Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sagan Tosu FC
3 – 2
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 31 Mar 2018 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Yudai Yamamoto
  • Referee Satoshi Karakami
  • Referee Tomohisa Gonda
  • Referee Haruki Hidaka

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
7
4
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus 2018-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2017-09-24 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 3–2 W
31 Mar FC Tokyo H 1–4 L
18 Mar Kashima Antlers H 0–1 L
18 Mar Kawasaki Frontale A 1–2 L
11 Mar Kashiwa Reysol A 0–2 L
10 Mar Yokohama F.Marinos A 2–1 W
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 2–3 L
31 Mar Vegalta Sendai H 2–0 W
18 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L
18 Mar Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
11 Mar Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
11 Mar Kingstonian FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus get this one started.
  • 5' Yukinari Sugawara is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
  • 10' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 20' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Kazuki Kushibiki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Massimo Ficcadenti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Yahiro Kazama will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriel Xavier, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 50' A quiet spell here at . Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 55' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 60' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 70' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Willian Rocha suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 85' Japan international Shumpei Fukahori has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 90' Jung Seunghyun has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • Sagan Tosu FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Yahiro Kazama

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2
Hikaru Nakahara 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Naoki Maeda 2
Ryuji Izumi 2

Head to Head

2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus 2018-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2017-09-24 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 FC Tokyo L 2018-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashima Antlers L 2018-03-18 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2018-03-11 Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2018-03-10 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-03-31 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Vegalta Sendai W 2018-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L 2018-03-18 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-03-11 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2018-03-11 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Kingstonian FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC44% Draw28% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
56%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw48% Nagoya Grampus23%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.