Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sagan Tosu FC
3 – 2
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 31 Mar 2018 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Yudai Yamamoto
  • Referee Satoshi Karakami
  • Referee Tomohisa Gonda
  • Referee Haruki Hidaka

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
7
4
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus 2018-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2017-09-24 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 3–2 W
31 Mar FC Tōkyō H 1–4 L
18 Mar Kashima Antlers H 0–1 L
18 Mar Kawasaki Frontale A 1–2 L
11 Mar Kashiwa Reysol A 0–2 L
10 Mar Yokohama F·Marinos A 2–1 W
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 2–3 L
31 Mar Vegalta Sendai H 2–0 W
18 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L
18 Mar Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
11 Mar Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
11 Mar Kingstonian FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Sagan Tosu FC welcome Nagoya Grampus for this crunch clash at .
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Jung Seunghyun has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' It’s high time Yahiro Kazama made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' The 37-year-old Willian Rocha has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' Yuji Ono is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
  • 55' Kazuya Miyahara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kazuki Kushibiki made 439 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 80' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 80 minutes.
  • 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
  • Sagan Tosu FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Yahiro Kazama

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2
Hikaru Nakahara 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Naoki Maeda 2
Ryuji Izumi 2

Head to Head

2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus 2018-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2017-09-24 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 FC Tōkyō L 2018-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashima Antlers L 2018-03-18 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2018-03-11 Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2018-03-10 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-03-31 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Vegalta Sendai W 2018-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L 2018-03-18 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-03-11 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2018-03-11 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Kingstonian FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC44% Draw28% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
56%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw48% Nagoya Grampus23%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.