Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Tue 29 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 45' Diego

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa ReysolJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–2 L
25 Apr Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
20 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
12 Apr Gamba Osaka A 0–2 L
06 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
02 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
26 Apr Albirex Niigata H 1–1 D
20 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
11 Apr FC Tōkyō A 1–1 D
06 Apr Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
02 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Kashiwa Reysol
#3 Position #17
31 Points 20
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
46 Scored 24
44 Conceded 25
+2 GD -1
1.72 PPG 1.11
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
32% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
28% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
3/3
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Kashiwa Reysol gets underway.
  • 2' Goal! Sho Inagaki scores his 45 goal in 335 matches.
  • 7' Kashiwa Reysol seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 12' Kashiwa Reysol started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 12.
  • 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
  • 27' The travelling Kashiwa Reysol supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 32' Kashiwa Reysol is showing some good football. However, Kashiwa Reysol are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 33' Goal! Yuto Yamada scores his 4 goal in 411 matches.
  • 38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 43' Koki Kumasaka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Kashiwa Reysol player. Diego gets a card.
  • 46' Another change for Kashiwa Reysol made on 46 minute. Eiji Shirai leaves to be changed by Koki Kumasaka.
  • 50' Sensational shot from Mao Hosoya. Kashiwa Reysol is back in the lead.
  • 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 59' The Kashiwa Reysol manager makes a substitution. Kosuke Kinoshita departs to be replaced by Yuki Kakita.
  • 62' The whistle greets Ryuji Izumi as he departs to be replaced by Yuya Asano.
  • 67' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shun Nakajima, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 75' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 75 minute. Katsuhiro Nakayama leaves to be changed by Shuhei Tokumoto.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Kashiwa Reysol team. Mao Hosoya is replaced by Yoshio Koizumi on 76 minute.
  • 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mateus suffering a number of foals already.
  • 84' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taichi Kikuchi is hanging Yuki Nogami on the field on 84 minute.
  • 87' Kashiwa Reysol receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
  • Full Time. Kashiwa Reysol beats Nagoya Grampus

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Kashiwa Reysol 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus42% Draw28% Kashiwa Reysol30%
Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
70%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
58%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashiwa Reysol
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus33% Draw44% Kashiwa Reysol23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
28%
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.