Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Celtic FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 3 Mar 2024 · 12:00 UTC Tynecastle 17,748 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jorge Grant pen 43' 3–0
Lawrence Shankland 56' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Celtic FCPremier League at Tynecastle.

Match Details

  • Referee Don Robertson
  • Assistant 1 Daniel McFarlane
  • Assistant 2 Ross MacLeod

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Celtic FC H 2–0 W
28 Feb Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
24 Feb Rangers FC A 0–5 L
17 Feb Motherwell FC H 2–0 W
07 Feb St. Johnstone FC A 1–0 W
03 Feb Dundee FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
28 Feb Dundee FC H 7–1 W
25 Feb Motherwell FC A 3–1 W
17 Feb Kilmarnock FC H 1–1 D
07 Feb Hibernian FC A 2–1 W
03 Feb Aberdeen FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Celtic FC
#1 Position #3
70 Points 67
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 21 / 4 / 8
58 Scored 59
28 Conceded 35
+30 GD +24
2.12 PPG 2.03
64% Win % 64%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Celtic FC are 3rd (67 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Celtic FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC46% Draw27% Celtic FC27%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Celtic FC
54%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Celtic FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC31% Draw47% Celtic FC22%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Celtic FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Celtic FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.