Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Takuto Okabe
- Assistant 1 Hiroyuki Igarashi
- Assistant 2 Shingo Sakamoto (Japan)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Mar | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC has kicked off!
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Skibbe might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 45' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 46' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Shiva Nagasawa departs to be replaced by Wataru Harada.
- 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 58' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ezequiel is hanging Tsukasa Morishima on the field on 58 minute.
- 60' Atsushi Kawata is replacing Yuji Ono for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
- 65' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
- 67' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Pieros Sotiriou on, Takumu Kawamura off on 67 minutes.
- 71' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Yuki Horigome trudges off to be replaced by Ryonosuke Kabayama on 71 minutes.
- 74' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Yoichi Naganuma on 74 minutes.
- 75' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Douglas Vieira on 75.
- 78' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Taichi Kikuchi is replaced by Jun Nishikawa.
- 83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 88' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 90' Gakuto Notsuda makes way for Taichi Yamasaki at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 7
- 19
- 38
-
10
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Ezequiel 58'
- 8
- 24
- 13
- 33
- 4
- 11
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↓ Shuto Nakano 67'
Bench
-
14
Ezequiel ↑ 58'
- 22
-
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↑ 90'
-
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 67'
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 58'
- 16
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 67'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 60'
- 30
- 24
- 71
- 44
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Jun Nishikawa 78'
- 2
- 5
-
49
Kiriya Sakamoto ↓ Fuchi Honda 60'
-
34
Shiva Nagasawa ↓ Wataru Harada 46'
Bench
- 7
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 78'
-
8
Fuchi Honda ↑ 60'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 71'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 60'
-
42
Wataru Harada ↑ 46'
- 35
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Makoto Mitsuta | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 1 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 1 |
| Yuji Takahashi | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
| Emil Salomonsson | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-04-09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2023-04-01
Kashima Antlers
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-03-19
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2023-03-12
Gamba Osaka
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-03-03
Yokohama F.Marinos
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2023-02-26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Albirex Niigata
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
78%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
52%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Sagan Tosu FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.4%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 16% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.