Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Tue 29 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 45' Diego

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa ReysolJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–2 L
25 Apr Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
20 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
12 Apr Gamba Osaka A 0–2 L
06 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
02 Apr Yokohama F.Marinos H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
26 Apr Albirex Niigata H 1–1 D
20 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
11 Apr FC Tokyo A 1–1 D
06 Apr Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
02 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Kashiwa Reysol
#3 Position #17
31 Points 20
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
46 Scored 24
44 Conceded 25
+2 GD -1
1.72 PPG 1.11
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
32% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
0% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Nagoya Grampus host Kashiwa Reysol — let the battle begin!
  • 2' A goal from the Japan international Sho Inagaki! He fires home on 2 to make it 1-0!
  • 7' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 12' Kashiwa Reysol is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 17' Ryosuke Kojima has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 27' With 1 assists to his name this season, Kennedy Egbus Mikuni is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kashiwa Reysol.
  • 32' Hiromu Mitsumaru is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashiwa Reysol tonight.
  • 33' Yuto Yamada does the damage! The net is bulging and Kashiwa Reysol surge ahead!
  • 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 43' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Kashiwa Reysol are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Diego.
  • 46' The Kashiwa Reysol manager makes a substitution. Eiji Shirai departs to be replaced by Koki Kumasaka.
  • 50' The deadlock is broken! Mao Hosoya gets on the scoresheet on 50 minutes.
  • 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 59' The Kashiwa Reysol manager makes a substitution. Kosuke Kinoshita departs to be replaced by Yuki Kakita.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Yuya Asano on 62 minute.
  • 67' Kashiwa Reysol come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 72' Supporters expect more eagerness from Daniel Schmidt, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Shuhei Tokumoto. He replaces Katsuhiro Nakayama on 75 minute.
  • 76' Kashiwa Reysol make a change. Mao Hosoya trudges off to be replaced by Yoshio Koizumi on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Yoshio Koizumi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 16 goals in his last 439 appearances.
  • 84' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Yuki Nogami has done his job and it is now time for Taichi Kikuchi to step up.
  • 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Hiromu Mitsumaru.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Kashiwa Reysol 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus42% Draw28% Kashiwa Reysol30%
Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
70%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
58%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashiwa Reysol
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus33% Draw44% Kashiwa Reysol23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
28%
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.