Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Kilmarnock FC

5 – 2

Full Time

St. Mirren FC

Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Rugby Park 8,460 HT 45' · FT 45'

5–2 20' Charles Dunne

4–3 39' Mikael Mandron

Kyle Vassell 61' 4–3

Danny Armstrong pen 65' 4–3

Marley Watkins 68' 5–2

Kyle Vassell 73' 5–2

David Watson 79' 5–2

Y 59' Mark O'Hara

Liam Donnelly 63' Y

Matty Kennedy 75' Y

Marley Watkins 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock FC 2 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
St. Mirren FC 2 games · 6 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ross Hardie (Scotland)
Assistant 1 Graeme Stewart
Assistant 2 Sean Carr

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	2	6
2	St. Mirren FC	2	6
3	Motherwell FC	2	4
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	2	3
5	Dundee FC	2	3
6	St. Johnstone FC	2	3
7	Hibernian FC	2	3
8	Aberdeen FC	2	3
9	Rangers FC	2	1
10	Falkirk FC	2	1
11	Dundee United FC	2	1
12	Kilmarnock FC	2	0

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 23 games · Avg 2.5 goals St. Mirren FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-16 Kilmarnock FC 5–2 St. Mirren FC 2023-12-27 St. Mirren FC 0–1 Kilmarnock FC 2023-09-30 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 St. Mirren FC 2023-04-22 St. Mirren FC 0–2 Kilmarnock FC 2023-01-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 St. Mirren FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	St. Mirren FC	H	5–2	W
02 Mar	Dundee FC	A	2–2	D
28 Feb	Rangers FC	H	1–2	L
24 Feb	Aberdeen FC	H	2–0	W
17 Feb	Celtic FC	A	1–1	D
07 Feb	Livingston FC	H	1–0	W

St. Mirren FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	Kilmarnock FC	A	2–5	L
02 Mar	Aberdeen FC	H	2–1	W
27 Feb	Ross County FC	A	1–1	D
24 Feb	St. Johnstone FC	H	2–0	W
17 Feb	Livingston FC	A	0–1	L
07 Feb	Dundee FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		St. Mirren FC
#12	Position	#2
0	Points	6
2	Played	2
0 / 0 / 2	W / D / L	2 / 0 / 0
4	Scored	3
9	Conceded	0
-5	GD	+3
0.00	PPG	3.00
0%	Win %	100%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)

35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

100% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts). St. Mirren FC are 2nd (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/2

46-60

3/2

61-75

–/2

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

St. Mirren FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: St. Mirren FC gets underway.
5' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
10' St. Mirren FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
15' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Charles Dunne makes it 0-1.
25' Zach Hemming has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 290 appearances.
30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kilmarnock FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
39' The deadlock is broken! Mikael Mandron gets on the scoresheet on 39 minutes.
44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kilmarnock FC that had 261 games and scored 274 goals.
49' Toyosi Olusanya has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
54' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and St. Mirren FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
59' Mark O'Hara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
61' Kyle Vassell does the damage! The net is bulging and Kilmarnock FC surge ahead!
63' Controversy at the stadium! Liam Donnelly argues furiously but the card stands.
65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Danny Armstrong makes it 2-2.
66' The St. Mirren FC bench stirs into life. Conor McMenamin is withdrawn and Toyosi Olusanya gets his opportunity.
68' A goal from the Wales international Marley Watkins! He fires home on 68 to make it 3-2!
70' Ryan Flynn makes way for Lewis Jamieson at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from St. Mirren FC.
71' St. Mirren FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jonah Ayunga is hanging Greg Kiltie on the field on 71 minute.
72' The St. Mirren FC manager makes a substitution. Scott Tanser departs to be replaced by Jaden Brown.
73' Brilliant from the ! Kyle Vassell makes it 4-2 with a superb finish on 73.
75' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Matty Kennedy will be fuming at that decision.
79' David Watson adds to his 0 season tally! Kilmarnock FC lead 5-2 — and this changes everything.
82' The crowd applauds Danny Armstrong as he leaves the pitch. Innes Cameron steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
86' The referee has no hesitation. Marley Watkins is booked for Kilmarnock FC — card on 86.
90' Corrie Ndaba is replacing Robbie Deas for the Kilmarnock FC side.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Kilmarnock FC players.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

St. Mirren FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

6
Mark O'Hara
9
Mikael Mandron
13
Alexandros Gogic
3
Scott Tanser ↓ Jaden Brown 72'
11
Greg Kiltie ↓ Jonah Ayunga 71'
18
Charles Dunne
8
Ryan Flynn ↓ Lewis Jamieson 70'
10
Conor McMenamin ↓ Toyosi Olusanya 66'
22
Marcus Fraser
15
Caolan Boyd Munce
1
Zach Hemming

Bench

Coach Steve Robinson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruce Anderson	3
Marley Watkins	3
Kyle Vassell	3
Christian Doidge	2
Findlay Curtis	2
Caolan Boyd Munce	2
Greg Kiltie	2
Kyle Lafferty	2

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2024-03-16 Kilmarnock FC 5–2 St. Mirren FC W 2024-03-02 Dundee FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-02-28 Kilmarnock FC 1–2 Rangers FC L 2024-02-24 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Aberdeen FC W 2024-02-17 Celtic FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-02-07 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Livingston FC W

St. Mirren FC Form

2024-03-16 Kilmarnock FC 5–2 St. Mirren FC L 2024-03-02 St. Mirren FC 2–1 Aberdeen FC W 2024-02-27 Ross County FC 1–1 St. Mirren FC D 2024-02-24 St. Mirren FC 2–0 St. Johnstone FC W 2024-02-17 Livingston FC 1–0 St. Mirren FC L 2024-02-07 St. Mirren FC 2–0 Dundee FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.22 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.79 St. Mirren FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kilmarnock FC27% Draw19% St. Mirren FC54%

Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 4.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	56%	44%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

46%

Draw or St. Mirren FC

73%

Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC14% Draw34% St. Mirren FC52%

Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted

5 – 2

Actual

1 – 2

8.4%

1 – 3

7.7%

0 – 2

7.2%

1 – 1

6.9%

0 – 3

6.5%

1 – 4

5.4%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 1

4.9%

2 – 3

4.7%

0 – 4

4.5%

2 – 1

3.7%

2 – 4

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	8%	86%
-0.5	14%	—	86%
+0.5	31%	—	69%
+1	31%	20%	49%
+1.5	51%	—	49%
+2	51%	19%	30%
+2.5	70%	—	30%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.