Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 2 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Dickinson
- Assistant 1 David Roome
- Assistant 2 Sean Carr
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | St. Mirren FC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Motherwell FC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Rangers FC | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Falkirk FC | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Dundee United FC | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | Kilmarnock FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 May | Hibernian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | Rangers FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 May | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 May | St. Mirren FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 May | Ross County FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 May | Dundee United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 May | St. Johnstone FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 May | Livingston FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 2 | Played | 2 |
| 1 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| 5 | Scored | 4 |
| 2 | Conceded | 9 |
| +3 | GD | -5 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 0.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC get this one started.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Heart of Midlothian FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Kyle Magennis needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 30' The referee shows Heart of Midlothian FC player a card on 30.
- 35' It looks surprising Heart of Midlothian FC does not make any changes. Toby Sibbick has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 40' Cameron Devlin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
- 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
- 55' Heart of Midlothian FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 55.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Liam Boyce. He replaces Alex Lowry on 59 minute.
- 64' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 67' Danny Armstrong was booked on 67.
- 68' Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aidan Denholm is hanging Cameron Devlin on the field on 68 minute.
- 73' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 74' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Marley Watkins by Kyle Vassell on 74 minute.
- 78' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Nathaniel Atkinson trudges off to be replaced by Alan Forrest on 78 minutes.
- 83' Heart of Midlothian FC currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Brad Lyons.
- 89' Rory McKenzie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kyle Magennis at the 89 minute mark.
- 90' Rory McKenzie catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- 90' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Danny Armstrong is replaced by Liam Donnelly.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 2
-
14
Cameron Devlin ↓ Aidan Denholm 68'
- 15
-
30
Kyosuke Tagawa ↓ Kenneth Vargas 68'
- 5
- 28
- 13
-
11
Yutaro Oda ↓ Toby Sibbick 78'
- 9
-
51
Alex Lowry ↓ Liam Boyce 59'
Bench
-
21
Toby Sibbick ↑ 78'
-
10
Liam Boyce ↑ 59'
- 12
-
17
Alan Forrest ↑ 78'
- 8
-
22
Aidan Denholm ↑ 68'
- 16
- 54
-
77
Kenneth Vargas ↑ 68'
Coach
Steven Naismith
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Kyle Vassell 74'
- 8
- 17
-
16
Kyle Magennis ↓ Rory McKenzie 89'
- 3
- 5
- 1
- 6
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Liam Donnelly 90'
- 12
- 10
Bench
-
9
Kyle Vassell ↑ 74'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 89'
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↑ 90'
- 15
- 20
- 31
- 18
- 14
- 19
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Marley Watkins | 1 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2023-08-13
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–0
Kilmarnock FC
D
2023-08-05
St. Johnstone FC
0–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2023-05-27
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Hibernian FC
D
2023-05-24
Rangers FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2023-05-20
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
Aberdeen FC
W
2023-05-13
St. Mirren FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
5
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 93% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 75%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 6.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 100% |
|
0% |
| ± 1.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 2.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 3.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 4.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
25%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
87%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–0 not predicted0 – 0Actual
4 – 1
7%
5 – 1
6.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
6 – 1
5.7%
4 – 0
5.7%
5 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
4.8%
6 – 0
4.6%
4 – 2
4.4%
5 – 2
4.4%
7 – 1
4.1%
2 – 1
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| -2 | 61% | 16% | 23% |
| -1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| -1 | 77% | 11% | 12% |
| -0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +0.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 3% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
1%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

