Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Kilmarnock FC

5 – 2

Full Time

St. Mirren FC

Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Rugby Park 8,460 HT 45' · FT 45'

5–2 20' Charles Dunne

4–3 39' Mikael Mandron

Kyle Vassell 61' 4–3

Danny Armstrong pen 65' 4–3

Marley Watkins 68' 5–2

Kyle Vassell 73' 5–2

David Watson 79' 5–2

Y 59' Mark O'Hara

Liam Donnelly 63' Y

Matty Kennedy 75' Y

Marley Watkins 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
St. Mirren FC 33 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ross Hardie (Scotland)
Assistant 1 Graeme Stewart
Assistant 2 Sean Carr

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 23 games · Avg 2.5 goals St. Mirren FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-16 Kilmarnock FC 5–2 St. Mirren FC 2023-12-27 St. Mirren FC 0–1 Kilmarnock FC 2023-09-30 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 St. Mirren FC 2023-04-22 St. Mirren FC 0–2 Kilmarnock FC 2023-01-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 St. Mirren FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	St. Mirren FC	H	5–2	W
02 Mar	Dundee FC	A	2–2	D
28 Feb	Rangers FC	H	1–2	L
24 Feb	Aberdeen FC	H	2–0	W
17 Feb	Celtic FC	A	1–1	D
07 Feb	Livingston FC	H	1–0	W

St. Mirren FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	Kilmarnock FC	A	2–5	L
02 Mar	Aberdeen FC	H	2–1	W
27 Feb	Ross County FC	A	1–1	D
24 Feb	St. Johnstone FC	H	2–0	W
17 Feb	Livingston FC	A	0–1	L
07 Feb	Dundee FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		St. Mirren FC
#11	Position	#10
28	Points	30
33	Played	33
6 / 10 / 17	W / D / L	7 / 9 / 17
37	Scored	27
65	Conceded	48
-28	GD	-21
0.85	PPG	0.91
18%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)

35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Kilmarnock FC and St. Mirren FC is underway.
5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
15' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against St. Mirren FC's 3-4-3 shape.
20' GOAL! Charles Dunne scores on 20. Assisted by Conor McMenamin
25' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
30' St. Mirren FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
35' St. Mirren FC come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
39' Mikael Mandron adds to his 0 season tally! St. Mirren FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
44' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
49' The travelling St. Mirren FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
54' The 28-year-old Danny Armstrong has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
59' Poor challenge from Mark O'Hara. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
61' Kyle Vassell has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 61 minutes.
63' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Liam Donnelly will be fuming at that decision.
65' Danny Armstrong is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
66' St. Mirren FC make a change. Conor McMenamin trudges off to be replaced by Toyosi Olusanya on 66 minutes.
68' GOAL! Marley Watkins fires home to make it 3-2!
70' A change in the St. Mirren FC ranks — Ryan Flynn exits the field as Lewis Jamieson enters on 70.
71' The St. Mirren FC bench stirs into life. Greg Kiltie is withdrawn and Jonah Ayunga gets his opportunity.
72' The whistle greets Scott Tanser as he departs to be replaced by Jaden Brown.
73' Kyle Vassell with the second goal in the match!
75' Controversy at the stadium! Matty Kennedy argues furiously but the card stands.
79' What a moment for David Watson! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
82' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Innes Cameron on, Danny Armstrong off on 82 minutes.
86' Marley Watkins was booked on 86.
90' Corrie Ndaba gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Robbie Deas and will look to change the dynamic.
It finishes all square. Kilmarnock FC and St. Mirren FC share the spoils 5-2.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

St. Mirren FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

6
Mark O'Hara
9
Mikael Mandron
13
Alexandros Gogic
3
Scott Tanser ↓ Jaden Brown 72'
11
Greg Kiltie ↓ Jonah Ayunga 71'
18
Charles Dunne
8
Ryan Flynn ↓ Lewis Jamieson 70'
10
Conor McMenamin ↓ Toyosi Olusanya 66'
22
Marcus Fraser
15
Caolan Boyd Munce
1
Zach Hemming

Bench

Coach Steve Robinson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruce Anderson	3
Marley Watkins	3
Kyle Vassell	3
Findlay Curtis	2
Caolan Boyd Munce	2
Greg Kiltie	2
Kyle Lafferty	2
Mark O'Hara	2

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2024-03-16 Kilmarnock FC 5–2 St. Mirren FC W 2024-03-02 Dundee FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-02-28 Kilmarnock FC 1–2 Rangers FC L 2024-02-24 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Aberdeen FC W 2024-02-17 Celtic FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-02-07 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Livingston FC W

St. Mirren FC Form

2024-03-16 Kilmarnock FC 5–2 St. Mirren FC L 2024-03-02 St. Mirren FC 2–1 Aberdeen FC W 2024-02-27 Ross County FC 1–1 St. Mirren FC D 2024-02-24 St. Mirren FC 2–0 St. Johnstone FC W 2024-02-17 Livingston FC 1–0 St. Mirren FC L 2024-02-07 St. Mirren FC 2–0 Dundee FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.91 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.07 St. Mirren FC xG

I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC to win 56% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC56% Draw24% St. Mirren FC20%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.98

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

80%

Draw or St. Mirren FC

44%

Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC40% Draw43% St. Mirren FC17%

Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted

5 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

9.1%

1 – 0

0 – 0

6.8%

3 – 1

6.1%

3 – 0

5.7%

1 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 1

4.6%

3 – 2

3.3%

4 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	17%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	23%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.