Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Wed 28 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle 18,936 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 28' Emiliano Marcondes
Lawrence Shankland pen 45+2' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FCPremier League at Tynecastle.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Clancy
  • Assistant 1 David McGeachie
  • Assistant 2 Calum Spence

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
24 Feb Rangers FC A 0–5 L
17 Feb Motherwell FC H 2–0 W
07 Feb St. Johnstone FC A 1–0 W
03 Feb Dundee FC A 3–2 W
27 Jan Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–1 D
24 Feb Dundee FC H 2–1 W
17 Feb Aberdeen FC A 2–2 D
07 Feb Celtic FC H 1–2 L
03 Feb St. Mirren FC H 0–3 L
27 Jan Kilmarnock FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Hibernian FC
#1 Position #5
70 Points 51
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 13 / 12 / 8
58 Scored 51
28 Conceded 37
+30 GD +14
2.12 PPG 1.55
64% Win % 39%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Hibernian FC are 5th (51 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Hibernian FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC49% Draw27% Hibernian FC24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Hibernian FC
51%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Hibernian FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC34% Draw48% Hibernian FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Hibernian FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Hibernian FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.