Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Kashiwa Reysol

Sat 15 Apr 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 6,418 HT 45' · FT 45'

Yoichi Naganuma 55' 1–0

1–1 75' Matheus Savio

Yuki Horigome 38' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yoshiro Imamura
Assistant 1
Assistant 2

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals Kashiwa Reysol

Last 5 meetings

2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-21 Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-03-17 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
09 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
01 Apr	FC Tokyo	H	1–0	W
18 Mar	Vissel Kobe	H	0–1	L
12 Mar	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
04 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–0	W

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–1	D
09 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	1–0	W
31 Mar	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–3	L
19 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
12 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–3	L
04 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sagan Tosu FC is hosting Kashiwa Reysol for another epic battle.
5' Kentaro Moriya has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 439 appearances.
10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
20' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
25' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
30' It looks surprising Kashiwa Reysol does not make any changes. Taiyo Koga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
35' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Yuki Horigome.
42' Kashiwa Reysol ring the changes. Takumi Tsuchiya has done his job and it is now time for Naoki Kawaguchi to step up.
47' Wataru Harada is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
52' With 0 assists to his name this season, Atsushi Kawata is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kashiwa Reysol.
55' Yoichi Naganuma does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
59' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Kentaro Moriya is replaced by Akito Fukuta.
60' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Akito Fukuta is hanging Kentaro Moriya on the field on 60 minute.
63' It is a substitution in Kashiwa Reysol team. Sachiro Toshima is replaced by Tomoya Koyamatsu on 63 minute.
65' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Atsushi Kawata is replaced by Yuji Ono.
66' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Atsushi Kawata departs to be replaced by Yuji Ono.
69' Douglas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jay-Roy Grot at the 69 minute mark.
70' The Kashiwa Reysol bench stirs into life. Mao Hosoya is withdrawn and Yuki Muto gets his opportunity.
75' GOAL! Matheus Savio fires home to make it 1-1!
76' Matheus Savio is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
81' Brazil international Douglas has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
82' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Ryonosuke Kabayama is replaced by Jun Nishikawa.
87' Yuta Fujihara, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Kashiwa Reysol share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Akito Fukuta 59'
8
Fuchi Honda
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↓ Jun Nishikawa 82'
9
Atsushi Kawata ↓ Yuji Ono 65'
30
Masaya Tashiro
24
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 59'
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Yuta Fujihara 82'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 59'
10
Yuji Ono ↑ 65'
7
Kohei Tezuka
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 82'
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 59'
25
Yuta Fujihara ↑ 82'
35
Kei Uchiyama

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

17
Jay-Roy Grot ↓ Douglas 69'
10
Matheus Savio
6
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Tomoki Takamine 63'
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru
50
Yugo Tatsuta
4
Taiyo Koga
19
Mao Hosoya ↓ Yuki Muto 69'
41
Keiya Sento
28
Sachiro Toshima ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 63'
46
Kenta Matsumoto
34
Takumi Tsuchiya ↓ Naoki Kawaguchi 42'

Bench

49
Douglas ↑ 69'
9
Yuki Muto ↑ 69'
5
Tomoki Takamine ↑ 63'
24
Naoki Kawaguchi ↑ 42'
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 63'
21
Masato Sasaki
20
Hayato Tanaka

Coach Nelsinho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daichi Hayashi	4
Matheus Savio	4
Tomoya Koyamatsu	3
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Michael Olunga	2
Fuchi Honda	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Kosuke Kinoshita	2

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tokyo W 2023-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vissel Kobe L 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-04-09 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Kashima Antlers W 2023-03-31 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2023-03-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-03-04 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.33 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.86 Kashiwa Reysol xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC48% Draw29% Kashiwa Reysol23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.19

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Kashiwa Reysol

52%

Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC31% Draw52% Kashiwa Reysol17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

13.8%

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

13.5%

2 – 0

9.6%

0 – 1

8.4%

2 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 1

3.7%

2 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	14%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	24%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	15%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

43% ✓

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.