Saturday , 14 November 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Rugby Park 8,460 HT 45' · FT 45'
5–2 20' Charles Dunne
4–3 39' Mikael Mandron
Kyle Vassell 61' 4–3
Danny Armstrong pen 65' 4–3
Marley Watkins 68' 5–2
Kyle Vassell 73' 5–2
David Watson 79' 5–2

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Ross Hardie (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 Graeme Stewart
  • Assistant 2 Sean Carr
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 8.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar St. Mirren FC H 5–2 W
02 Mar Dundee FC A 2–2 D
28 Feb Rangers FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Celtic FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Livingston FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Kilmarnock FC A 2–5 L
02 Mar Aberdeen FC H 2–1 W
27 Feb Ross County FC A 1–1 D
24 Feb St. Johnstone FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Livingston FC A 0–1 L
07 Feb Dundee FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC St. Mirren FC
#12 Position #8
9 Points 14
13 Played 13
2 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 7
13 Scored 12
29 Conceded 22
-16 GD -10
0.69 PPG 1.08
15% Win % 31%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). St. Mirren FC are 8th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/4
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
Greg Kiltie 3 G
Joe Hugill 2 G 2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G
St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G 2 A
Eseosa Sule 2 G 1 A
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Kilmarnock FC is hosting St. Mirren FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' St. Mirren FC come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' What a moment for Charles Dunne! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, David Watson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for St. Mirren FC.
  • 30' Robbie Deas needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' Mikael Mandron makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and St. Mirren FC are in front.
  • 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 54' St. Mirren FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 59' Mark O'Hara picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 61' GOAL! Kyle Vassell fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 63' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Liam Donnelly.
  • 65' Danny Armstrong has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 65 minutes.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Toyosi Olusanya. He replaces Conor McMenamin on 66 minute.
  • 68' Marley Watkins has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
  • 70' The St. Mirren FC manager makes a substitution. Ryan Flynn departs to be replaced by Lewis Jamieson.
  • 71' Jonah Ayunga gets the nod from St. Mirren FC. He replaces Greg Kiltie and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' Another change for St. Mirren FC made on 72 minute. Scott Tanser leaves to be changed by Jaden Brown.
  • 73' Kyle Vassell has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
  • 75' Kilmarnock FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 75.
  • 79' Magnificent from David Watson! That is 9 goals in 273 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 82' Danny Armstrong makes way for Innes Cameron at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Marley Watkins. He receives a card.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Corrie Ndaba on, Robbie Deas off on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 5-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC54% Draw24% St. Mirren FC22%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
78%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
46%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC38% Draw43% St. Mirren FC19%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.