Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
17 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 7.9 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern Munchen 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 14 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 4–2 W 11 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–3 L 21 Dec FC Augsburg H 5–1 W 14 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–4 L 07 Dec RB Leipzig H 0–2 L 29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–3 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 14 Jan Holstein Kiel A 2–4 L 10 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L 22 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W 15 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D 11 Dec FC Barcelona H 2–3 L 07 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–1 D Key Stats
33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this seasonGoal Timing (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund0-152/116-30–/–31-453/246-601/–61-751/–76+5/3■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Borussia Dortmund gets underway.
- Full Time. Holstein Kiel beats Borussia Dortmund
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Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
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18
Shuto Machino ↓ Lewis Holtby 76'
- 1
- 24
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8
Finn Porath ↓ Dominik Javorcek 85'
- 17
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3
Marco Komenda ↓ Max Geschwill 76'
- 22
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19
Phil Harres ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 76'
- 23
- 11
- 26
Bench
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10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 76'
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20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 76'
- 9
- 21
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33
Dominik Javorcek ↑ 85'
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37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 68'
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14
Max Geschwill ↑ 76'
- 6
- 16
Coach Marcel RappBorussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 1
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20
Marcel Sabitzer ↓ Gio Reyna 59'
- 9
- 26
- 23
- 8
- 4
- 43
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16
Julien Duranville ↓ Yan Couto 59'
Bench
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3
Waldemar Anton ↑ 46'
- 33
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14
Maximilian Beier ↑ 46'
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7
Gio Reyna ↑ 59'
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2
Yan Couto ↑ 59'
- 49
- 38
- 42
- 37
Coach Nuri Sahin -
18
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Gio Reyna 4 Jude Bellingham 2 Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 1 Jann-Fiete Arp 1 Shuto Machino 1 Phil Harres 1 Alexander Bernhardsson 1 Marcel Sabitzer 1 Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-01-14 Holstein Kiel 4–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-01-10 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2024-12-22 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-12-15 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2024-12-11 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Barcelona L 2024-12-07 Borussia Monchengladbach 1–1 Borussia Dortmund D -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.96 Holstein Kiel xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.84 Borussia Dortmund xGI would bet for: Holstein Kiel or Borussia Dortmund 77% + Over 2.5 goals 72%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.8Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 97% 3% ± 1.5 89% 11% ± 2.5 72% 28% ± 3.5 52% 48% ± 4.5 33% 67% Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw 68%Draw or Borussia Dortmund 56%Holstein Kiel or Borussia Dortmund 77%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HTCorrect Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual1 – 1 8.9%2 – 1 7.7%1 – 2 7.2%2 – 2 6.9%3 – 1 5%3 – 2 4.5%2 – 0 4.4%1 – 3 4.4%2 – 3 4.3%1 – 0 3.9%0 – 2 3.9%0 – 1 3.6%Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers -2.5 11% — 89% -2 11% 12% 77% -1.5 23% — 77% -1 23% 18% 59% -0.5 41% — 59% +0.5 64% — 36% +1 64% 17% 19% +1.5 81% — 19% +2 81% 11% 8% +2.5 92% — 8% Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet 17% ✓Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet 15% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.