Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Mar | St. Johnstone FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Mar | Rangers FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Feb | Motherwell FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Feb | Hibernian FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Feb | Livingston FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | Kilmarnock FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Mar | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Mar | Celtic FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Mar | St. Johnstone FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Feb | Motherwell FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Feb | Dundee United FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #1 |
| 28 | Points | 70 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 21 / 7 / 5 |
| 37 | Scored | 58 |
| 65 | Conceded | 28 |
| -28 | GD | +30 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 2.12 |
| 18% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Rory McKenzie is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
- 7' A stunning finish from Lawrence Shankland — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 12' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ross Stewart, as he is very good at scoring at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 17' Kilmarnock FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 21' What a moment for Danny Armstrong! That strike on 21 puts his side firmly in control.
- 22' The deadlock is broken! Danny Armstrong gets on the scoresheet on 22 minutes.
- 27' Christian Doidge is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kilmarnock FC tonight.
- 32' With 0 assists to his name this season, Stephen Kingsley is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 37' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' Christian Doidge has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 46' The crowd applauds Zander Clark as he leaves the pitch. Ross Stewart steps in for Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 49' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Rory McKenzie.
- 50' The referee calls foul for Liam Donnelly. He receives a Yellow card.
- 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Stephen Kingsley on 55.
- 60' The referee has no hesitation. Rory McKenzie is booked for Kilmarnock FC — Red card on 60.
- 62' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Jordan Jones by Luke Chambers on 62 minute.
- 66' Alex Cochrane is replacing Stephen Kingsley for the Heart of Midlothian FC side.
- 67' The whistle greets Alan Forrest as he departs to be replaced by Stephen Humphrys.
- 72' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heart of Midlothian FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 79' It is a substitution in Kilmarnock FC team. Christian Doidge is replaced by Brad Lyons on 79 minute.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Yutaro Oda. He replaces Josh Ginnelly on 80 minute.
- 81' Luke Chambers was booked on 81.
- 86' Heart of Midlothian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 87' Michael Smith is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
- 88' The crowd applauds Danny Armstrong as he leaves the pitch. Ashton Taylor steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
- The points are shared — Kilmarnock FC 2-1 Heart of Midlothian FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
-
26
Christian Doidge ↓ Brad Lyons 79'
- 19
- 23
- 7
-
10
Jordan Jones ↓ Luke Chambers 62'
- 22
- 2
- 3
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Ashton Taylor 88'
-
34
David Watson ↓ Alan Power 88'
Bench
-
17
Brad Lyons ↑ 79'
- 8
-
4
Alan Power ↑ 88'
- 15
- 16
- 25
-
5
Ashton Taylor ↑ 88'
- 1
-
24
Luke Chambers ↑ 62'
Coach
Derek McInnes
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 77
- 3
-
30
Josh Ginnelly ↓ Yutaro Oda 80'
- 7
- 15
- 2
-
28
Zander Clark ↓ Ross Stewart 46'
-
17
Alan Forrest ↓ Stephen Humphrys 67'
- 9
- 8
Bench
-
18
Barrie McKay ↑ 46'
- 72
-
29
Stephen Humphrys ↑ 67'
-
13
Ross Stewart ↑ 46'
- 16
- 12
-
88
Yutaro Oda ↑ 80'
-
19
Alex Cochrane ↑ 66'
- 61
Coach
Robbie Neilson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Alan Forrest | 1 |
| Ross Millen | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2023-04-01
Kilmarnock FC
2–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2023-03-18
Aberdeen FC
3–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2023-03-08
Celtic FC
3–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2023-03-04
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–0
St. Johnstone FC
W
2023-02-19
Motherwell FC
2–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2023-02-04
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–1
Dundee United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 76% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
62%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 20% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.