Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 15 Apr 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 6,418 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yoichi Naganuma 55' 1–0
1–1 75' Matheus Savio

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa ReysolJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
09 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
01 Apr FC Tōkyō H 1–0 W
18 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
12 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
09 Apr Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W
31 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–3 L
19 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
12 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 0–3 L
04 Mar Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
3/3
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Sagan Tosu FC welcome Kashiwa Reysol for this crunch clash at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Kashiwa Reysol fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 38' The referee has no hesitation. Yuki Horigome is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — Yellow card on 38.
  • 42' Takumi Tsuchiya makes way for Naoki Kawaguchi at the 42 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashiwa Reysol.
  • 47' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kashiwa Reysol are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 55' Brilliant from the ! Yoichi Naganuma makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 55.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Kentaro Moriya is replaced by Akito Fukuta on 59 minute.
  • 60' Akito Fukuta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kentaro Moriya on 60 minute.
  • 63' Tomoya Koyamatsu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sachiro Toshima on 63 minute.
  • 65' The whistle greets Atsushi Kawata as he departs to be replaced by Yuji Ono.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Atsushi Kawata is replaced by Yuji Ono.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Douglas. He replaces Jay-Roy Grot on 69 minute.
  • 70' Yuki Muto is replacing Mao Hosoya for the Kashiwa Reysol side.
  • 75' What composure from Matheus Savio! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 76' Matheus Savio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 76 minutes.
  • 81' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 82' Jun Nishikawa is replacing Ryonosuke Kabayama for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 87' Kashiwa Reysol have won 345 goals from 411 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC48% Draw29% Kashiwa Reysol23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
52%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC31% Draw52% Kashiwa Reysol17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.