Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Dickinson
- Assistant 1 David Roome
- Assistant 2 Sean Carr
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | Kilmarnock FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 May | Hibernian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | Rangers FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 May | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 May | St. Mirren FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 May | Ross County FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 May | Dundee United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 May | St. Johnstone FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 May | Livingston FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #11 |
| 70 | Points | 28 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 21 / 7 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 10 / 17 |
| 58 | Scored | 37 |
| 28 | Conceded | 65 |
| +30 | GD | -28 |
| 2.12 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 64% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Tynecastle as Heart of Midlothian FC face off against Kilmarnock FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The 26-year-old Robbie Deas has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' Lawrence Shankland catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 30.
- 35' Heart of Midlothian FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 40' Cameron Devlin was booked on 40.
- 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Frankie Kent is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 55' The referee has no hesitation. Nathaniel Atkinson is booked for Heart of Midlothian FC — card on 55.
- 59' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Alex Lowry exits the field as Liam Boyce enters on 59.
- 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kilmarnock FC that had 260 games and scored 271 goals.
- 67' Danny Armstrong catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 67.
- 68' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Cameron Devlin trudges off to be replaced by Aidan Denholm on 68 minutes.
- 73' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Kyle Vassell. He replaces Marley Watkins on 74 minute.
- 78' A tactical swap from Heart of Midlothian FC — Alan Forrest on, Nathaniel Atkinson off on 78 minutes.
- 83' Heart of Midlothian FC is showing some good football. However, Heart of Midlothian FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 85' The referee calls foul for Brad Lyons. He receives a card.
- 89' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Kyle Magennis is withdrawn and Rory McKenzie gets his opportunity.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Rory McKenzie argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Liam Donnelly is replacing Danny Armstrong for the Kilmarnock FC side.
- The final score is 0-0.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 2
-
14
Cameron Devlin ↓ Aidan Denholm 68'
- 15
-
30
Kyosuke Tagawa ↓ Kenneth Vargas 68'
- 5
- 28
- 13
-
11
Yutaro Oda ↓ Toby Sibbick 78'
- 9
-
51
Alex Lowry ↓ Liam Boyce 59'
Bench
-
21
Toby Sibbick ↑ 78'
-
10
Liam Boyce ↑ 59'
- 12
-
17
Alan Forrest ↑ 78'
- 8
-
22
Aidan Denholm ↑ 68'
- 16
- 54
-
77
Kenneth Vargas ↑ 68'
Coach
Steven Naismith
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Kyle Vassell 74'
- 8
- 17
-
16
Kyle Magennis ↓ Rory McKenzie 89'
- 3
- 5
- 1
- 6
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Liam Donnelly 90'
- 12
- 10
Bench
-
9
Kyle Vassell ↑ 74'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 89'
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↑ 90'
- 15
- 20
- 31
- 18
- 14
- 19
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Kyle Vassell | 1 |
| Uche Ikpeazu | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2023-08-13
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–0
Kilmarnock FC
D
2023-08-05
St. Johnstone FC
0–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2023-05-27
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Hibernian FC
D
2023-05-24
Rangers FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2023-05-20
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
Aberdeen FC
W
2023-05-13
St. Mirren FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.91
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
46%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 23% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.