Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 9 Apr 2023 · 05:00 UTC EDION Stadium Hiroshima 13,681 HT 45' · FT 45'

Douglas Vieira 75' 1–0

Y 74' Yoichi Naganuma

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Takuto Okabe
Assistant 1 Hiroyuki Igarashi
Assistant 2 Shingo Sakamoto (Japan)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-02-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-08 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–0	W
01 Apr	Kashima Antlers	A	2–1	W
19 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–0	W
12 Mar	Gamba Osaka	A	2–1	W
03 Mar	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–1	D
26 Feb	Albirex Niigata	H	1–2	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
01 Apr	FC Tokyo	H	1–0	W
18 Mar	Vissel Kobe	H	0–1	L
12 Mar	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
04 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–0	W
25 Feb	Gamba Osaka	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to EDION Stadium Hiroshima that hosts another battle between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC.
5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
10' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
15' Yuki Horigome is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
20' Atsushi Kawata has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
25' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
30' Makoto Mitsuta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
40' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
45' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
46' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Shiva Nagasawa trudges off to be replaced by Wataru Harada on 46 minutes.
51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
58' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Tsukasa Morishima by Ezequiel on 58 minute.
60' Yuji Ono makes way for Atsushi Kawata at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
65' Akito Fukuta has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
67' Pieros Sotiriou is replacing Takumu Kawamura for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
71' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuki Horigome departs to be replaced by Ryonosuke Kabayama.
74' Yoichi Naganuma was booked on 74.
75' Douglas Vieira has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
78' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Taichi Kikuchi departs to be replaced by Jun Nishikawa.
83' A quiet spell here at EDION Stadium Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
88' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
90' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 90 minute. Gakuto Notsuda leaves to be changed by Taichi Yamasaki.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Taichi Yamasaki 90'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Ezequiel 58'
8
Takumu Kawamura ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 67'
24
Shunki Higashi
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↓ Douglas Vieira 58'
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki
11
Makoto Mitsuta
32
Sota Koshimichi ↓ Shuto Nakano 67'

Bench

14
Ezequiel ↑ 58'
22
Goro Kawanami
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↑ 90'
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 67'
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 58'
16
Takaaki Shichi
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 67'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

6
Akito Fukuta
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 60'
30
Masaya Tashiro
24
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 71'
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Jun Nishikawa 78'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara
49
Kiriya Sakamoto ↓ Fuchi Honda 60'
34
Shiva Nagasawa ↓ Wataru Harada 46'

Bench

7
Kohei Tezuka
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 78'
8
Fuchi Honda ↑ 60'
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 71'
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 60'
42
Wataru Harada ↑ 46'
35
Kei Uchiyama

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Taishi Matsumoto	1
Yuji Takahashi	1
Taisei Miyashiro	1
Yuki Ohashi	1
Yuji Takahashi	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-04-01 Kashima Antlers 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-03-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol W 2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-03-03 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-02-26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Albirex Niigata L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tokyo W 2023-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vissel Kobe L 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.8 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima48% Draw30% Sagan Tosu FC22%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes39% 0% No61%

Avg goals/match: 1.98

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	84%	16%
± 1.5	59%	41%
± 2.5	32%	68%
± 3.5	15%	85%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

78%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

52%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Sagan Tosu FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima29% Draw55% Sagan Tosu FC16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

16.3%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

14%

0 – 1

9.7%

2 – 0

9.2%

2 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

5.1%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

3.5%

2 – 2

3.1%

3 – 1

1 – 3

1.4%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	13%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	24%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	16%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

45% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.