Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 13 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Tynecastle 18,455 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League at Tynecastle.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 David Roome
  • Assistant 2 Sean Carr

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Aug Kilmarnock FC H 0–0 D
05 Aug St. Johnstone FC A 2–0 W
27 May Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
24 May Rangers FC A 2–2 D
20 May Aberdeen FC H 2–1 W
13 May St. Mirren FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–0 D
05 Aug Rangers FC H 1–0 W
28 May Ross County FC H 3–1 W
24 May Dundee United FC A 3–0 W
20 May St. Johnstone FC H 0–1 L
13 May Livingston FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Kilmarnock FC
#4 Position #12
3 Points 0
2 Played 2
1 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 2
5 Scored 4
2 Conceded 9
+3 GD -5
1.50 PPG 0.00
50% Win % 0%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC get this one started.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Heart of Midlothian FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Kyle Magennis needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 30' The referee shows Heart of Midlothian FC player a card on 30.
  • 35' It looks surprising Heart of Midlothian FC does not make any changes. Toby Sibbick has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' Cameron Devlin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
  • 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 55' Heart of Midlothian FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 55.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Liam Boyce. He replaces Alex Lowry on 59 minute.
  • 64' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 67' Danny Armstrong was booked on 67.
  • 68' Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aidan Denholm is hanging Cameron Devlin on the field on 68 minute.
  • 73' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 74' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Marley Watkins by Kyle Vassell on 74 minute.
  • 78' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Nathaniel Atkinson trudges off to be replaced by Alan Forrest on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Heart of Midlothian FC currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Brad Lyons.
  • 89' Rory McKenzie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kyle Magennis at the 89 minute mark.
  • 90' Rory McKenzie catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Danny Armstrong is replaced by Liam Donnelly.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
5 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 93% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC75% Draw13% Kilmarnock FC12%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 6.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 100%
0%
± 1.5 98%
2%
± 2.5 93%
7%
± 3.5 83%
17%
± 4.5 69%
31%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
25%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
87%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC74% Draw20% Kilmarnock FC6%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–0 not predicted
0 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
7%
5 – 1
6.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
6 – 1
5.7%
4 – 0
5.7%
5 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
4.8%
6 – 0
4.6%
4 – 2
4.4%
5 – 2
4.4%
7 – 1
4.1%
2 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 61% 39%
-2 61% 16% 23%
-1.5 77% 23%
-1 77% 11% 12%
-0.5 88% 12%
+0.5 95% 5%
+1 95% 3% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
1%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.