Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Yokohama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 4–4 | D |
| 23 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Yokohama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Kashiwa Reysol | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #3 |
| 20 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 24 | Scored | 46 |
| 25 | Conceded | 44 |
| -1 | GD | +2 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
6/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
| Yusuke Segawa | 6 G | 2 A |
| Yoshio Koizumi | 3 G | 2 A |
| Tojiro Kubo | 2 G | 1 A |
| Keita Endo | 2 G | |
| Yuki Kakita | 1 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Kashiwa Reysol are looking to make home advantage count against Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' Japan international Hiromu Mitsumaru has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Kashiwa Reysol currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 35' Kashiwa Reysol is showing some good football. However, Kashiwa Reysol are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' Kashiwa Reysol seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' The whistle greets Yuki Kakita as he departs to be replaced by Mao Hosoya.
- 47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kennedy Egbus Mikuni makes it 0-1.
- 52' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 62' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 63' The whistle greets Hiromu Mitsumaru as he departs to be replaced by Daiki Sugioka.
- 65' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Yuki Nogami by Soichiro Mori on 65 minute.
- 70' Time for substitution for Kashiwa Reysol. Yudai Konishi is replaced by Sachiro Toshima.
- 75' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 76' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Akinari Kawazura comes on to replace Yota Sato.
- 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 86' Kashiwa Reysol are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 89' Shungo Sugiura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yudai Kimura on 89 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Kashiwa Reysol to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 4
- 25
- 14
- 8
-
18
Yuki Kakita ↓ Mao Hosoya 46'
-
21
Yudai Konishi ↓ Sachiro Toshima 70'
-
3
Diego ↓ Yusuke Segawa 46'
- 42
- 88
- 39
Bench
- 40
- 22
- 13
-
20
Yusuke Segawa ↑ 46'
-
26
Daiki Sugioka ↑ 63'
-
9
Mao Hosoya ↑ 46'
- 19
-
28
Sachiro Toshima ↑ 70'
- 29
Coach
Ricardo Rodríguez
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 65'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Soichiro Mori 65'
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 7
-
70
Teruki Hara ↓ Keiya Shiihashi 76'
-
3
Yota Sato ↓ Akinari Kawazura 76'
- 33
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↓ Shungo Sugiura 89'
- 20
Bench
-
8
Keiya Shiihashi ↑ 76'
- 77
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 65'
-
6
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 76'
- 55
- 35
- 26
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 89'
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↑ 65'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Matheus Savio | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mao Hosoya | 2 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashiwa Reysol win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
75%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
52%
Kashiwa Reysol or Nagoya Grampus
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol
| Handicap | Kashiwa Reysol covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

