Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Jul | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jun | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | FC Tokyo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 26 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Jun | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #17 |
| 31 | Points | 20 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 46 | Scored | 24 |
| 44 | Conceded | 25 |
| +2 | GD | -1 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Toyota Stadium!
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 7' Matheus Savio makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Kashiwa Reysol are in front.
- 12' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kosuke Kinoshita, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 22' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 27' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuki Kakita made 37 appearances and scored 27 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 42' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' The crowd applauds Mao Hosoya as he leaves the pitch. Kosuke Kinoshita steps in for Kashiwa Reysol.
- 51' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 53' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Katsuhiro Nakayama trudges off to be replaced by Ryosuke Yamanaka on 53 minutes.
- 54' What a strike from Yuki Soma! The score is 1-1.
- 56' A stunning finish from Yuya Yamagishi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 61' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Kashiwa Reysol's shape.
- 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kashiwa Reysol needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 69' It’s a booking for Kashiwa Reysol player. Eiji Shirai gets a card.
- 70' Yuki Soma was booked on 70.
- 75' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 75 minutes.
- 79' The whistle greets Eiji Shirai as he departs to be replaced by Sachiro Toshima.
- 84' A tactical swap from Kashiwa Reysol — Takumi Tsuchiya on, Yugo Tatsuta off on 84 minutes.
- 89' Keiya Shiihashi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashiwa Reysol tonight.
- 90' Kashiwa Reysol player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Patric has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kensuke Nagai on 90 minute.
- 2-1 the final result. Kashiwa Reysol will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Patric 90'
- 1
- 14
- 15
-
22
Yuki Soma ↓ Yuki Nogami 84'
- 27
- 11
- 24
- 20
Bench
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 53'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 84'
-
10
Patric ↑ 90'
- 16
- 17
- 19
- 25
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
50
Yugo Tatsuta ↓ Takumi Tsuchiya 84'
- 4
-
6
Yuto Yamada ↓ Yuki Kakita 79'
-
19
Mao Hosoya ↓ Kosuke Kinoshita 46'
- 5
- 14
- 46
- 3
- 32
-
33
Eiji Shirai ↓ Sachiro Toshima 79'
Bench
-
16
Eiichi Katayama ↑ 46'
-
15
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 46'
-
28
Sachiro Toshima ↑ 79'
-
18
Yuki Kakita ↑ 79'
- 21
-
34
Takumi Tsuchiya ↑ 84'
- 48
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Mao Hosoya | 2 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Kasper Junker | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Matheus Savio | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.76
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
75%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
50%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashiwa Reysol
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kashiwa Reysol win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kashiwa Reysol covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

