Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee William Collum
- Assistant 1 Stuart Stevenson
- Assistant 2 Calum Spence
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk FC | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee United FC | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | St. Johnstone FC | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | St. Mirren FC | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell FC | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Aberdeen FC | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Kilmarnock FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Ross County FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Mar | Celtic FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Hibernian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Feb | Rangers FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 17 Feb | Motherwell FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | St. Mirren FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 02 Mar | Dundee FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Rangers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Feb | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Feb | Celtic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 20 | Points | 9 |
| 12 | Played | 13 |
| 6 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 8 |
| 26 | Scored | 13 |
| 22 | Conceded | 29 |
| +4 | GD | -16 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 0.69 |
| 50% | Win % | 15% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
3/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
| Claudio Braga | 6 G | 2 A |
| Calvin Miller | 5 G | 1 A |
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Laurent Mendy | 3 G | |
| Joshua McPake | 2 G | 1 A |
Kilmarnock FC
| Greg Kiltie | 3 G | |
| Joe Hugill | 2 G | 2 A |
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G | |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Tynecastle. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' A stunning finish from Kenneth Vargas — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' Heart of Midlothian FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Kilmarnock FC's 4-4-2 shape.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 27' That is a card for Heart of Midlothian FC. Frankie Kent will be fuming at that decision.
- 28' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a card on 28.
- 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 38' It is a cagey affair so far. Heart of Midlothian FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact 4-4-2.
- 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 48' Stephen Kingsley has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 53' Heart of Midlothian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 54' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 54 minute. Liam Donnelly leaves to be changed by David Watson.
- 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
- 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Robbie Deas on 63 minutes.
- 65' The referee shows Heart of Midlothian FC player a card on 65.
- 67' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marley Watkins makes it 1-1.
- 71' Cameron Devlin gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Alex Cochrane and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Kevin van Veen on, Kyle Vassell off on 74 minutes.
- 79' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kyle Vassell made 358 appearances and scored 26 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 80' Heart of Midlothian FC ring the changes. Alan Forrest has done his job and it is now time for Nathaniel Atkinson to step up.
- 85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 88' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Rory McKenzie comes on to replace Joe Wright.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 3
- 2
-
7
Jorge Grant ↓ Barrie McKay 71'
- 28
- 17
- 9
-
19
Alex Cochrane ↓ Cameron Devlin 71'
-
81
Dexter Lembikisa ↓ Yutaro Oda 80'
- 77
-
25
Macaulay Tait ↓ Kye Rowles 71'
Bench
-
18
Barrie McKay ↑ 71'
- 29
-
14
Cameron Devlin ↑ 71'
-
15
Kye Rowles ↑ 71'
- 1
- 30
-
13
Nathaniel Atkinson ↑ 80'
-
11
Yutaro Oda ↑ 80'
- 22
Coach
Steven Naismith
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 23
-
19
Joe Wright ↓ Rory McKenzie 88'
-
9
Kyle Vassell ↓ Kevin van Veen 74'
- 17
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↓ David Watson 54'
- 31
- 5
- 1
- 6
- 11
- 10
Bench
-
98
Kevin van Veen ↑ 74'
- 39
- 21
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 88'
- 20
- 3
- 18
-
12
David Watson ↑ 54'
- 14
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 2 |
| Uche Ikpeazu | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2024-03-30
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Kilmarnock FC
D
2024-03-16
Ross County FC
2–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-03-03
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
Celtic FC
W
2024-02-28
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Hibernian FC
D
2024-02-24
Rangers FC
5–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2024-02-17
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
Motherwell FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.63
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
38%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
4 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.7%
0 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -2 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| -1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| -1 | 49% | 21% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

