Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2022-23

Kilmarnock FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Heart of Midlothian FC

Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Rory McKenzie 49' Y

Liam Donnelly 50' Y

Y 55' Stephen Kingsley

Rory McKenzie 60' R

Luke Chambers 81' Y

Y 87' Michael Smith

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Heart of Midlothian FC 7 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	7	18
2	Rangers FC	7	16
3	Heart of Midlothian FC	7	13
4	Dundee FC	7	10
5	St. Mirren FC	7	10
6	St. Johnstone FC	7	8
7	Aberdeen FC	7	8
8	Motherwell FC	7	8
9	Dundee United FC	7	8
10	Hibernian FC	7	7
11	Falkirk FC	7	6
12	Kilmarnock FC	7	5

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 22 games · Avg 2.1 goals Heart of Midlothian FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-04-01 Kilmarnock FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC 2022-10-09 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC 2020-02-05 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–3 Kilmarnock FC 2019-11-23 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Apr	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	2–1	W
18 Mar	St. Johnstone FC	H	1–1	D
04 Mar	Rangers FC	A	1–3	L
25 Feb	Motherwell FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Hibernian FC	A	0–2	L
04 Feb	Livingston FC	A	1–3	L

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Apr	Kilmarnock FC	A	1–2	L
18 Mar	Aberdeen FC	A	0–3	L
08 Mar	Celtic FC	A	1–3	L
04 Mar	St. Johnstone FC	H	3–0	W
19 Feb	Motherwell FC	A	0–2	L
04 Feb	Dundee United FC	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Heart of Midlothian FC
#12	Position	#3
5	Points	13
7	Played	7
1 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	4 / 1 / 2
6	Scored	14
15	Conceded	8
-9	GD	+6
0.71	PPG	1.86
14%	Win %	57%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

–/3

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

–/2

76+

–/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/1

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G
Greg Kiltie	1 G
Joe Hugill	1 G

Heart of Midlothian FC

James Wilson	3 G
Claudio Braga	2 G	2 A
Joshua McPake	1 G	1 A
Calvin Miller	1 G
Tom Renaud	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Heart of Midlothian FC get us underway at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
7' GOAL! Lawrence Shankland scores on 7.
12' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Heart of Midlothian FC's shape.
17' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Robbie Neilson will be considering his options from the bench.
21' Danny Armstrong doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
22' Goal! Danny Armstrong scores his 21 goal in 265 matches.
27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
32' Heart of Midlothian FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
37' Heart of Midlothian FC have won 334 goals from 312 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
45' The Wales Christian Doidge breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 3-1!
46' The Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes a substitution. Zander Clark departs to be replaced by Ross Stewart.
49' Kilmarnock FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
50' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Liam Donnelly.
55' It’s a booking for Heart of Midlothian FC player. Stephen Kingsley gets a Yellow card.
60' The referee calls foul for Rory McKenzie. He receives a Red card.
62' Luke Chambers has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jordan Jones on 62 minute.
66' The Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes a substitution. Stephen Kingsley departs to be replaced by Alex Cochrane.
67' Stephen Humphrys is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alan Forrest at the 67 minute mark.
72' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jordan Jones is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heart of Midlothian FC.
77' Heart of Midlothian FC is showing some good football. However, Heart of Midlothian FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
79' It is a substitution in Kilmarnock FC team. Christian Doidge is replaced by Brad Lyons on 79 minute.
80' Fresh legs for Heart of Midlothian FC! Yutaro Oda comes on to replace Josh Ginnelly.
81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Luke Chambers.
86' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Michael Smith.
88' Danny Armstrong makes way for Ashton Taylor at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Starting XI

21
Toby Sibbick
77
Robert Snodgrass
3
Stephen Kingsley ↓ Alex Cochrane 66'
30
Josh Ginnelly ↓ Yutaro Oda 80'
7
Jorge Grant
15
Kye Rowles
2
Michael Smith
28
Zander Clark ↓ Ross Stewart 46'
17
Alan Forrest ↓ Stephen Humphrys 67'
9
Lawrence Shankland
8
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou ↓ Barrie McKay 46'

Bench

18
Barrie McKay ↑ 46'
72
James Hill
29
Stephen Humphrys ↑ 67'
13
Ross Stewart ↑ 46'
16
Andrew Halliday
12
Nathaniel Atkinson
88
Yutaro Oda ↑ 80'
19
Alex Cochrane ↑ 66'
61
Garang Kuol

Coach Robbie Neilson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Burke	4
Lawrence Shankland	3
Stephen Kingsley	2
Sean Clare	2
Stuart Findlay	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Eamonn Brophy	2
Marley Watkins	1

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2023-04-01 Kilmarnock FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-03-18 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 St. Johnstone FC D 2023-03-04 Rangers FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2023-02-25 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 Motherwell FC D 2023-02-18 Hibernian FC 2–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2023-02-04 Livingston FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC L

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2023-04-01 Kilmarnock FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2023-03-18 Aberdeen FC 3–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2023-03-08 Celtic FC 3–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2023-03-04 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–0 St. Johnstone FC W 2023-02-19 Motherwell FC 2–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2023-02-04 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Dundee United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.51 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.18 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 78% + Over 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC35% Draw22% Heart of Midlothian FC43%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.69

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

57%

Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC

65%

Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC22% Draw39% Heart of Midlothian FC39%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

1 – 2

8.7%

2 – 2

6.5%

1 – 3

6.2%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

0 – 1

2 – 3

4.7%

0 – 3

4.3%

0 – 0

3.8%

1 – 4

3.4%

3 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	14%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	20%	32%
+1.5	68%	—	32%
+2	68%	16%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.