Derby County FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Hull City AFC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Hull City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Oct | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | Millwall FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Norwich City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Derby County FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | Burnley FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | Sunderland AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Oct | Norwich City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 01 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | Cardiff City FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Hull City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #6 |
| 69 | Points | 73 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 20 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 21 / 10 / 15 |
| 67 | Scored | 70 |
| 59 | Conceded | 66 |
| +8 | GD | +4 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.59 |
| 43% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Derby County FC have kicked off against Hull City AFC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tim Walter will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Hull City AFC backline.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alfie Jones, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' The 26-year-old Kane Wilson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tim Walter might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 40' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 46' Time for substitution for Hull City AFC. Regan Slater is replaced by Kasey Palmer.
- 51' Kayden Jackson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
- 56' Hull City AFC come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 57' Xavier Simons puts Hull City AFC on the lead.
- 59' The crowd applauds Jerry Yates as he leaves the pitch. Dajaune Brown steps in for Derby County FC.
- 60' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Nathaniel Mendez-Laing exits the field as Corey Blackett-Taylor enters on 60.
- 64' Hull City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joao Pedro Galvao is hanging Chris Bedia on the field on 64 minute.
- 66' What an equalizer from Dajaune Brown!
- 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 72' Xavier Simons was booked on 72.
- 77' Charlie Hughes is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
- 82' Another substitution for Hull City AFC to replace Mohamed Belloumi by Mason Burstow on 82 minute.
- 87' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 89' Another change for Derby County FC made on 89 minute. Marcus Harness leaves to be changed by Liam Thompson.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Mason Burstow.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Ben Osborn 60'
- 3
-
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Liam Thompson 89'
- 11
- 19
- 2
- 35
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ Dajaune Brown 59'
- 32
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
8
Ben Osborn ↑ 60'
-
27
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↑ 60'
- 31
- 9
- 5
- 20
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 89'
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 59'
Coach
Paul Warne
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2
-
27
Regan Slater ↓ Kasey Palmer 46'
- 5
-
9
Chris Bedia ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 64'
- 1
- 23
- 4
- 18
- 20
- 44
- 33
Bench
- 3
-
45
Kasey Palmer ↑ 46'
- 31
-
12
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 64'
-
10
Abdulkadir Omur ↑ 46'
- 6
- 36
-
48
Mason Burstow ↑ 82'
- 25
Coach
Tim Walter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Jarrod Bowen | 2 |
| Todd Kane | 1 |
| Nathaniel Phillips | 1 |
| Matt Clarke | 1 |
| Sam Baldock | 1 |
| Craig Forsyth | 1 |
| Tom Lawrence | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Hull City AFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Hull City AFC
53%
Derby County FC or Hull City AFC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Hull City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

