Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Jul | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jun | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 26 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Jun | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #17 |
| 31 | Points | 20 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 46 | Scored | 24 |
| 44 | Conceded | 25 |
| +2 | GD | -1 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Toyota Stadium as Nagoya Grampus face off against Kashiwa Reysol in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The travelling Kashiwa Reysol supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 7' Matheus Savio puts Kashiwa Reysol on the lead.
- 12' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Kashiwa Reysol are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 17' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 22' It looks surprising Kashiwa Reysol does not make any changes. Mitch Langerak has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 37' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Kashiwa Reysol's compact .
- 42' Taiyo Koga has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 46' Kashiwa Reysol ring the changes. Mao Hosoya has done his job and it is now time for Kosuke Kinoshita to step up.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 53' Ryosuke Yamanaka gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Katsuhiro Nakayama and will look to change the dynamic.
- 54' Yuki Soma has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 54 minutes.
- 56' Yuya Yamagishi does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
- 61' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 66' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Kashiwa Reysol are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 69' Eiji Shirai was booked on 69.
- 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Yuki Soma.
- 75' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 79' A change in the Kashiwa Reysol ranks — Eiji Shirai exits the field as Sachiro Toshima enters on 79.
- 84' Takumi Tsuchiya is replacing Yugo Tatsuta for the Kashiwa Reysol side.
- 89' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 90' Hiroki Sekine is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 90 minute. Kensuke Nagai leaves to be changed by Patric.
- Full Time. Nagoya Grampus beats Kashiwa Reysol
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Patric 90'
- 1
- 14
- 15
-
22
Yuki Soma ↓ Yuki Nogami 84'
- 27
- 11
- 24
- 20
Bench
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 53'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 84'
-
10
Patric ↑ 90'
- 16
- 17
- 19
- 25
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
50
Yugo Tatsuta ↓ Takumi Tsuchiya 84'
- 4
-
6
Yuto Yamada ↓ Yuki Kakita 79'
-
19
Mao Hosoya ↓ Kosuke Kinoshita 46'
- 5
- 14
- 46
- 3
- 32
-
33
Eiji Shirai ↓ Sachiro Toshima 79'
Bench
-
16
Eiichi Katayama ↑ 46'
-
15
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 46'
-
28
Sachiro Toshima ↑ 79'
-
18
Yuki Kakita ↑ 79'
- 21
-
34
Takumi Tsuchiya ↑ 84'
- 48
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kasper Junker | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Matheus Savio | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mao Hosoya | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.76
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
75%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
50%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashiwa Reysol
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kashiwa Reysol win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kashiwa Reysol covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.