Saturday , 14 November 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Tynecastle 18,799 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kenneth Vargas 10' 2–0
1–1 67' Marley Watkins

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.

Match Details

  • Referee William Collum
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Stevenson
  • Assistant 2 Calum Spence

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Kilmarnock FC H 1–1 D
16 Mar Ross County FC A 1–2 L
03 Mar Celtic FC H 2–0 W
28 Feb Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
24 Feb Rangers FC A 0–5 L
17 Feb Motherwell FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–1 D
16 Mar St. Mirren FC H 5–2 W
02 Mar Dundee FC A 2–2 D
28 Feb Rangers FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Celtic FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Kilmarnock FC
#4 Position #12
20 Points 9
12 Played 13
6 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 8
26 Scored 13
22 Conceded 29
+4 GD -16
1.67 PPG 0.69
50% Win % 15%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
3/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
Claudio Braga 6 G 2 A
Calvin Miller 5 G 1 A
James Wilson 3 G
Laurent Mendy 3 G
Joshua McPake 2 G 1 A
Kilmarnock FC
Greg Kiltie 3 G
Joe Hugill 2 G 2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Tynecastle. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' A stunning finish from Kenneth Vargas — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' Heart of Midlothian FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Kilmarnock FC's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 27' That is a card for Heart of Midlothian FC. Frankie Kent will be fuming at that decision.
  • 28' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a card on 28.
  • 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 38' It is a cagey affair so far. Heart of Midlothian FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact 4-4-2.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 48' Stephen Kingsley has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 53' Heart of Midlothian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 54' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 54 minute. Liam Donnelly leaves to be changed by David Watson.
  • 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
  • 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Robbie Deas on 63 minutes.
  • 65' The referee shows Heart of Midlothian FC player a card on 65.
  • 67' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marley Watkins makes it 1-1.
  • 71' Cameron Devlin gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Alex Cochrane and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Kevin van Veen on, Kyle Vassell off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kyle Vassell made 358 appearances and scored 26 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 80' Heart of Midlothian FC ring the changes. Alan Forrest has done his job and it is now time for Nathaniel Atkinson to step up.
  • 85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 88' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Rory McKenzie comes on to replace Joe Wright.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.63 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC62% Draw20% Kilmarnock FC18%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
38%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC51% Draw36% Kilmarnock FC13%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
4 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.7%
0 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 29% — 71%
-2 29% 20% 51%
-1.5 49% — 51%
-1 49% 21% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.