Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Dundee FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Kilmarnock FC

Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Dens Park 5,588 HT 45' · FT 45'

Will Dennis og 11' 2–2

2–2 35' Marley Watkins

Luke McCowan pen 63' 2–2

2–2 90+1' Robbie Deas

Owen Beck 39' Y

Y 49' Kyle Vassell

R 60' Lewis Mayo

Y 67' Corrie Ndaba

Y 90' Robbie Deas

Aaron Donnelly 90' Y

Luke McCowan 90' Y

Y 90' Kevin van Veen

Overview

Match Preview

Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Dens Park.

Dundee FC 33 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Colin Steven
Assistant 1 Dougie Potter
Assistant 2 Stuart Stevenson

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

Dundee FC 15 games · Avg 3.5 goals Kilmarnock FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-02 Dundee FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC 2023-12-30 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Dundee FC 2023-09-23 Dundee FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC 2019-02-06 Dundee FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC 2018-12-15 Kilmarnock FC 3–1 Dundee FC

Recent Form

Dundee FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	Kilmarnock FC	H	2–2	D
28 Feb	Celtic FC	A	1–7	L
24 Feb	Hibernian FC	A	1–2	L
17 Feb	Ross County FC	H	2–0	W
11 Feb	St. Johnstone FC	H	2–1	W
07 Feb	St. Mirren FC	A	0–2	L

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	Dundee FC	A	2–2	D
28 Feb	Rangers FC	H	1–2	L
24 Feb	Aberdeen FC	H	2–0	W
17 Feb	Celtic FC	A	1–1	D
07 Feb	Livingston FC	H	1–0	W
03 Feb	Motherwell FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Dundee FC		Kilmarnock FC
#9	Position	#11
33	Points	28
33	Played	33
8 / 9 / 16	W / D / L	6 / 10 / 17
34	Scored	37
53	Conceded	65
-19	GD	-28
1.00	PPG	0.85
24%	Win %	18%

Key Stats

93% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Dundee FC are 9th (33 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Kilmarnock FC get us underway at Dens Park.
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Dundee FC in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact 4-4-2.
10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
11' Will Dennis has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 11 minutes.
16' Robbie Deas is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Dundee FC so far.
21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
26' A quiet spell here at Dens Park. Dundee FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
31' Dundee FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
35' Marley Watkins makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Kilmarnock FC are in front.
39' Owen Beck has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
44' Dundee FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kilmarnock FC backline.
49' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Kyle Vassell gets a card.
54' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
59' Dundee FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
60' Controversy at the stadium! Lewis Mayo argues furiously but the card stands.
63' Luke McCowan adds to his 0 season tally! Dundee FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
67' That looks like a foul for a card for Corrie Ndaba.
69' James Balagizi is replacing Kyle Vassell for the Kilmarnock FC side.
74' Over 74 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
75' Michael Mellon has so much to prove this time. He replaces Curtis Main on 75 minute.
80' Mo Sylla has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 11 appearances.
85' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kilmarnock FC that had 260 games and scored 271 goals.
90' The referee calls foul for Robbie Deas. He receives a card.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Dundee FC 2-2 Kilmarnock FC.

Lineups

Dundee FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tony Docherty

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joe Hugill	3
Danny Armstrong	3
Lyall Cameron	3
Luke McCowan	3
Robbie Deas	2
Bruce Anderson	2
Matty Kennedy	2
Andrew Nelson	2

Head to Head

Dundee FC Form

2024-03-02 Dundee FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-02-28 Celtic FC 7–1 Dundee FC L 2024-02-24 Hibernian FC 2–1 Dundee FC L 2024-02-17 Dundee FC 2–0 Ross County FC W 2024-02-11 Dundee FC 2–1 St. Johnstone FC W 2024-02-07 St. Mirren FC 2–0 Dundee FC L

Kilmarnock FC Form

2024-03-02 Dundee FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-02-28 Kilmarnock FC 1–2 Rangers FC L 2024-02-24 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Aberdeen FC W 2024-02-17 Celtic FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-02-07 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Livingston FC W 2024-02-03 Motherwell FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.77 Dundee FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.49 Kilmarnock FC xG

I would bet for: Dundee FC or Kilmarnock FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Dundee FC42% Draw26% Kilmarnock FC32%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.26

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Dundee FC or Draw

68%

Draw or Kilmarnock FC

58%

Dundee FC or Kilmarnock FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Dundee FC33% Draw42% Kilmarnock FC25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

6.1%

2 – 0

0 – 0

5.4%

3 – 1

5.1%

0 – 1

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 2

3.8%

1 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Dundee FC

Handicap	Dundee FC covers	Push	Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	20%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	16%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Dundee FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.