Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #17 |
| 31 | Points | 20 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 46 | Scored | 24 |
| 44 | Conceded | 25 |
| +2 | GD | -1 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/4
46-60
6/3
61-75
8/1
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Kashiwa Reysol
| Yusuke Segawa | 7 G | 2 A |
| Hinata Yamauchi | 5 G | |
| Yoshio Koizumi | 4 G | 5 A |
| Keita Endo | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tojiro Kubo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nagoya Grampus and Kashiwa Reysol is underway.
- 2' Sho Inagaki puts Nagoya Grampus on the lead.
- 7' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 12' Kashiwa Reysol come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 17' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 22' Koki Kumasaka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
- 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 450 games and scored 410 goals.
- 32' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Tojiro Kubo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' A stunning finish from Yuto Yamada — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 38' Kashiwa Reysol are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ricardo Rodríguez will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' The referee shows Kashiwa Reysol player a card on 45.
- 46' Koki Kumasaka is replacing Eiji Shirai for the Kashiwa Reysol side.
- 50' Goal! Mao Hosoya scores his 46 goal in 422 matches.
- 55' Yoshio Koizumi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 59' Yuki Kakita is replacing Kosuke Kinoshita for the Kashiwa Reysol side.
- 62' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Yuya Asano comes on to replace Ryuji Izumi.
- 67' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Kashiwa Reysol are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 72' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 75' Katsuhiro Nakayama makes way for Shuhei Tokumoto at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 76' Yoshio Koizumi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mao Hosoya at the 76 minute mark.
- 81' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Kashiwa Reysol are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 84' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Yuki Nogami by Taichi Kikuchi on 84 minute.
- 87' The referee calls foul for Hiromu Mitsumaru. He receives a card.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 62'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 84'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Teruki Hara 62'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Asano 62'
- 10
- 27
- 6
- 20
Bench
- 17
-
70
Teruki Hara ↑ 62'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 62'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 62'
- 3
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 84'
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↑ 75'
- 35
- 30
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 13
- 4
-
15
Kosuke Kinoshita ↓ Yuki Kakita 59'
- 25
- 6
-
9
Mao Hosoya ↓ Yoshio Koizumi 76'
- 11
-
3
Diego ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 59'
-
33
Eiji Shirai ↓ Koki Kumasaka 46'
-
37
Shun Nakajima ↓ Tojiro Kubo 46'
Bench
- 1
-
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 59'
- 19
- 28
-
8
Yoshio Koizumi ↑ 76'
-
18
Yuki Kakita ↑ 59'
- 5
-
24
Tojiro Kubo ↑ 46'
-
27
Koki Kumasaka ↑ 46'
Coach
Ricardo Rodríguez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mao Hosoya | 2 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Kasper Junker | 2 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for:
Nagoya Grampus or Kashiwa Reysol 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Kashiwa Reysol win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
70%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
58%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashiwa Reysol
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kashiwa Reysol covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.