Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 23 Apr 2023 · 05:00 UTC Kyoto Nishikyogoku stage 8,138 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuta Toyokawa 21' 1–0
1–1 22' Yuji Ono
1–2 32' Kazunari Ichimi og
1–3 41' Fuchi Honda
Kosuke Kinoshita pen 90' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Kyoto Nishikyogoku stage.

Match Details

  • Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
  • Assistant 1 Masahiro Horikoshi
  • Assistant 2 Naomi Teshirogi (Japan)
11 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 2–3 L
15 Apr Gamba Osaka H 2–1 W
09 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 1–2 L
01 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–3 L
18 Mar Yokohama FC A 4–1 W
12 Mar Shonan Bellmare A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 3–2 W
15 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
09 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
01 Apr FC Tōkyō H 1–0 W
18 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
12 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
/6
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Kyoto Sanga FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Kyoto Sanga FC or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kyoto Sanga FC41% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC32%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Kyoto Sanga FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
59%
Kyoto Sanga FC or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kyoto Sanga FC30% Draw45% Sagan Tosu FC25%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Kyoto Sanga FC

Handicap Kyoto Sanga FC covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.