3 L
19 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
12 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 0–3 L
04 Mar Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
2/1
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
Yusuke Segawa 2 G 1 A
Yoshio Koizumi 2 G
Tojiro Kubo 1 G 1 A
Keita Endo 1 G
Yuki Kakita 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium as Sagan Tosu FC face off against Kashiwa Reysol in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Fuchi Honda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashiwa Reysol tonight.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kashiwa Reysol backline.
  • 20' The travelling Kashiwa Reysol supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryonosuke Kabayama, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kashiwa Reysol are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 38' A moment of madness from Yuki Horigome on 38 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
  • 42' Kashiwa Reysol make a change. Takumi Tsuchiya trudges off to be replaced by Naoki Kawaguchi on 42 minutes.
  • 47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Naoki Kawaguchi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 52' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Kashiwa Reysol's compact 4-4-2.
  • 55' The Japan Yoichi Naganuma breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 1-0!
  • 59' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kentaro Moriya departs to be replaced by Akito Fukuta.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Akito Fukuta. He replaces Kentaro Moriya on 60 minute.
  • 63' The whistle greets Sachiro Toshima as he departs to be replaced by Tomoya Koyamatsu.
  • 65' Yuji Ono is ready to make an impact after coming on for Atsushi Kawata at the 65 minute mark.
  • 66' Atsushi Kawata makes way for Yuji Ono at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Kashiwa Reysol team. Jay-Roy Grot is replaced by Douglas on 69 minute.
  • 70' The Kashiwa Reysol manager makes a substitution. Mao Hosoya departs to be replaced by Yuki Muto.
  • 75' Magnificent from Matheus Savio! That is 34 goals in 390 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 76' GOAL! Matheus Savio scores on 76.
  • 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 82' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Jun Nishikawa comes on to replace Ryonosuke Kabayama.
  • 87' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Mao Hosoya has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC48% Draw29% Kashiwa Reysol23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
52%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC31% Draw52% Kashiwa Reysol17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.