Derby County FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Hull City AFC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
6 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Hull City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Oct | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | Millwall FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Norwich City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Derby County FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | Burnley FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | Sunderland AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Oct | Norwich City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 01 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | Cardiff City FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Hull City AFC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Eiran Cashin suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Mason Burstow has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hull City AFC that had 390 games and scored 441 goals.
- 30' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' Hull City AFC come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 40' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' Hull City AFC ring the changes. Regan Slater has done his job and it is now time for Kasey Palmer to step up.
- 51' Mohamed Belloumi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Hull City AFC's compact 4-3-3.
- 57' Xavier Simons does the damage! The net is bulging and Hull City AFC surge ahead!
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Dajaune Brown. He replaces Jerry Yates on 59 minute.
- 60' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Corey Blackett-Taylor is hanging Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on the field on 60 minute.
- 64' Hull City AFC ring the changes. Chris Bedia has done his job and it is now time for Joao Pedro Galvao to step up.
- 66' Magnificent from Dajaune Brown! That is 2 goals in 400 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 71' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 72' The referee calls foul for Xavier Simons. He receives a card.
- 77' Controversy at the stadium! Charlie Hughes argues furiously but the card stands.
- 82' Hull City AFC ring the changes. Mohamed Belloumi has done his job and it is now time for Mason Burstow to step up.
- 87' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 89' The crowd applauds Marcus Harness as he leaves the pitch. Liam Thompson steps in for Derby County FC.
- 90' The referee shows Hull City AFC player a card on 90.
- The points are shared — Derby County FC 1-1 Hull City AFC. Honours even.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Ben Osborn 60'
- 3
-
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Liam Thompson 89'
- 11
- 19
- 2
- 35
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ Dajaune Brown 59'
- 32
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
8
Ben Osborn ↑ 60'
-
27
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↑ 60'
- 31
- 9
- 5
- 20
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 89'
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 59'
Coach
Paul Warne
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2
-
27
Regan Slater ↓ Kasey Palmer 46'
- 5
-
9
Chris Bedia ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 64'
- 1
- 23
- 4
- 18
- 20
- 44
- 33
Bench
- 3
-
45
Kasey Palmer ↑ 46'
- 31
-
12
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 64'
-
10
Abdulkadir Omur ↑ 46'
- 6
- 36
-
48
Mason Burstow ↑ 82'
- 25
Coach
Tim Walter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Jarrod Bowen | 2 |
| Todd Kane | 1 |
| Nathaniel Phillips | 1 |
| Matt Clarke | 1 |
| Sam Baldock | 1 |
| Craig Forsyth | 1 |
| Tom Lawrence | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Hull City AFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Hull City AFC
54%
Derby County FC or Hull City AFC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Hull City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

