Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Kilmarnock FC
5 – 2
Full Time
St. Mirren FC
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Rugby Park 8,460 HT 45' · FT 45'
5–2 20' Charles Dunne
4–3 39' Mikael Mandron
Kyle Vassell 61' 4–3
Danny Armstrong pen 65' 4–3
Marley Watkins 68' 5–2
Kyle Vassell 73' 5–2
David Watson 79' 5–2
Y 59' Mark O'Hara
Liam Donnelly 63' Y
Matty Kennedy 75' Y
Marley Watkins 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Ross Hardie (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 Graeme Stewart
  • Assistant 2 Sean Carr

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Celtic FC 7 18
2 Rangers FC 7 16
3 Heart of Midlothian FC 7 13
4 Dundee FC 7 10
5 St. Mirren FC 7 10
6 St. Johnstone FC 7 8
7 Aberdeen FC 7 8
8 Motherwell FC 7 8
9 Dundee United FC 7 8
10 Hibernian FC 7 7
11 Falkirk FC 7 6
12 Kilmarnock FC 7 5

Head-to-Head

13
7
4
Kilmarnock FC 24 games · Avg 2.4 goals St. Mirren FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-16 Kilmarnock FC 5–2 St. Mirren FC 2023-12-27 St. Mirren FC 0–1 Kilmarnock FC 2023-09-30 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 St. Mirren FC 2023-04-22 St. Mirren FC 0–2 Kilmarnock FC 2023-01-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 St. Mirren FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar St. Mirren FC H 5–2 W
02 Mar Dundee FC A 2–2 D
28 Feb Rangers FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Celtic FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Livingston FC H 1–0 W
St. Mirren FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Kilmarnock FC A 2–5 L
02 Mar Aberdeen FC H 2–1 W
27 Feb Ross County FC A 1–1 D
24 Feb St. Johnstone FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Livingston FC A 0–1 L
07 Feb Dundee FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC St. Mirren FC
#12 Position #5
5 Points 10
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 3
6 Scored 8
15 Conceded 9
-9 GD -1
0.71 PPG 1.43
14% Win % 43%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G
Greg Kiltie 1 G
Joe Hugill 1 G
St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Rugby Park!
  • 5' Alexandros Gogic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 106 appearances.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' St. Mirren FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Charles Dunne on 20.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 39' Mikael Mandron doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 44' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 49' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 54' St. Mirren FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 59' That is a card for St. Mirren FC. Mark O'Hara will be fuming at that decision.
  • 61' Kyle Vassell doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 63' Liam Donnelly was booked on 63.
  • 65' Goal! Danny Armstrong scores his 21 goal in 264 matches.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Conor McMenamin as he leaves the pitch. Toyosi Olusanya steps in for St. Mirren FC.
  • 68' What a moment for Marley Watkins! That strike on 68 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 70' Lewis Jamieson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryan Flynn at the 70 minute mark.
  • 71' Another substitution for St. Mirren FC to replace Greg Kiltie by Jonah Ayunga on 71 minute.
  • 72' St. Mirren FC ring the changes. Scott Tanser has done his job and it is now time for Jaden Brown to step up.
  • 73' Goal! Kyle Vassell scores his 26 goal in 357 matches.
  • 75' Kilmarnock FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 79' Brilliant from the ! David Watson makes it 5-2 with a superb finish on 79.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Danny Armstrong is replaced by Innes Cameron.
  • 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marley Watkins on 86.
  • 90' The whistle greets Robbie Deas as he departs to be replaced by Corrie Ndaba.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

St. Mirren FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Steve Robinson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Marley Watkins 3
Kyle Vassell 3
Bruce Anderson 3
Caolan Boyd Munce 2
Greg Kiltie 2
Kyle Lafferty 2
Mark O'Hara 2
Christian Doidge 2

Head to Head

2024-03-16 Kilmarnock FC 5–2 St. Mirren FC 2023-12-27 St. Mirren FC 0–1 Kilmarnock FC 2023-09-30 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 St. Mirren FC 2023-04-22 St. Mirren FC 0–2 Kilmarnock FC 2023-01-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 St. Mirren FC

Kilmarnock FC Form

2024-03-16 Kilmarnock FC 5–2 St. Mirren FC W 2024-03-02 Dundee FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-02-28 Kilmarnock FC 1–2 Rangers FC L 2024-02-24 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Aberdeen FC W 2024-02-17 Celtic FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-02-07 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Livingston FC W

St. Mirren FC Form

2024-03-16 Kilmarnock FC 5–2 St. Mirren FC L 2024-03-02 St. Mirren FC 2–1 Aberdeen FC W 2024-02-27 Ross County FC 1–1 St. Mirren FC D 2024-02-24 St. Mirren FC 2–0 St. Johnstone FC W 2024-02-17 Livingston FC 1–0 St. Mirren FC L 2024-02-07 St. Mirren FC 2–0 Dundee FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC48% Draw24% St. Mirren FC28%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
72%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
52%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC32% Draw43% St. Mirren FC25%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 20% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.