Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Tynecastle 18,799 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kenneth Vargas 10' 2–0
1–1 67' Marley Watkins

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.

Match Details

  • Referee William Collum
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Stevenson
  • Assistant 2 Calum Spence

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Kilmarnock FC H 1–1 D
16 Mar Ross County FC A 1–2 L
03 Mar Celtic FC H 2–0 W
28 Feb Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
24 Feb Rangers FC A 0–5 L
17 Feb Motherwell FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–1 D
16 Mar St. Mirren FC H 5–2 W
02 Mar Dundee FC A 2–2 D
28 Feb Rangers FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Celtic FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Kilmarnock FC
#3 Position #12
13 Points 5
7 Played 7
4 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 4
14 Scored 6
8 Conceded 15
+6 GD -9
1.86 PPG 0.71
57% Win % 14%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Tynecastle. Heart of Midlothian FC are looking to make home advantage count against Kilmarnock FC.
  • 5' Heart of Midlothian FC currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Kenneth Vargas has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 10 minutes.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Heart of Midlothian FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Will Dennis is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 27' The referee shows Heart of Midlothian FC player a card on 27.
  • 28' Danny Armstrong was booked on 28.
  • 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 38' It’s high time Steven Naismith made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 43' Matty Kennedy, a Northern Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 48' Rory McKenzie has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 53' Kilmarnock FC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 54' Kilmarnock FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Watson is hanging Liam Donnelly on the field on 54 minute.
  • 59' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 63' Robbie Deas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 63.
  • 65' That looks like a foul for a card for Alex Cochrane.
  • 67' The deadlock is broken! Marley Watkins gets on the scoresheet on 67 minutes.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Heart of Midlothian FC! Cameron Devlin comes on to replace Alex Cochrane.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Kevin van Veen. He replaces Kyle Vassell on 74 minute.
  • 79' The 30-year-old Stuart Findlay has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 80' Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nathaniel Atkinson is hanging Alan Forrest on the field on 80 minute.
  • 85' Over 85 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 88' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Rory McKenzie on, Joe Wright off on 88 minutes.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.62 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC66% Draw20% Kilmarnock FC14%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
34%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC55% Draw36% Kilmarnock FC9%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.9%
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8.1%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.6%
4 – 0
6%
4 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%
5 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 32% — 68%
-2 32% 21% 47%
-1.5 53% — 47%
-1 53% 21% 26%
-0.5 74% — 26%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.