Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Heart of Midlothian FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Kilmarnock FC
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Tynecastle 18,799 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kenneth Vargas 10' 2–0
1–1 67' Marley Watkins
Frankie Kent 27' Y
Y 28' Danny Armstrong
Y 63' Robbie Deas
Alex Cochrane 65' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.

Match Details

  • Referee William Collum
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Stevenson
  • Assistant 2 Calum Spence

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Heart of Midlothian FC 33 70
2 Rangers FC 33 69
3 Celtic FC 33 67
4 Motherwell FC 33 54
5 Hibernian FC 33 51
6 Falkirk FC 33 46
7 Dundee United FC 33 40
8 Aberdeen FC 33 33
9 Dundee FC 33 33
10 St. Mirren FC 33 30
11 Kilmarnock FC 33 28
12 Livingston FC 33 16

Head-to-Head

7
5
9
Heart of Midlothian FC 21 games · Avg 2.1 goals Kilmarnock FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC 2023-12-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2023-08-13 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–0 Kilmarnock FC 2023-04-01 Kilmarnock FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Kilmarnock FC H 1–1 D
16 Mar Ross County FC A 1–2 L
03 Mar Celtic FC H 2–0 W
28 Feb Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
24 Feb Rangers FC A 0–5 L
17 Feb Motherwell FC H 2–0 W
Kilmarnock FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–1 D
16 Mar St. Mirren FC H 5–2 W
02 Mar Dundee FC A 2–2 D
28 Feb Rangers FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Celtic FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Kilmarnock FC
#1 Position #11
70 Points 28
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 17
58 Scored 37
28 Conceded 65
+30 GD -28
2.12 PPG 0.85
64% Win % 18%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' The Costa Rica Kenneth Vargas breaks the deadlock on 10 minutes. 1-0!
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 27' Heart of Midlothian FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 28' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a card on 28.
  • 33' The travelling Kilmarnock FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 38' David Watson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 48' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 53' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 54' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Liam Donnelly trudges off to be replaced by David Watson on 54 minutes.
  • 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
  • 63' Robbie Deas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 63.
  • 65' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alex Cochrane.
  • 67' Marley Watkins is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 71' Cameron Devlin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Cochrane on 71 minute.
  • 74' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Kyle Vassell departs to be replaced by Kevin van Veen.
  • 79' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 80' It is a substitution in Heart of Midlothian FC team. Alan Forrest is replaced by Nathaniel Atkinson on 80 minute.
  • 85' Yutaro Oda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 6 Yellow cards this season.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Kilmarnock FC team. Joe Wright is replaced by Rory McKenzie on 88 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Steven Naismith

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Chris Burke 4
Lawrence Shankland 3
Sean Clare 2
Stuart Findlay 2
Danny Armstrong 2
Eamonn Brophy 2
Nathaniel Atkinson 1
Bruce Anderson 1

Head to Head

2024-03-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC 2023-12-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2023-08-13 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–0 Kilmarnock FC 2023-04-01 Kilmarnock FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2024-03-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-03-16 Ross County FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2024-03-03 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 Celtic FC W 2024-02-28 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Hibernian FC D 2024-02-24 Rangers FC 5–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2024-02-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 Motherwell FC W

Kilmarnock FC Form

2024-03-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-03-16 Kilmarnock FC 5–2 St. Mirren FC W 2024-03-02 Dundee FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-02-28 Kilmarnock FC 1–2 Rangers FC L 2024-02-24 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Aberdeen FC W 2024-02-17 Celtic FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.14 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC60% Draw23% Kilmarnock FC17%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
40%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC48% Draw41% Kilmarnock FC11%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
10.8%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.7%
4 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.5%
1 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 20% 57%
-1.5 43% — 57%
-1 43% 23% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
45% ✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.