Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Kashiwa Reysol

Sat 15 Apr 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 6,418 HT 45' · FT 45'

Yoichi Naganuma 55' 1–0

1–1 75' Matheus Savio

Yuki Horigome 38' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yoshiro Imamura
Assistant 1
Assistant 2

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals Kashiwa Reysol

Last 5 meetings

2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-21 Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-03-17 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
09 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
01 Apr	FC Tōkyō	H	1–0	W
18 Mar	Vissel Kobe	H	0–1	L
12 Mar	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
04 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–0	W

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–1	D
09 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	1–0	W
31 Mar	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–3	L
19 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
12 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–3	L
04 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

2/4

16-30

2/2

31-45

4/4

46-60

6/3

61-75

8/1

76+

7/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

Yusuke Segawa	7 G	2 A
Hinata Yamauchi	5 G
Yoshio Koizumi	4 G	5 A
Keita Endo	4 G	1 A
Tojiro Kubo	4 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sagan Tosu FC and Kashiwa Reysol has kicked off!
5' Yuki Muto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
10' Kashiwa Reysol have won 374 goals from 424 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
15' Kashiwa Reysol fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
20' Kashiwa Reysol is showing some good football. However, Kashiwa Reysol are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
25' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
30' Ryonosuke Kabayama has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
35' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
38' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 38.
42' Kashiwa Reysol make a change. Takumi Tsuchiya trudges off to be replaced by Naoki Kawaguchi on 42 minutes.
47' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
52' Wataru Harada is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
55' Goal! Yoichi Naganuma scores his 16 goal in 348 matches.
59' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Kentaro Moriya is withdrawn and Akito Fukuta gets his opportunity.
60' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 60 minute. Kentaro Moriya leaves to be changed by Akito Fukuta.
63' Tomoya Koyamatsu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sachiro Toshima on 63 minute.
65' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Yuji Ono on, Atsushi Kawata off on 65 minutes.
66' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Atsushi Kawata departs to be replaced by Yuji Ono.
69' Kashiwa Reysol ring the changes. Jay-Roy Grot has done his job and it is now time for Douglas to step up.
70' A tactical swap from Kashiwa Reysol — Yuki Muto on, Mao Hosoya off on 70 minutes.
75' What an equalizer from Matheus Savio!
76' Sensational shot from Matheus Savio. Kashiwa Reysol is back in the lead.
81' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tomoki Takamine made 381 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
82' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 82 minute. Ryonosuke Kabayama leaves to be changed by Jun Nishikawa.
87' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kashiwa Reysol are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Akito Fukuta 59'
8
Fuchi Honda
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↓ Jun Nishikawa 82'
9
Atsushi Kawata ↓ Yuji Ono 65'
30
Masaya Tashiro
24
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 59'
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Yuta Fujihara 82'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 59'
10
Yuji Ono ↑ 65'
7
Kohei Tezuka
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 82'
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 59'
25
Yuta Fujihara ↑ 82'
35
Kei Uchiyama

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

17
Jay-Roy Grot ↓ Douglas 69'
10
Matheus Savio
6
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Tomoki Takamine 63'
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru
50
Yugo Tatsuta
4
Taiyo Koga
19
Mao Hosoya ↓ Yuki Muto 69'
41
Keiya Sento
28
Sachiro Toshima ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 63'
46
Kenta Matsumoto
34
Takumi Tsuchiya ↓ Naoki Kawaguchi 42'

Bench

49
Douglas ↑ 69'
9
Yuki Muto ↑ 69'
5
Tomoki Takamine ↑ 63'
24
Naoki Kawaguchi ↑ 42'
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 63'
21
Masato Sasaki
20
Hayato Tanaka

Coach Nelsinho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matheus Savio	4
Daichi Hayashi	4
Tomoya Koyamatsu	3
Fuchi Honda	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Kosuke Kinoshita	2
Mao Hosoya	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō W 2023-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vissel Kobe L 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-04-09 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Kashima Antlers W 2023-03-31 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2023-03-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-03-04 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.33 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.86 Kashiwa Reysol xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC48% Draw29% Kashiwa Reysol23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.19

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Kashiwa Reysol

52%

Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC31% Draw52% Kashiwa Reysol17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

13.8%

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

13.5%

2 – 0

9.6%

0 – 1

8.4%

2 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 1

3.7%

2 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	14%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	24%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	15%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

43% ✓

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.