Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sagan Tosu FC
3 – 2
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 31 Mar 2018 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Yudai Yamamoto
  • Referee Satoshi Karakami
  • Referee Tomohisa Gonda
  • Referee Haruki Hidaka

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
7
4
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus 2018-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2017-09-24 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 3–2 W
31 Mar FC Tokyo H 1–4 L
18 Mar Kashima Antlers H 0–1 L
18 Mar Kawasaki Frontale A 1–2 L
11 Mar Kashiwa Reysol A 0–2 L
10 Mar Yokohama F.Marinos A 2–1 W
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 2–3 L
31 Mar Vegalta Sendai H 2–0 W
18 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L
18 Mar Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
11 Mar Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
11 Mar Kingstonian FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yutaka Yoshida is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' Aria Hasegawa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 35' Kim Minhyeok has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
  • 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel Xavier made 446 appearances and scored 23 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 70' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 75' The energy levels are beginning to show. Yahiro Kazama might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 85' Jo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 56 goals in his last 446 appearances.
  • 90' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Yahiro Kazama

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ryuji Izumi 2
Tomoya Koyamatsu 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2
Hikaru Nakahara 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2

Head to Head

2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus 2018-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2017-09-24 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 FC Tokyo L 2018-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashima Antlers L 2018-03-18 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2018-03-11 Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2018-03-10 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-03-31 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Vegalta Sendai W 2018-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L 2018-03-18 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-03-11 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2018-03-11 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Kingstonian FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC44% Draw28% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
56%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw48% Nagoya Grampus23%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.