Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 – 0
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sun 9 Apr 2023 · 05:00 UTC EDION Stadium Hiroshima 13,681 HT 45' · FT 45'
Douglas Vieira 75' 1–0
Y 74' Yoichi Naganuma

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.

Match Details

  • Referee Takuto Okabe
  • Assistant 1 Hiroyuki Igarashi
  • Assistant 2 Shingo Sakamoto (Japan)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

7
6
3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-02-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-08 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 1–0 W
01 Apr Kashima Antlers A 2–1 W
19 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 1–0 W
12 Mar Gamba Osaka A 2–1 W
03 Mar Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
26 Feb Albirex Niigata H 1–2 L
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
01 Apr FC Tōkyō H 1–0 W
18 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
12 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Feb Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at EDION Stadium Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are looking to make home advantage count against Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Keisuke Osako needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Japan international Jun Nishikawa has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Shiva Nagasawa as he leaves the pitch. Wataru Harada steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Taichi Kikuchi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Tsukasa Morishima is replaced by Ezequiel.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Atsushi Kawata. He replaces Yuji Ono on 60 minute.
  • 65' The 30-year-old Kosuke Yamazaki has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 67' Pieros Sotiriou is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takumu Kawamura at the 67 minute mark.
  • 71' Ryonosuke Kabayama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuki Horigome at the 71 minute mark.
  • 74' That is a Yellow card for Sagan Tosu FC. Yoichi Naganuma will be fuming at that decision.
  • 75' GOAL! Douglas Vieira scores on 75.
  • 78' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Taichi Kikuchi departs to be replaced by Jun Nishikawa.
  • 83' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shunki Higashi made 335 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 90' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Gakuto Notsuda departs to be replaced by Taichi Yamasaki.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sanfrecce Hiroshima to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Makoto Mitsuta 2
Douglas Vieira 2
Pieros Sotiriou 2
Taishi Matsumoto 1
Yuji Takahashi 1
Taisei Miyashiro 1
Yuki Ohashi 1
Yuji Takahashi 1

Head to Head

2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-02-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-07-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-08 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-04-01 Kashima Antlers 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-03-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol W 2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-03-03 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-02-26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Albirex Niigata L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō W 2023-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vissel Kobe L 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima48% Draw30% Sagan Tosu FC22%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
78%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
52%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Sagan Tosu FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima29% Draw55% Sagan Tosu FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 24% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.