Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nurnberg, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 12:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nurnberg2. Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Kampka
13 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 4.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar 1. FC Nurnberg H 2–3 L
07 Mar SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–2 L
28 Feb SV 07 Elversberg H 1–1 D
21 Feb Karlsruher SC A 1–3 L
15 Feb FC Schalke 04 H 1–2 L
08 Feb Hannover 96 A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Holstein Kiel A 3–2 W
07 Mar TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 0–1 L
01 Mar Hertha BSC A 1–2 L
20 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D
13 Feb Karlsruher SC H 5–1 W
07 Feb SC Paderborn 07 A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Holstein Kiel 1. FC Nurnberg
#12 Position #8
41 Points 46
34 Played 34
11 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 12
44 Scored 47
48 Conceded 45
-4 GD +2
1.21 PPG 1.35
32% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
15% Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season

Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts). 1. FC Nurnberg are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

1. FC Nurnberg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.54 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 1. FC Nurnberg xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or 1. FC Nurnberg 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel36% Draw27% 1. FC Nurnberg37%
Actual: 1. FC Nurnberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
63%
Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg
64%
Holstein Kiel or 1. FC Nurnberg
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel28% Draw44% 1. FC Nurnberg28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push 1. FC Nurnberg covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 18% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 18% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
22%
1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.