Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 7 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee William Collum
- Assistant 1 Stuart Stevenson
- Assistant 2 Calum Spence
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren FC | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell FC | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk FC | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Kilmarnock FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Ross County FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Mar | Celtic FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Hibernian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Feb | Rangers FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 17 Feb | Motherwell FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | St. Mirren FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 02 Mar | Dundee FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Rangers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Feb | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Feb | Celtic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 13 | Points | 5 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 4 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| 14 | Scored | 6 |
| 8 | Conceded | 15 |
| +6 | GD | -9 |
| 1.86 | PPG | 0.71 |
| 57% | Win % | 14% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Claudio Braga | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joshua McPake | 1 G | 1 A |
| Calvin Miller | 1 G | |
| Tom Renaud | 1 G |
Kilmarnock FC
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
| Greg Kiltie | 1 G |
| Joe Hugill | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Tynecastle. Heart of Midlothian FC are looking to make home advantage count against Kilmarnock FC.
- 5' Heart of Midlothian FC currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Kenneth Vargas has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 10 minutes.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Heart of Midlothian FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' Will Dennis is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 27' The referee shows Heart of Midlothian FC player a card on 27.
- 28' Danny Armstrong was booked on 28.
- 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 38' It’s high time Steven Naismith made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 43' Matty Kennedy, a Northern Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 48' Rory McKenzie has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 53' Kilmarnock FC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 54' Kilmarnock FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Watson is hanging Liam Donnelly on the field on 54 minute.
- 59' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 63' Robbie Deas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 63.
- 65' That looks like a foul for a card for Alex Cochrane.
- 67' The deadlock is broken! Marley Watkins gets on the scoresheet on 67 minutes.
- 71' Fresh legs for Heart of Midlothian FC! Cameron Devlin comes on to replace Alex Cochrane.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Kevin van Veen. He replaces Kyle Vassell on 74 minute.
- 79' The 30-year-old Stuart Findlay has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 80' Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nathaniel Atkinson is hanging Alan Forrest on the field on 80 minute.
- 85' Over 85 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 88' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Rory McKenzie on, Joe Wright off on 88 minutes.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 3
- 2
-
7
Jorge Grant ↓ Barrie McKay 71'
- 28
- 17
- 9
-
19
Alex Cochrane ↓ Cameron Devlin 71'
-
81
Dexter Lembikisa ↓ Yutaro Oda 80'
- 77
-
25
Macaulay Tait ↓ Kye Rowles 71'
Bench
-
18
Barrie McKay ↑ 71'
- 29
-
14
Cameron Devlin ↑ 71'
-
15
Kye Rowles ↑ 71'
- 1
- 30
-
13
Nathaniel Atkinson ↑ 80'
-
11
Yutaro Oda ↑ 80'
- 22
Coach
Steven Naismith
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 23
-
19
Joe Wright ↓ Rory McKenzie 88'
-
9
Kyle Vassell ↓ Kevin van Veen 74'
- 17
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↓ David Watson 54'
- 31
- 5
- 1
- 6
- 11
- 10
Bench
-
98
Kevin van Veen ↑ 74'
- 39
- 21
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 88'
- 20
- 3
- 18
-
12
David Watson ↑ 54'
- 14
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 2 |
| Uche Ikpeazu | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2024-03-30
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Kilmarnock FC
D
2024-03-16
Ross County FC
2–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-03-03
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
Celtic FC
W
2024-02-28
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Hibernian FC
D
2024-02-24
Rangers FC
5–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-02-17
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
Motherwell FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.62
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
34%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.9%
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8.1%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.6%
4 – 0
6%
4 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%
5 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -2 | 32% | 21% | 47% |
| -1.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| -1 | 53% | 21% | 26% |
| -0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

