Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Derby County FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Hull City AFC
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 29,877 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 57' Xavier Simons
Dajaune Brown 66' 1–1
Y 72' Xavier Simons
Y 77' Charlie Hughes
Y 90' Mason Burstow
Craig Forsyth 90' Y
Y 90' Joao Pedro Galvao

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Hull City AFC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
4 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

7
1
2
Derby County FC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Hull City AFC
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC 2021-08-18 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2020-01-18 Derby County FC 1–0 Hull City AFC 2019-10-26 Hull City AFC 2–0 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Hull City AFC H 1–1 D
22 Oct Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Millwall FC A 1–1 D
05 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
Hull City AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Derby County FC A 1–1 D
23 Oct Burnley FC H 1–1 D
20 Oct Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
05 Oct Norwich City FC A 0–4 L
01 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–1 W
28 Sep Cardiff City FC H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Pride Park Stadium that hosts another battle between Derby County FC and Hull City AFC.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Hull City AFC backline.
  • 15' Marcus Harness has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 39 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' England international Jerry Yates has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' Derby County FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Hull City AFC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 30' The travelling Hull City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 35' Derby County FC currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kasey Palmer, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' Hull City AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Hull City AFC. Regan Slater is replaced by Kasey Palmer.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ebou Adams suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' Charlie Hughes, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 57' The England Xavier Simons breaks the deadlock on 57 minutes. 0-1!
  • 59' Jerry Yates makes way for Dajaune Brown at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 60' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Corey Blackett-Taylor is hanging Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on the field on 60 minute.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Chris Bedia is replaced by Joao Pedro Galvao on 64 minute.
  • 66' The Jamaica Dajaune Brown breaks the deadlock on 66 minutes. 1-1!
  • 71' Hull City AFC come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 72' The referee has no hesitation. Xavier Simons is booked for Hull City AFC — card on 72.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a card for Charlie Hughes.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Hull City AFC — Mason Burstow on, Mohamed Belloumi off on 82 minutes.
  • 87' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 89' Liam Thompson gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Marcus Harness and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Mason Burstow.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

Hull City AFC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tim Walter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Martyn Waghorn 3
Jarrod Bowen 2
Festy Ebosele 1
Florian Jozefzoon 1
Craig Forsyth 1
Todd Kane 1
Keane Lewis-Potter 1
Martyn Waghorn 1

Head to Head

2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC 2021-08-18 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2020-01-18 Derby County FC 1–0 Hull City AFC 2019-10-26 Hull City AFC 2–0 Derby County FC

Derby County FC Form

2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC D 2024-10-22 Oxford United FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2024-10-05 Derby County FC 2–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2024-10-01 Sunderland AFC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2024-09-28 Derby County FC 2–3 Norwich City FC L

Hull City AFC Form

2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC D 2024-10-23 Hull City AFC 1–1 Burnley FC D 2024-10-20 Hull City AFC 0–1 Sunderland AFC L 2024-10-05 Norwich City FC 4–0 Hull City AFC L 2024-10-01 Queens Park Rangers FC 1–3 Hull City AFC W 2024-09-28 Hull City AFC 4–1 Cardiff City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC46% Draw28% Hull City AFC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Hull City AFC
54%
Derby County FC or Hull City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC31% Draw49% Hull City AFC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Hull City AFC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.