Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- St. Mirren FC 13 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ross Hardie (Scotland)
- Assistant 1 Graeme Stewart
- Assistant 2 Sean Carr
3 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 8.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk FC | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee United FC | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | St. Johnstone FC | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | St. Mirren FC | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell FC | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Aberdeen FC | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | St. Mirren FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 02 Mar | Dundee FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Rangers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Feb | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Feb | Celtic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Feb | Livingston FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Kilmarnock FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 02 Mar | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Feb | Ross County FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Feb | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Feb | Livingston FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Feb | Dundee FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | St. Mirren FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 9 | Points | 14 |
| 13 | Played | 13 |
| 2 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 7 |
| 13 | Scored | 12 |
| 29 | Conceded | 22 |
| -16 | GD | -10 |
| 0.69 | PPG | 1.08 |
| 15% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season
St. Mirren FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). St. Mirren FC are 8th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/4
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
| Greg Kiltie | 3 G | |
| Joe Hugill | 2 G | 2 A |
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G | |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
St. Mirren FC
| Killian Phillips | 3 G | 2 A |
| Eseosa Sule | 2 G | 1 A |
| Samu Ramos | 1 G | 2 A |
| Declan John | 1 G | |
| Fraser Taylor | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Kilmarnock FC is hosting St. Mirren FC for another epic battle.
- 5' St. Mirren FC come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' What a moment for Charles Dunne! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, David Watson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for St. Mirren FC.
- 30' Robbie Deas needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 39' Mikael Mandron makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and St. Mirren FC are in front.
- 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 54' St. Mirren FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 59' Mark O'Hara picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 61' GOAL! Kyle Vassell fires home to make it 1-2!
- 63' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Liam Donnelly.
- 65' Danny Armstrong has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 65 minutes.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Toyosi Olusanya. He replaces Conor McMenamin on 66 minute.
- 68' Marley Watkins has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
- 70' The St. Mirren FC manager makes a substitution. Ryan Flynn departs to be replaced by Lewis Jamieson.
- 71' Jonah Ayunga gets the nod from St. Mirren FC. He replaces Greg Kiltie and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' Another change for St. Mirren FC made on 72 minute. Scott Tanser leaves to be changed by Jaden Brown.
- 73' Kyle Vassell has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
- 75' Kilmarnock FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 75.
- 79' Magnificent from David Watson! That is 9 goals in 273 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 82' Danny Armstrong makes way for Innes Cameron at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
- 86' The referee calls foul for Marley Watkins. He receives a card.
- 90' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Corrie Ndaba on, Robbie Deas off on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 5-2.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 23
- 19
- 9
- 17
- 22
- 31
- 1
-
6
Robbie Deas ↓ Corrie Ndaba 90'
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Innes Cameron 82'
- 12
-
10
Matty Kennedy ↓ Rory McKenzie 82'
Bench
- 98
- 39
- 21
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 82'
- 15
- 20
-
3
Corrie Ndaba ↑ 90'
-
18
Innes Cameron ↑ 82'
- 14
Coach
Derek McInnes
St. Mirren FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 6
- 9
- 13
-
3
Scott Tanser ↓ Jaden Brown 72'
-
11
Greg Kiltie ↓ Jonah Ayunga 71'
- 18
-
8
Ryan Flynn ↓ Lewis Jamieson 70'
- 10
- 22
- 15
- 1
Bench
- 17
-
7
Jonah Ayunga ↑ 71'
- 14
- 27
-
21
Jaden Brown ↑ 72'
- 5
-
24
Lewis Jamieson ↑ 70'
-
20
Toyosi Olusanya ↑ 66'
- 16
Coach
Steve Robinson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marley Watkins | 3 |
| Kyle Vassell | 3 |
| Bruce Anderson | 3 |
| Caolan Boyd Munce | 2 |
| Greg Kiltie | 2 |
| Kyle Lafferty | 2 |
| Mark O'Hara | 2 |
| Christian Doidge | 2 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
78%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
46%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: St. Mirren FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–2 not predicted5 – 2Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | St. Mirren FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 22% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

