Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 7 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Dickinson
- Assistant 1 David Roome
- Assistant 2 Sean Carr
4 games this season
🟨 5.3/game
⚽ 12.3 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren FC | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell FC | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk FC | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | Kilmarnock FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 May | Hibernian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | Rangers FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 May | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 May | St. Mirren FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 May | Ross County FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 May | Dundee United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 May | St. Johnstone FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 May | Livingston FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 13 | Points | 5 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 4 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| 14 | Scored | 6 |
| 8 | Conceded | 15 |
| +6 | GD | -9 |
| 1.86 | PPG | 0.71 |
| 57% | Win % | 14% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Claudio Braga | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joshua McPake | 1 G | 1 A |
| Calvin Miller | 1 G | |
| Tom Renaud | 1 G |
Kilmarnock FC
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
| Greg Kiltie | 1 G |
| Joe Hugill | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Tynecastle. Heart of Midlothian FC are looking to make home advantage count against Kilmarnock FC.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Heart of Midlothian FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Uganda international Toby Sibbick has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lawrence Shankland on 30 minutes.
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 40' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cameron Devlin on 40 minutes.
- 45' Kilmarnock FC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 50' Yutaro Oda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 6 cards already picked up this season.
- 55' Nathaniel Atkinson is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
- 59' Time for substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC. Alex Lowry is replaced by Liam Boyce.
- 64' The energy levels are beginning to show. Derek McInnes might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 67' Danny Armstrong was booked on 67.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Aidan Denholm. He replaces Cameron Devlin on 68 minute.
- 73' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 74' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Marley Watkins is withdrawn and Kyle Vassell gets his opportunity.
- 78' Another substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC to replace Nathaniel Atkinson by Alan Forrest on 78 minute.
- 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 85' Brad Lyons was booked on 85.
- 89' The whistle greets Kyle Magennis as he departs to be replaced by Rory McKenzie.
- 90' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Rory McKenzie gets a card.
- 90' Liam Donnelly is replacing Danny Armstrong for the Kilmarnock FC side.
- It finishes all square. Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC share the spoils 0-0.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 2
-
14
Cameron Devlin ↓ Aidan Denholm 68'
- 15
-
30
Kyosuke Tagawa ↓ Kenneth Vargas 68'
- 5
- 28
- 13
-
11
Yutaro Oda ↓ Toby Sibbick 78'
- 9
-
51
Alex Lowry ↓ Liam Boyce 59'
Bench
-
21
Toby Sibbick ↑ 78'
-
10
Liam Boyce ↑ 59'
- 12
-
17
Alan Forrest ↑ 78'
- 8
-
22
Aidan Denholm ↑ 68'
- 16
- 54
-
77
Kenneth Vargas ↑ 68'
Coach
Steven Naismith
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Kyle Vassell 74'
- 8
- 17
-
16
Kyle Magennis ↓ Rory McKenzie 89'
- 3
- 5
- 1
- 6
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Liam Donnelly 90'
- 12
- 10
Bench
-
9
Kyle Vassell ↑ 74'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 89'
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↑ 90'
- 15
- 20
- 31
- 18
- 14
- 19
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 2 |
| Alan Forrest | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2023-08-13
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–0
Kilmarnock FC
D
2023-08-05
St. Johnstone FC
0–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2023-05-27
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Hibernian FC
D
2023-05-24
Rangers FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2023-05-20
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
Aberdeen FC
W
2023-05-13
St. Mirren FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.39
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
40%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
Actual
4 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 22% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.