Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2022-23

Kilmarnock FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Heart of Midlothian FC

Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Rory McKenzie 49' Y

Liam Donnelly 50' Y

Y 55' Stephen Kingsley

Rory McKenzie 60' R

Luke Chambers 81' Y

Y 87' Michael Smith

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Heart of Midlothian FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	13	31
2	Rangers FC	12	27
3	Falkirk FC	13	21
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	12	20
5	Dundee FC	12	17
6	Dundee United FC	12	17
7	St. Johnstone FC	13	17
8	St. Mirren FC	13	14
9	Motherwell FC	13	13
10	Hibernian FC	12	11
11	Aberdeen FC	12	11
12	Kilmarnock FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 22 games · Avg 2.1 goals Heart of Midlothian FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-04-01 Kilmarnock FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC 2022-10-09 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC 2020-02-05 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–3 Kilmarnock FC 2019-11-23 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Apr	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	2–1	W
18 Mar	St. Johnstone FC	H	1–1	D
04 Mar	Rangers FC	A	1–3	L
25 Feb	Motherwell FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Hibernian FC	A	0–2	L
04 Feb	Livingston FC	A	1–3	L

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Apr	Kilmarnock FC	A	1–2	L
18 Mar	Aberdeen FC	A	0–3	L
08 Mar	Celtic FC	A	1–3	L
04 Mar	St. Johnstone FC	H	3–0	W
19 Feb	Motherwell FC	A	0–2	L
04 Feb	Dundee United FC	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Heart of Midlothian FC
#12	Position	#4
9	Points	20
13	Played	12
2 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 2 / 4
13	Scored	26
29	Conceded	22
-16	GD	+4
0.69	PPG	1.67
15%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

1/4

31-45

3/8

46-60

4/3

61-75

2/3

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

4/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

6/4

61-75

3/1

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

Greg Kiltie	3 G
Joe Hugill	2 G	2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G

Heart of Midlothian FC

Claudio Braga	6 G	2 A
Calvin Miller	5 G	1 A
James Wilson	3 G
Laurent Mendy	3 G
Joshua McPake	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Kilmarnock FC launch into their encounter with Heart of Midlothian FC.
5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Liam Donnelly suffering a number of foals already.
7' Lawrence Shankland is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
12' Ross Stewart has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
17' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heart of Midlothian FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
21' Goal! Danny Armstrong scores his 21 goal in 273 matches.
22' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Danny Armstrong makes it 2-1.
27' The travelling Heart of Midlothian FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
32' Kilmarnock FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
37' Heart of Midlothian FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
42' Stephen Kingsley has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
45' GOAL! Christian Doidge fires home to make it 3-1!
46' The Heart of Midlothian FC bench stirs into life. Zander Clark is withdrawn and Ross Stewart gets his opportunity.
49' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Rory McKenzie.
50' Kilmarnock FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 50.
55' The referee calls foul for Stephen Kingsley. He receives a Yellow card.
60' That is a Red card for Kilmarnock FC. Rory McKenzie will be fuming at that decision.
62' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Jordan Jones has done his job and it is now time for Luke Chambers to step up.
66' Another substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC to replace Stephen Kingsley by Alex Cochrane on 66 minute.
67' It is a substitution in Heart of Midlothian FC team. Alan Forrest is replaced by Stephen Humphrys on 67 minute.
72' Heart of Midlothian FC have won 349 goals from 319 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
77' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
79' It is a substitution in Kilmarnock FC team. Christian Doidge is replaced by Brad Lyons on 79 minute.
80' Yutaro Oda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Josh Ginnelly at the 80 minute mark.
81' The referee calls foul for Luke Chambers. He receives a Yellow card.
86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yutaro Oda, as he is very good at scoring at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
87' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Michael Smith.
88' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Danny Armstrong is withdrawn and Ashton Taylor gets his opportunity.
Heart of Midlothian FC will have plenty to reflect on. Kilmarnock FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Starting XI

21
Toby Sibbick
77
Robert Snodgrass
3
Stephen Kingsley ↓ Alex Cochrane 66'
30
Josh Ginnelly ↓ Yutaro Oda 80'
7
Jorge Grant
15
Kye Rowles
2
Michael Smith
28
Zander Clark ↓ Ross Stewart 46'
17
Alan Forrest ↓ Stephen Humphrys 67'
9
Lawrence Shankland
8
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou ↓ Barrie McKay 46'

Bench

18
Barrie McKay ↑ 46'
72
James Hill
29
Stephen Humphrys ↑ 67'
13
Ross Stewart ↑ 46'
16
Andrew Halliday
12
Nathaniel Atkinson
88
Yutaro Oda ↑ 80'
19
Alex Cochrane ↑ 66'
61
Garang Kuol

Coach Robbie Neilson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Burke	4
Lawrence Shankland	3
Stuart Findlay	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Eamonn Brophy	2
Stephen Kingsley	2
Sean Clare	2
Steven Naismith	1

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2023-04-01 Kilmarnock FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-03-18 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 St. Johnstone FC D 2023-03-04 Rangers FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2023-02-25 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 Motherwell FC D 2023-02-18 Hibernian FC 2–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2023-02-04 Livingston FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC L

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2023-04-01 Kilmarnock FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2023-03-18 Aberdeen FC 3–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2023-03-08 Celtic FC 3–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2023-03-04 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–0 St. Johnstone FC W 2023-02-19 Motherwell FC 2–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2023-02-04 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Dundee United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.81 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.19 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 78% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC39% Draw22% Heart of Midlothian FC39%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	56%	44%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

61%

Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC

61%

Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC26% Draw38% Heart of Midlothian FC36%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 3

5.6%

2 – 3

0 – 2

4.5%

3 – 2

4.1%

3 – 1

3.8%

0 – 1

3.6%

0 – 3

3.2%

2 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	9%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	19%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	14%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.