Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 1–4 | L |
| 07 Dec | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Dec | FC Barcelona | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Holstein Kiel and Borussia Dortmund are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Borussia Dortmund is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Holstein-Stadion. Borussia Dortmund seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Holstein Kiel must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 27' Goal! Shuto Machino scores his 48 goal in 302 matches.
- 32' Phil Harres has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
- 37' David Zec is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Borussia Dortmund so far.
- 42' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a card on 42.
- 46' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Julian Ryerson trudges off to be replaced by Maximilian Beier on 46 minutes.
- 49' Alexander Bernhardsson does the damage! The net is bulging and Holstein Kiel surge ahead!
- 54' Borussia Dortmund come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 59' Gio Reyna is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcel Sabitzer at the 59 minute mark.
- 64' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nuri Sahin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 68' Armin Gigovic is replacing Alexander Bernhardsson for the Holstein Kiel side.
- 71' What a strike from Gio Reyna! The score is 3-1.
- 76' The crowd applauds Phil Harres as he leaves the pitch. Jann-Fiete Arp steps in for Holstein Kiel.
- 77' What a strike from Jamie Bynoe-Gittens! The score is 3-2.
- 81' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Finn Porath gets a card.
- 85' Dominik Javorcek has so much to prove this time. He replaces Finn Porath on 85 minute.
- 86' Lewis Holtby was booked on 86.
- The final score is 4-2.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Lewis Holtby 76'
- 1
- 24
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Dominik Javorcek 85'
- 17
-
3
Marco Komenda ↓ Max Geschwill 76'
- 22
-
19
Phil Harres ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 76'
- 23
- 11
- 26
Bench
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 76'
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 76'
- 9
- 21
-
33
Dominik Javorcek ↑ 85'
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 68'
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 76'
- 6
- 16
Coach
Marcel Rapp
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 1
-
20
Marcel Sabitzer ↓ Gio Reyna 59'
- 9
- 26
- 23
- 8
- 4
- 43
-
16
Julien Duranville ↓ Yan Couto 59'
Bench
-
3
Waldemar Anton ↑ 46'
- 33
-
14
Maximilian Beier ↑ 46'
-
7
Gio Reyna ↑ 59'
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 59'
- 49
- 38
- 42
- 37
Coach
Nuri Sahin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gio Reyna | 4 |
| Jude Bellingham | 2 |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 1 |
| Marco Reus | 1 |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 1 |
| Thorgan Hazard | 1 |
| Jamie Bynoe-Gittens | 1 |
| Jann-Fiete Arp | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-01-14
Holstein Kiel
4–2
Borussia Dortmund
L
2025-01-10
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2024-12-22
VfL Wolfsburg
1–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-12-15
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-12-11
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
FC Barcelona
L
2024-12-07
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
Borussia Dortmund
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.96
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or Borussia Dortmund 77% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
68%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
56%
Holstein Kiel or Borussia Dortmund
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.