Sunday , 16 August 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC H 2–1 W
18 Mar St. Johnstone FC H 1–1 D
04 Mar Rangers FC A 1–3 L
25 Feb Motherwell FC H 1–1 D
18 Feb Hibernian FC A 0–2 L
04 Feb Livingston FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 1–2 L
18 Mar Aberdeen FC A 0–3 L
08 Mar Celtic FC A 1–3 L
04 Mar St. Johnstone FC H 3–0 W
19 Feb Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
04 Feb Dundee United FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#12 Position #4
0 Points 3
2 Played 2
0 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
4 Scored 5
9 Conceded 2
-5 GD +3
0.00 PPG 1.50
0% Win % 50%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.88 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
4.38 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 93% + Both teams to score 83%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC25% Draw15% Heart of Midlothian FC60%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes83% 0% No17%
Avg goals/match: 6.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 100%
0%
± 1.5 98%
2%
± 2.5 93%
7%
± 3.5 84%
16%
± 4.5 71%
29%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
40%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
75%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
85%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC14% Draw25% Heart of Midlothian FC61%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–1 not predicted
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 4
5.8%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 4
5.3%
1 – 5
5%
2 – 3
5%
2 – 5
4.6%
1 – 2
3.9%
1 – 6
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 6
3.4%
3 – 4
3.3%
0 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 3% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 7% 88%
-0.5 12% 88%
+0.5 24% 76%
+1 24% 15% 61%
+1.5 39% 61%
+2 39% 17% 44%
+2.5 56% 44%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
2%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.