Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 2 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee William Collum
- Assistant 1 Stuart Stevenson
- Assistant 2 Calum Spence
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | St. Mirren FC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Motherwell FC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Rangers FC | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Falkirk FC | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Dundee United FC | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Kilmarnock FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Ross County FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Mar | Celtic FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Hibernian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Feb | Rangers FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 17 Feb | Motherwell FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | St. Mirren FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 02 Mar | Dundee FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Rangers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Feb | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Feb | Celtic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 2 | Played | 2 |
| 1 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| 5 | Scored | 4 |
| 2 | Conceded | 9 |
| +3 | GD | -5 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 0.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Tynecastle. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Beni Baningime suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' GOAL! Kenneth Vargas fires home to make it 1-0!
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 27' That is a card for Heart of Midlothian FC. Frankie Kent will be fuming at that decision.
- 28' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Danny Armstrong will be fuming at that decision.
- 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 43' Kilmarnock FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 48' Dexter Lembikisa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 343 appearances.
- 53' Heart of Midlothian FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Kilmarnock FC's 4-4-2 shape.
- 54' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Liam Donnelly is withdrawn and David Watson gets his opportunity.
- 59' Lawrence Shankland is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heart of Midlothian FC tonight.
- 63' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Robbie Deas.
- 65' Alex Cochrane catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 65.
- 67' Assisted by Kyle Vassell with the perfectly-timed delivery and Marley Watkins makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Cameron Devlin. He replaces Alex Cochrane on 71 minute.
- 74' Kevin van Veen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kyle Vassell on 74 minute.
- 79' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 80' Another change for Heart of Midlothian FC made on 80 minute. Alan Forrest leaves to be changed by Nathaniel Atkinson.
- 85' Australia international Nathaniel Atkinson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 88' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Rory McKenzie on, Joe Wright off on 88 minutes.
- It finishes all square. Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 3
- 2
-
7
Jorge Grant ↓ Barrie McKay 71'
- 28
- 17
- 9
-
19
Alex Cochrane ↓ Cameron Devlin 71'
-
81
Dexter Lembikisa ↓ Yutaro Oda 80'
- 77
-
25
Macaulay Tait ↓ Kye Rowles 71'
Bench
-
18
Barrie McKay ↑ 71'
- 29
-
14
Cameron Devlin ↑ 71'
-
15
Kye Rowles ↑ 71'
- 1
- 30
-
13
Nathaniel Atkinson ↑ 80'
-
11
Yutaro Oda ↑ 80'
- 22
Coach
Steven Naismith
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 23
-
19
Joe Wright ↓ Rory McKenzie 88'
-
9
Kyle Vassell ↓ Kevin van Veen 74'
- 17
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↓ David Watson 54'
- 31
- 5
- 1
- 6
- 11
- 10
Bench
-
98
Kevin van Veen ↑ 74'
- 39
- 21
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 88'
- 20
- 3
- 18
-
12
David Watson ↑ 54'
- 14
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Uche Ikpeazu | 1 |
| Stephen Humphrys | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2024-03-30
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Kilmarnock FC
D
2024-03-16
Ross County FC
2–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-03-03
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
Celtic FC
W
2024-02-28
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Hibernian FC
D
2024-02-24
Rangers FC
5–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-02-17
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
Motherwell FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
5
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 92% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 6.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 2.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 3.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 4.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
23%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
88%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–1 not predicted1 – 1Actual
4 – 1
7.1%
5 – 1
7%
4 – 0
6.5%
5 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
5.9%
6 – 1
5.8%
3 – 0
5.4%
6 – 0
5.2%
7 – 1
4.2%
4 – 2
4%
5 – 2
4%
2 – 1
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| -2 | 64% | 15% | 21% |
| -1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| -1 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| -0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +0.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +1 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
1%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.