Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 29,877 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 57' Xavier Simons
Dajaune Brown 66' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Hull City AFC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
6 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Hull City AFC H 1–1 D
22 Oct Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Millwall FC A 1–1 D
05 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Derby County FC A 1–1 D
23 Oct Burnley FC H 1–1 D
20 Oct Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
05 Oct Norwich City FC A 0–4 L
01 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–1 W
28 Sep Cardiff City FC H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Hull City AFC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Eiran Cashin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Mason Burstow has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hull City AFC that had 390 games and scored 441 goals.
  • 30' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 35' Hull City AFC come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 40' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' Hull City AFC ring the changes. Regan Slater has done his job and it is now time for Kasey Palmer to step up.
  • 51' Mohamed Belloumi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Hull City AFC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 57' Xavier Simons does the damage! The net is bulging and Hull City AFC surge ahead!
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Dajaune Brown. He replaces Jerry Yates on 59 minute.
  • 60' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Corey Blackett-Taylor is hanging Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on the field on 60 minute.
  • 64' Hull City AFC ring the changes. Chris Bedia has done his job and it is now time for Joao Pedro Galvao to step up.
  • 66' Magnificent from Dajaune Brown! That is 2 goals in 400 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 71' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 72' The referee calls foul for Xavier Simons. He receives a card.
  • 77' Controversy at the stadium! Charlie Hughes argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 82' Hull City AFC ring the changes. Mohamed Belloumi has done his job and it is now time for Mason Burstow to step up.
  • 87' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 89' The crowd applauds Marcus Harness as he leaves the pitch. Liam Thompson steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 90' The referee shows Hull City AFC player a card on 90.
  • The points are shared — Derby County FC 1-1 Hull City AFC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC46% Draw28% Hull City AFC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Hull City AFC
54%
Derby County FC or Hull City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC31% Draw49% Hull City AFC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Hull City AFC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.