Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Dickinson
- Assistant 1 David Roome
- Assistant 2 Sean Carr
7 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 14.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk FC | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee United FC | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | St. Johnstone FC | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | St. Mirren FC | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell FC | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Aberdeen FC | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | Kilmarnock FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 May | Hibernian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | Rangers FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 May | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 May | St. Mirren FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 May | Ross County FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 May | Dundee United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 May | St. Johnstone FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 May | Livingston FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 20 | Points | 9 |
| 12 | Played | 13 |
| 6 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 8 |
| 26 | Scored | 13 |
| 22 | Conceded | 29 |
| +4 | GD | -16 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 0.69 |
| 50% | Win % | 15% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
3/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
| Claudio Braga | 6 G | 2 A |
| Calvin Miller | 5 G | 1 A |
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Laurent Mendy | 3 G | |
| Joshua McPake | 2 G | 1 A |
Kilmarnock FC
| Greg Kiltie | 3 G | |
| Joe Hugill | 2 G | 2 A |
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G | |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Tynecastle will turn into a battlefield for Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC.
- 5' It’s high time Steven Naismith made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' Alan Forrest, a Scotland , has 12 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Heart of Midlothian FC in their trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact .
- 25' Kilmarnock FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lawrence Shankland on 30 minutes.
- 35' Heart of Midlothian FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kilmarnock FC backline.
- 40' The referee calls foul for Cameron Devlin. He receives a card.
- 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Will Dennis made 349 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 55' It’s gonna be a card for Nathaniel Atkinson.
- 59' The whistle greets Alex Lowry as he departs to be replaced by Liam Boyce.
- 64' Kyle Vassell is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heart of Midlothian FC tonight.
- 67' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Danny Armstrong will be fuming at that decision.
- 68' Heart of Midlothian FC ring the changes. Cameron Devlin has done his job and it is now time for Aidan Denholm to step up.
- 73' Yutaro Oda has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 457 appearances.
- 74' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 74 minute. Marley Watkins leaves to be changed by Kyle Vassell.
- 78' Alan Forrest has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nathaniel Atkinson on 78 minute.
- 83' Australia international Nathaniel Atkinson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 85' It’s gonna be a card for Brad Lyons.
- 89' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Kyle Magennis trudges off to be replaced by Rory McKenzie on 89 minutes.
- 90' Rory McKenzie picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Liam Donnelly is ready to make an impact after coming on for Danny Armstrong at the 90 minute mark.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 2
-
14
Cameron Devlin ↓ Aidan Denholm 68'
- 15
-
30
Kyosuke Tagawa ↓ Kenneth Vargas 68'
- 5
- 28
- 13
-
11
Yutaro Oda ↓ Toby Sibbick 78'
- 9
-
51
Alex Lowry ↓ Liam Boyce 59'
Bench
-
21
Toby Sibbick ↑ 78'
-
10
Liam Boyce ↑ 59'
- 12
-
17
Alan Forrest ↑ 78'
- 8
-
22
Aidan Denholm ↑ 68'
- 16
- 54
-
77
Kenneth Vargas ↑ 68'
Coach
Steven Naismith
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Kyle Vassell 74'
- 8
- 17
-
16
Kyle Magennis ↓ Rory McKenzie 89'
- 3
- 5
- 1
- 6
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Liam Donnelly 90'
- 12
- 10
Bench
-
9
Kyle Vassell ↑ 74'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 89'
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↑ 90'
- 15
- 20
- 31
- 18
- 14
- 19
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 2 |
| Uche Ikpeazu | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2023-08-13
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–0
Kilmarnock FC
D
2023-08-05
St. Johnstone FC
0–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2023-05-27
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Hibernian FC
D
2023-05-24
Rangers FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2023-05-20
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
Aberdeen FC
W
2023-05-13
St. Mirren FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.4
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
44%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
Actual
4 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 21% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

